Economists at ING analyze GBP outlook ahead of today's Bank of England (BoE) policy statement.
The Bank Rate is widely expected to be left unchanged at 5.25%. The focus will also be on the vote split. 6-3 would seem to be the most likely.
Assuming that the BoE does not soften its tone today – i.e., it does not provide fresh ammunition to pricing of rate cuts next year – we would expect Sterling to stay relatively well supported. This could see GBP/USD push up the 1.2250 area, while EUR/GBP could press support at the 0.8670/0.8680 area.