Market news

5 April 2017
  • 22:32

    Currencies. Daily history for Apr 05’2017:

    (pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,0666 -0,11%

    GBP/USD $1,2489 +0,37%

    USD/CHF Chf1,0041 +0,25%

    USD/JPY Y110,51 -0,16%

    EUR/JPY Y117,87 -0,27%

    GBP/JPY Y138 +0,19%

    AUD/USD $0,7567 +0,03%

    NZD/USD $0,6968 -0,07%

    USD/CAD C$1,3437 +0,27%

  • 22:18

    Schedule for today,Thursday, Apr 06’2017 (GMT0)

    01:45 China Markit/Caixin Services PMI March 52.6

    05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence March 43.1 43.5

    06:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) February -7.4% 4%

    07:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

    07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) March 0.6% 0.5%

    07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) March 0.5% 0.2%

    07:30 Eurozone ECB's Peter Praet Speaks

    11:30 Eurozone ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

    11:45 Eurozone ECB's Vitor Constancio Speaks

    12:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) February 5.4%

    12:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims 2052 2040

    12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 258 251

    13:00 U.S. President Trump and President Xi Jinping Meeting

    13:30 U.S. FOMC Member Williams Speaks

    16:40 Eurozone ECB's Peter Praet Speaks

    17:15 Eurozone ECB's Vitor Constancio Speaks

    23:30 Australia AiG Performance of Construction Index March 53.1

  • 14:34

    U.S. commercial crude oil inventories increased by 1.6 million barrels

    U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) increased by 1.6 million barrels from the previous week. At 535.5 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year.

    Total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 0.6 million barrels last week, but are in the upper half of the average range. Finished gasoline inventories decreased while blending components inventories increased last week.

    Distillate fuel inventories decreased by 0.5 million barrels last week but are in the upper half of the average range for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories fell 1.2 million barrels last week and are in the lower half of the average range. Total commercial petroleum inventories increased by 1.0 million barrels last week.

  • 14:30

    U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, March 1.566 (forecast -0.53)

  • 14:06

    Growth in the non-manufacturing sector of the US at a slower rate in March

    The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., A.P.P., CFPM, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee:

    "The NMI registered 55.2 percent, which is 2.4 percentage points lower than the February reading of 57.6 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a slower rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased to 58.9 percent, 4.7 percentage points lower than the February reading of 63.6 percent, reflecting growth for the 92nd consecutive month, at a slower rate in March. The New Orders Index registered 58.9 percent, 2.3 percentage points lower than the reading of 61.2 percent in February.

    The Employment Index decreased 3.6 percentage points in March to 51.6 percent from the February reading of 55.2 percent. The Prices Index decreased 4.2 percentage points from the February reading of 57.7 percent to 53.5 percent, indicating prices increased for the 12th consecutive month, at a slower rate in March. According to the NMI®, 15 non-manufacturing industries reported growth in March. The sector continues to reflect growth; however, the rate of growth has declined since last month. The majority of respondents' comments indicate a positive outlook on business conditions and the overall economy. There were several comments about the uncertainty of future government policies on health care, trade and immigration, and the potential impact on business."

  • 14:00

    U.S.: ISM Non-Manufacturing, March 55.2 (forecast 57)

  • 13:45

    U.S.: Services PMI, March 52.8 (forecast 53.1)

  • 12:20

    Huge rise for US ADP employment data

    Private sector employment increased by 263,000 jobs from February to March according to the March ADP National Employment Report.

    "The U.S. labor market finished the first quarter on a strong note," said Ahu Yildirmaz, vice president and co-head of the ADP Research Institute. "Consumer dependent industries including healthcare, leisure and hospitality, and trade had strong growth during the month."

    Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics said, "Job growth is off to a strong start in 2017. The gains are broad based but most notable in the goods producing side of the economy including construction, manufacturing and mining."

    .

  • 12:15

    U.S.: ADP Employment Report, March 263 (forecast 187)

  • 12:00

    Offers

    EUR/USD

    Offers: 1.0700 1.0730 1.0750 1.0780 1.0800

    Bids: 1.0645-50 1.0630 1.0600 1.0580 1.0565 1.0550


    GBP/USD

    Offers: 1.2450 1.2465 1.2485 1.2500 1.2520 1.2550-55 1.2585 1.2600

    Bids: 1.2420 1.2400 1.2375-80 1.2350 1.2330 1.2300 1.2280 1.2250


    EUR/JPY

    Offers: 117.85 118.00 118.20 118.50 118.65 118.80 119.00

    Bids: 117.50 117.30 117.00 116.85 116.50 116.00


    EUR/GBP

    Offers: 0.8600 0.8630 0.8650 0.8685 0.8700

    Bids: 0.8575 0.8555-60 0.8525-30 0.8500


    USD/JPY

    Offers: 110.80 111.00 111.20 111.50 111.80 112.00

    Bids: 110.50 110.25-30 110.00 109.85 109.65 109.50


    AUD/USD

    Offers: 0.7600 0.7620 0.7650 0.7675 0.7700

    Bids: 0.7555-60 0.7530 0.7500 0.7485 0.7450


  • 11:44

    National Bank of Romania decided to leave the benchmark rate unchanged at 1.75%, as expected

    Romania's central bank kept its key interest rate unchanged, as widely expected, on Wednesday.

    The Board of the National Bank of Romania, cited by rttnews, decided to leave the benchmark rate unchanged at 1.75 percent.

    The minimum reserve requirement ratio on foreign currency-denominated liabilities of credit institutions and the ratio on the leu-denominated liabilities were maintained at 10 percent and 8 percent, respectively.

    The bank reiterated that it will pursue adequate liquidity management in the banking system.

  • 11:08

    Athens - EU's Tusk says aims at facilitating bailout negotiations, there is no alternative to a positive breakthrough on friday

  • 10:34

    Far-right's Le Pen to get 26 pct (unchanged) in 1st round of French election, Macron 24 pct (unchanged), Fillon 20 pct (unchanged) - Opinionway poll

  • 10:00

    Greek PM Tsipras says if there is no deal on bailout review on April 7, there should be initiatives at a higher level

    • Some of Greece's lenders have caused delays in bailout review

    • Greece is expected to achieve a primary budget surplus of more than 3.0 pct of GDP in 2016

  • 09:13

    Ex-BoJ Momma: it is near-certainty BoJ will miss its 2 pct inflation target for fiscal 2018/19

  • 08:34

    March data pointed to a rebound in UK service sector growth, largest in 2017 so far. GBP/USD rose 60 pips after the release

    March data pointed to a rebound in UK service sector growth, with business activity and incoming new work both rising at the strongest rates so far in 2017. Survey respondents also remained optimistic about the year-ahead business outlook, with almost half of the survey panel forecasting growth while only one-in-nine expect a fall in activity. However, intense cost pressures continued in March, which led to the fastest rise in prices charged by service sector firms since September 2008.

    The headline seasonally adjusted Markit/CIPS Services PMI Business Activity Index picked up from 53.3 in February to 55.0 in March, and therefore above the 50.0 no-change value for the eighth consecutive month. Moreover, the latest reading signalled a marked increase in business activity and the fastest pace of expansion since December 2016. This signalled a marked rebound from the five-month low seen in February.

  • 08:30

    United Kingdom: Purchasing Manager Index Services, March 55 (forecast 53.5)

  • 08:00

    Eurozone: Services PMI, March 56 (forecast 56.5)

  • 07:57

    Markit Germany Services PMI Business Activity Index rose to 55.6 in March, fastest in 2 years

    The seasonally adjusted Markit Germany Services PMI Business Activity Index rose to 55.6 in March, from 54.4 in February, signalling the fastest expansion in service sector output since December 2015. In comparison, the index average since the survey began in June 1997 was at 53.1. Activity has risen continuously since June 2013, the second-longest sequence of growth in the survey history.

    By sub-sector, growth was fastest in Post & Telecommunication, followed by Renting & Business Activities and Financial Intermediation respectively. Hotels & Restaurants recorded another marked decline in activity.

  • 07:55

    French composite PMI rose less than expected

    The headline seasonally adjusted Business Activity Index posted 57.5 in March. Up from 56.4 in February, the latest index reading pointed to the sharpest rate of growth since May 2011. Post & Telecommunications overtook Hotels & Restaurants as the best performing sector.

    The final seasonally adjusted Markit France Composite Output Index - which covers the combined manufacturing and service sectors - rose to 56.8 in March from 55.9 in February, and signalled the strongest rate of growth since May 2011.

    A key driver of the strong upturn in activity was another rise in new orders, the thirteenth in as many months, with some panellists commenting on a general improvement in economic conditions. Furthermore, the rate of expansion was the sharpest in over five-and-a-half years.

  • 07:55

    Germany: Services PMI, March 55.6 (forecast 55.6)

  • 07:50

    France: Services PMI, March 57.5 (forecast 58.5)

  • 07:30

    Spanish service providers recorded a further sharp increase in business activity during March - Markit

    Spanish service providers recorded a further sharp increase in business activity during March as improvements in market conditions helped them to secure greater volumes of new orders. Expectations of further improvements in the wider economy over the coming year led to stronger confidence around future growth of business activity. However, there were signs of building inflationary pressures, with output prices increasing at the fastest pace since prior to the economic crisis.

    The headline seasonally adjusted Business Activity Index posted 57.4 in March, down only marginally from February's 18-month high of 57.7 and signalling a further sharp monthly increase in service sector activity. The latest reading extended the current sequence of expansion to 41 months, with panellists reporting improved market conditions and higher new orders from both new and existing clients.

  • 06:38

    British PM May suggests UK will not finalise new EU trade deal before Brexit - Ft report

    • Suggests free movement of people from the EU to the UK could be extended during implementation phase after Brexit

  • 06:34

    Mixed start of trading expected in the major European stock markets: DAX + 0.1%, CAC40 + 0.2%, FTSE -0.3%

  • 06:34

    Options levels on wednesday, April 5, 2017

    EUR/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.0839 (555)

    $1.0808 (1073)

    $1.0764 (462)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.0670

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.0619 (502)

    $1.0579 (740)

    $1.0527 (1705)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 47215 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1450 (3939);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 53763 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0400 (4661);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.14 versus 1.14 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 4

    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.2709 (806)

    $1.2613 (368)

    $1.2517 (860)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.2430

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.2385 (579)

    $1.2288 (325)

    $1.2191 (542)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 15199 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (1318);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 16731 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3056);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.10 versus 1.14 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 4

    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 06:30

    New Zealand's Aaa rating and stable outlook are supported by the sovereign's very high economic resilience - Moody's

    Moody's Investors Service says that New Zealand's Aaa rating and stable outlook are supported by the sovereign's very high economic resilience, and a strong fiscal position compared to peers. Combined with effective institutions and policies, these credit strengths mitigate New Zealand's vulnerability to shifts in external funding or a turn in the housing market..

    High income levels, robust population growth and continued strong Asian demand for New Zealand's products and services, including dairy, tourism and education, support the country's very high economic strength.

    As such, Moody's expects real GDP growth of around 3.0% through 2017 and 2018, above the Aaa median of 2.0%.

    Moody's conclusions were contained in its just-released annual credit analysis, "Government of New Zealand -- Aaa Stable".

    This analysis elaborates on New Zealand's credit profile in terms of Economic Strength, Very High (-); Institutional Strength, Very High (+); Fiscal Strength, Very High (+), and Susceptibility to Event Risk, Low (+), which are the four main analytic factors in Moody's Sovereign Bond Rating Methodology. It does not constitute a rating action.

    Longer term, New Zealand's potential GDP growth is higher than many Aaa-rated sovereigns. In particular, it benefits from a more favourable demographic profile than in most of its peers.

  • 06:27

    GFZ Reporting 6.2 Magnitude Earthquake In Northern & Central Iran @LiveSquawk

  • 06:22

    Australian Performance of Services Index improved by 2.7 points in March, moving back into modest expansion

    The Australian Industry Group Australian Performance of Services Index (Australian PSI) improved by 2.7 points in March, moving back into modest expansion at 51.7 points (seasonally adjusted). Results above 50 points indicate expansion, with higher numbers indicating a stronger rate of expansion.

    Three of the five activity sub-indexes in the Australian PSI indicated expansion in March (seasonally adjusted). Sales expanded in March (53.8). Employment grew solidly (55.0 points) and new orders improved to 52.3 points. Stocks continued to shrink in March (45.1 points) and supplier deliveries fell into contraction (46.3 points).

    Five of the nine services sub-sectors in the Australian PSI® expanded in March (trend data). Property and business services continued to grow strongly (58.0) while finance and insurance (55.5) and wholesale trade (54.3 points) also experienced solid growth. Growth in retail trade was modest but steady (52.3 points) while personal and recreational services slowed in March, with its index falling 3.6 points to 51.3 points.

  • 06:19

    Britain, France, US present UN draft resolution condemning Syria chemical attack @AFP

5 April 2017
Market Focus
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