Noticias del mercado

13 diciembre 2012
  • 20:20

    American focus: euro rose

      

    The yen fell to the weakest level in almost nine months versus the dollar amid speculation the party of Japanese opposition leader Shinzo Abe, an advocate of unlimited monetary easing, will win weekend elections. The yen slid against most of its major peers amid speculation the Bank of Japan’s Tankan survey will show manufacturers’ pessimism grew.

    The pound slipped after S&P lowered the outlook on Britain’s AAA ratings, citing weak economic growth and a worsening debt profile. The outlook, revised from stable, reflects the view that S&P has a one-in-three chance of lowering the ratings in the next two years, according to a statement from the ratings company.

    The euro rose after news that European Union finance ministers closer to a bank union to reach an agreement on a common banking supervisors. The European Central Bank will oversee the largest creditors of the region.

    Also support the single currency was a message about that. that the Eurogroup approved the allocation of aid to Greece. In December, Greece will receive 34.3 billion euros, and in the 1st quarter of 2013 - the new installment.

    The euro continues to trade at a higher against the dollar, despite the uncertainty of the situation in the U.S., which reminded Boehner last comments on the fiscal cliff.

    The Swiss franc strengthened against the euro after the Swiss National Bank left unchanged the target range for the three-month interest rate of LIBOR 0,0% -0,25%. The bank reiterated that it will intervene in the currency markets to prevent the growth of the Swiss franc against the euro and the weakening of the euro / franc below 1.20.

  • 18:59

    GBP/USD: The pound fell to 1.6080 in the S&P decision

     

     

    The British pound weakened sharply against the dollar in response to the news that S & P has revised its outlook on the UK 'AAA' from stable to negative, although it confirmed the rating itself at current levels.

    Pound updated intraday low of $ 1.6083 and then rebounded slightly.


  • 18:35

    The pound fell after S&P lowered the rating outlook of the UK

  • 18:33

    Standard and Poors outlook on UK AAA rating revised to negative from stable

  • 16:00

    U.S.: Business inventories , October +0.4% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 14:45

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

    EUR/USD $1.2950, $1.3080, $1.3150, $1.3155, $1.3175

    USD/JPY Y82.80, Y82.75, Y82.50, Y82.45

    GBP/USD $1.6200, $1.6100

    AUD/USD $1.0450, $1.0465, $1.0500, $1.0520, $1.06550, $1.0560

    NZD/USD $0.8400


  • 14:32

    U.S.: PPI, y/y, November +1.5% (forecast +1.8%)

  • 14:32

    U.S.: PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, November +2.2% (forecast +2.2%)

  • 14:32

    U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, 343 (forecast 370)

  • 14:31

    U.S.: PPI excluding food and energy, m/m, November +0.1% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 14:31

    U.S.: PPI, m/m, November -0.8% (forecast -0.4%)

  • 14:31

    U.S.: Retail sales excluding auto, November 0.0% (forecast -0.1%)

  • 14:31

    U.S.: Retail sales, November +0.3% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 14:30

    Canada: New Housing Price Index , October +0.2% (forecast +0.1%)

  • 14:16

    European session: the dollar fluctuates

    Data

    00:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation December +2.2% +1.8%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) November -2.8% 0.0%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) November +8.6% +9.7%

    06:45 Switzerland SECO Economic Forecasts Quarter I

    08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m November -0.1% -0.3% 0.0%

    08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y November +0.4% +1.0% +1.2%

    08:30 Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decision - 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%

    08:30 Switzerland SNB Monetary Policy Assessment -

    08:30 Switzerland SNB Press Conference -

    09:00 Eurozone ECB Monthly Report December

    09:00 Eurozone EU Economic Summit -

    09:00 Eurozone Eurogroup Meetings -

    11:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance December -21 -17 -12

     

    The yen fell to its lowest level in nearly nine months against the dollar on speculation that Japan's opposition leader Shinzo Abe, who is a supporter of unlimited easing of monetary policy, will win the elections to be held this weekend. The yen also fell in anticipation of the report of the Bank of Japan Tankan, which is expected to economists shows growing pessimism among manufacturers.

    The dollar rose for the first time in four days against the euro after the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said that the recent stimulus measures of the central bank will not offset the effects of a "financial cliff", which immediately caused increased demand for the dollar.

    Franc rose against the euro after the Swiss National Bank left its lower limit for the pair EUR / CHF at 1.20.

    The pound fell for the first time in four days against the dollar as a report showed that the majority of UK manufacturers is declining orders. Sterling fell against 12 of its 16 major counterparts on speculation the central bank will resume asset purchases under its quantitative easing program. Note also that the data released today showed that the balance of industrial orders Confederation of British Industry in December rose to -12 from -21 in November.

    But in spite of this strengthening of the dollar and the pound, in the last couple of hours are observed to significantly decrease, which was caused by the Eurogroup statement on the allocation of Greek bailout package totaling 49.1 billion euros.


    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair dropped significantly, reaching $ 1.3040, but later recovered to $ 1.3080

    GBP / USD: during the European session, fell to $ 1.6110, and then rose to $ 1.6140

    USD / JPY: during the European session the pair fell to Y83.25, but now risen to the level of Y83.53


    At 13:30 GMT the United States, there are data on retail sales and retail sales excluding auto sales for November. Also during this time will be submitted to the producer price index, producer price index for the base, and become aware of the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits. In addition, Canada will report on the use of production capacity, and publish an index of prices for new homes in October. At 15:00 GMT the U.S. will know about the level of business inventories for October. At 23:50 GMT, Japan will release the index of activity in the non-manufacturing sector Research and Statistics Department of the Bank of Japan, and the index of activity in the large producers and the activity index for large companies from all industries on IV-th quarter.


  • 14:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3200/10, $1.3170/80, $1.3140/50, $1.3110-30, $1.3100

    Bids $1.3040, $1.3020, $1.3000, $1.2980/70, $1.2950/40, $1.2920, $1.2900

     

    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.6215/20, $1.6200, $1.6175/85, $1.6150

    Bids $1.6111, $1.6100/090, $1.6070/60, $1.6045/40, $1.6025/20, $1.6000


    AUD/USD

    Offers $1.0670, $1.0650, $1.0620/25, $1.0600

    Bids $1.0540/35, $1.0520, $1.0500/490, $1.0465/60


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y111.20/30, Y111.00, Y110.50/65, Y110.00/20, Y109.60

    Bids Y108.65/50, Y108.00, Y107.50/40


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y84.50/60, Y84.20/30, Y83.85/4.00, Y83.70/75

    Bids Y83.00/2.80, Y82.60-40


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8280, stg0.8220, stg0.8195/200, stg0.8110/20

    Bids stg0.8080, stg0.8065/60, stg0.8045, stg0.8035/30, stg0.8020, stg0.8005/00


  • 11:22

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

     

     

    EUR/USD $1.2950, $1.3080, $1.3150, $1.3155, $1.3175

     

    USD/JPY Y82.80, Y82.75, Y82.50, Y82.45

    GBP/USD $1.6200, $1.6100

    AUD/USD $1.0450, $1.0465, $1.0500, $1.0520, $1.06550, $1.0560

    NZD/USD $0.8400


     

  • 09:55

    Forex: Wednesday’s review

     


    The
    dollar fell against the euro after the Federal Reserve added to its monetary-stimulus program by announcing plans to buys more Treasuries, renewing concern the measures will debase the U.S. currency.

    The U.S. currency weakened after the central bank tied its policies to economic benchmarks and said it will buy an additional $45 billion of Treasuries a month, adding to its third round of quantitative easing, and matching economists’ forecasts.

    The Fed said interest rates will stay low “at least as long” as the unemployment rate remains above 6.5 percent and if inflation “between one and two years ahead” is projected to be no more than 2.5 percent. The committee “views these thresholds as consistent with its earlier date-based guidance.”

    A Fed program known as Operation Twist, which was designed to hold down borrowing costs by lengthening the average maturity of the Fed’s holdings, will expire at year-end. The central bank kept its target rate for overnight loans between banks between zero and 0.25 percent since December 2008 to spur economic growth.

    The yen fell to the weakest in eight months versus the dollar as Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party, which has pledged fiscal stimulus to stoke economic growth, leads in polls before Dec. 16 elections.

    In Japan, LDP leader and former premier Shinzo Abe has called for a doubling of the central bank’s inflation goal to 2 percent and “unlimited” easing to end more than a decade of falling prices. The Bank of Japan is due to a hold a monetary policy meeting on Dec. 19-20.

    The euro strengthened earlier as Greece plans to repurchase government bonds with a face value of 31.9 billion euros ($41.6 billion) from private investors including its own banks in a debt buyback to free up aid for the cash-strapped country.

  • 09:31

    Switzerland: SNB Interest Rate Decision, 0.25% (forecast 0.25%)

  • 09:16

    Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, y/y, November +1.2% (forecast +1.0%)

  • 09:15

    Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, m/m, November 0.0% (forecast -0.3%)

  • 07:59

    Asian session: The yen fell to the weakest level

     

     

    00:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation December +2.2% +1.8%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) November -2.8% 0.0%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) November +8.6% +9.7%

     

    The yen fell to the weakest level in almost nine months against the dollar before the Bank of Japan’s Tankan survey tomorrow, which economists say will show big manufacturers in the nation grew more pessimistic. The BOJ’s quarterly Tankan survey tomorrow will probably show that sentiment among large manufacturers slid to minus 10 from minus 3 in the third quarter, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg News survey. That would be the lowest since the first quarter of 2010.

    The Japanese currency touched an eight-month low versus the euro as polls suggest Shinzo Abe’s opposition party will win power in Japan’s Dec. 16 elections, adding to pressure on the central bank to take more easing steps as early as next week. Abe, whose Liberal Democratic Party leads in opinion polls before the general election this weekend, has called for a doubling of the central bank’s inflation goal to 2 percent and unlimited easing to revive growth. The BOJ is due to a hold a monetary policy meeting on Dec. 19-20.

    The euro maintained three days of gains after the Federal Reserve said it will expand its asset purchases, and before European Union leaders begin a two-day summit today. The Fed said it will buy $45 billion a month of Treasury securities starting in January to spur the economy. The U.S. central bank plans to “maintain accommodation as long as needed to promote a stronger economic recovery in the context of price stability,” Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said yesterday at a press conference after a meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. Rates will stay low “at least as long” as unemployment remains above 6.5 percent and if inflation is projected to be no more than 2.5 percent, the FOMC said in a statement. The thresholds replace the Fed’s earlier view that rates would stay near zero at least through the middle of 2015.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3055-90.

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6125-45.

    USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y83.65.


    The UK calendar starts at 0930GMT, with the release of the SMMT car production figures for November. At 1000GMT, UK Treasury Officials are scheduled to appear before the Treasury Select Committee to discuss the Autumn Statement. At 1100GMT, the UK CBI Industrial trends survey for December will cross the wires.


  • 07:21

    Currencies. Daily history for Dec 12'2012:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3073 +0,53%

    GBP/USD $1,6147 +0,22%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9262 -0,65%

    USD/JPY Y83,25 +0,89%

    EUR/JPY Y108,83 +1,38%

    GBP/JPY Y134,41 +1,09%

    AUD/USD $1,0553 +0,24%

    NZD/USD $0,8434 +0,51%

    USD/CAD C$0,9844 -0,16%


  • 07:00

    Schedule for today, Thursday, Dec 13’2012:

    00:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation December +2.2% +1.8%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) November -2.8% 0.0%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) November +8.6% +9.7%

    06:45 Switzerland SECO Economic Forecasts Quarter I

    08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m November -0.1% -0.3%

    08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y November +0.4% +1.0%

    08:30 Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decision - 0.25% 0.25%

    08:30 Switzerland SNB Monetary Policy Assessment -

    08:30 Switzerland SNB Press Conference -

    09:00 Eurozone ECB Monthly Report December

    09:00 Eurozone EU Economic Summit -

    09:00 Eurozone Eurogroup Meetings -

    11:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance December -21 -17

    13:30 Canada New Housing Price Index October +0.2% +0.1%

    13:30 U.S. Retail sales November -0.3% +0.4%

    13:30 U.S. Retail sales excluding auto November 0.0% -0.1%

    13:30 U.S. PPI, m/m November -0.2% -0.4%

    13:30 U.S. PPI, y/y November +2.3% +1.8%

    13:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m November -0.2% +0.2%

    13:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y November +2.1% +2.2%

    13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims - 370 370

    15:00 U.S. Business inventories October +0.7% +0.4%

    23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Manufacturing Index IV quarter -3

    23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Non-Manufacturing Index IV quarter 8

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