• NZD momentum finally reflected in positioning - ING

Market news

9 December 2019

NZD momentum finally reflected in positioning - ING

Francesco Pesole, an FX Strategist at ING, notes that the New Zealand dollar net speculative positions dropped by 13% of open interest in the week between 27 November – 3 December, and is now at -38%, according to CFTC data. 

  • "This move was widely expected as short-positions had previously held up surprisingly well, despite the mounting NZD momentum.
  • NZD remains the biggest G10 short amongst speculative investors as well as the only currency whose positioning falls outside the +/1 standard deviation band around its 5-year average. All of this suggests there is still some room for additional NZD short squeezing, which may continue to support the currency ahead.
  • The AUD net positioning also moved into less negative territory (+5% in the reference week), but a percentage of open interest remains around half of the shorts built-in NZD."

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