Over the past month, EUR/GBP has continued its move lower on the back of primarily a sharp BoE repricing. This could continue to lend support in the near term.

At present, we do not see the global investment environment to create meaningful divergence between EUR and GBP. However, we expect the UK economy to perform relatively worse than the Euro Area and expect relative growth outlooks and broad central bank pricing to weigh on GBP. 

We target the cross at 0.8800 in 6-12M.