The dollar strengthened sharply against the euro, updating the maximum of 3 May, aided by statistics on the US labor market. The Labor Department reported the unemployment rate in the US in May, contrary to expectations, rose to 5.5% from 5.4% in April. The number of jobs in non-agricultural sectors of the economy increased by 280 thousand .. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate will remain at the April level of 5.4%, while the number of jobs will grow by 225 thousand. The ministry also revised its estimate of job growth in April to the downside - to 221 thousand. with previously reported 223 thousand. Wages, meanwhile, grew at a solid pace. Average hourly earnings of private sector employees increased by 8 cents, or 0.3%, to $ 24.96 in May. Economists expect that wage growth will be 0.2% in April. Compared with the previous year, hourly earnings rose by 2.3% in May, slightly better than the 2% annual rate in recent years. A report in May provides an initial assessment, and probably will be revised when the government will gather fresh data. But now the report states that employers continue to invest in new employees, despite coming out lately mixed economic data. A broad measure of unemployment, which includes Americans who are engaged in part-time or are not able to seek employment was unchanged in May at 10.8%. The average workweek also remained the same as last month, at 34.5 hours. The proportion of Americans who are unemployed or looking for work, remains historically weak. The level of participation in the labor force rose to 62.9% from 62.8%, becoming a sign of progress, but still close to the lowest level since the late 1970s.
The Canadian dollar rose against the US dollar, entrenched below CAD1.2500, which was associated with the publication of data on unemployment in Canada. As it became known, the unemployment rate in Canada in May, has held at the April level of 6.8%. Unemployment in the country at 6.8% retained the fourth consecutive month. Experts expect that figure will remain the same. The number of jobs in Canada increased last month by 58.9 thousand., After declining by 19.7 thousand. In April. Predicted an increase of 10 thousand. In comparison with May 2014 the number of employees increased by 192 thousand., Or 1.1%. Meanwhile, another report showed that labor productivity in Canada fell by 0.1% between January and March compared with the previous quarter. Traders had expected a decline of 0.2%. Unit labor costs increased by 1.2%, while hours worked declined by 0.2%.
The pound regained some previously lost ground against, but still shows a significant decrease. The main pressure on the currency had data on the US labor market. Also today, the British Chamber of Commerce lowered its growth forecast for the UK economy this year, citing weaker-than-expected rise in the first quarter. Business lobby expects the economy to expand by 2.3 percent this year, instead of 2.7 percent as previously forecast. However, the slowdown is expected to be temporary. The forecast in the medium term remains stable, the growth will be 2.6 percent in 2017 and the next. "While this slowdown will serve as a warning about the power of our economic recovery, we believe that the UK will ensure steady growth in the coming years," said John Longworth, director general of the British Chamber of Commerce.
Major U.S. stock-indexes on Friday after data showed that U.S. job growth rose sharply in May and wages picked up, signs of momentum in the economy that revived expectations of an interest rate hike in September. The strong jobs data indicated that growth was gaining traction, but Wall Street took a dim view as a rate hike could increase the cost of borrowing. Traders are now betting the Fed will start raising interest rates as soon as October, and will make a second increase early next year. The Fed has kept overnight rates near zero since December 2008 and the economy's sluggishness had raised doubts the Fed would be able to raise rates this year.
Most of Dow stocks in negative area (25 of 30). Top looser - Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ, -1.56%). Top giner - JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM, +1.70%).
All S&P index sectors in negative area. Top looser - Utilities (-1.2%).
At the moment:
Dow 17849.00 -76.00 -0.42%
S&P 500 2091.50 -7.50 -0.36%
Nasdaq 100 4476.50 -20.00 -0.44%
10-year yield 2.39% +0.08
Oil 57.67 -0.33 -0.57%
Gold 1167.20 -8.00 -0.68%
Friday preserved a downward tendency in Polish equity market. The broad market measure - the WIG index slipped 0.86%.Chemicals and utilities were the only sectors, which posted positive results (+0.65% and +0.37% respectively). At the same time, IT (-2.94%) was the worst-performing sector, followed by basic materials (-2.49%).
Large-cap stocks benchmark - the WIG30 index underperformed the broad market, posting a 0.96% drop. ASSECO POLAND (WSE: ACP) was the sharpest decliner among the indicator's constituents with its shares' quotations being beaten down 4.34%. It was followed by MBANK (WSE: MBK), dropping 3.77%. LPP (WSE: LPP), LOTOS (WSE: LTS) and ING BSK (WSE: ING) lost nearly 3% each. On the other side of the ledger, GRUPA AZOTY (WSE: ATT) and PGNIG (WSE: PGN) were recorded as the biggest gainers, advancing 2.70% and 2.62% respectively.
Stock indices closed lower on the Greek debt problem. According to the IMF and Greek officials, Athens plans to bundle its repayment of IMF loans. Greece have to repay of around $1.7 billion IMF loans. Greece had to repay its IMF loans on June 5, 12, 16 and 19.
German government bonds posted their worst weekly loss since 1999.
Meanwhile, the economic data from the Eurozone was better than expected. German seasonal adjusted factory orders jumped 1.4% in April, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% increase, after a 1.1% rise in March. March's figure was revised up from a 0.9% gain.
The increase was driven by a rise in foreign orders. Foreign orders climbed by 5.5% in April, while domestic orders dropped by 3.8%.
New orders from the Eurozone rose 6.8% in April, while orders from other countries increased 4.7%.
The intermediate goods declined by 0.9% in April, capital goods orders were up 2.3%, while consumer goods orders increased 4.5%.
Bundesbank upgraded its growth forecasts for 2015 and 2016 for Germany. The growth is expected to be 1.7% in 2015, up from the previous estimate of 1.0%, and 1.8% in 2016, up from the previous estimate of 1.6%.
According to the French Customs, France's trade deficit narrowed to €3.0 billion in April from €4.41 billion in March. March's figure was revised down from a deficit of €4.58 billion.
Exports rose 1.4% in April, imports declined 2.1%.
The Bank of England (BoE) released its quarterly survey. Consumer inflation expectations for the coming year in the UK rose to 2.2% in May from 1.9% in February. February's reading was the lowest level since late 2001.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,804.6 -54.64 -0.80 %
DAX 11,197.15 -143.45 -1.26 %
CAC 40 4,920.74 -66.39 -1.33 %
Oil prices traded mixed on the stronger U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar rose against the most major currencies after the release of the U.S. labour market data. The U.S. economy added 280,000 jobs in May, exceeding expectations for a rise of 2225,000 jobs, after a gain of 221,000 jobs in April. It was the largest increase since December.
The U.S. unemployment rate rose to 5.5% in May from 5.4% in April. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 5.4%.
The increase was driven by people entering the labour force in search of work. The labour-force participation rate was up to 62.9% in May from 62.8% in April.
Average hourly earnings increased 0.3% in May, beating forecasts of a 0.2% gain, after a 0.1% rise in April.
Earlier, oil prices rose after the OPEC's decision to keep its oil production unchanged at 30 million barrels a day.
"Member Countries, in agreeing to this decision, confirmed their commitment to a stable and balanced oil market, with prices at levels that are suitable for both producers and consumers," the OPEC noted.
Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh said on Friday that the oil price of $75 a barrel is a "fair" oil price for most OPEC members.
He also said that Iran plans to add 1m barrels per day of crude oil within six months of Western sanctions being lifted. Zanganeh added that oil price should not decline due to additional supply as other OPEC members will cut their oil output.
WTI crude oil for July delivery rose to $58.04 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent crude oil for July declined to $61.70 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
Gold price hit 11-week low due to the stronger U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar rose against the most major currencies after the release of the U.S. labour market data. The U.S. economy added 280,000 jobs in May, exceeding expectations for a rise of 2225,000 jobs, after a gain of 221,000 jobs in April. It was the largest increase since December.
The U.S. unemployment rate rose to 5.5% in May from 5.4% in April. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 5.4%.
The increase was driven by people entering the labour force in search of work.
Average hourly earnings increased 0.3% in May, beating forecasts of a 0.2% gain, after a 0.1% rise in April.
The labour-force participation rate was up to 62.9% in May from 62.8% in April.
The Greek debt crisis remained in focus. According to the IMF and Greek officials, Athens plans to bundle its repayment of IMF loans. Greece have to repay of around $1.7 billion IMF loans. Greece had to repay its IMF loans on June 5, 12, 16 and 19.
June futures for gold on the COMEX today fell to 1170.50 dollars per ounce.
Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh said on Friday that the oil price of $75 a barrel is a "fair" oil price for most OPEC members.
"I think most of the OPEC members believe that a price around $75 is a fair price for both sides and is working well," Zanganeh noted.
He also said that Iran plans to add 1m barrels per day of crude oil within six months of Western sanctions being lifted. Zanganeh added that oil price should not decline due to additional supply as other OPEC members will cut their oil output.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) agreed on Friday to keep its oil production unchanged at 30 million barrels a day. The next OPEC meeting is scheduled to on December 04.
"Member Countries, in agreeing to this decision, confirmed their commitment to a stable and balanced oil market, with prices at levels that are suitable for both producers and consumers," the OPEC noted.
"You'll be surprised at how amicable the meeting was," Saudi Arabia's oil minister Ali al-Naimi said.
The OPEC expects world oil demand to rise in the second half of 2015 and in 2016, driven by the growth in non-OECD countries.
Non-OPEC growth in 2015 is expected to be below 700,000 barrels per day, according to the OPEC.
The British Chambers of Commerce released its U.K. GDP growth forecast on Friday. The U.K. economy is expected to grow at 2.3% in 2015, down from the previous forecast of a 2.7% rise.
According to the British Chambers of Commerce, the slowdown is temporary.
While this slowdown will serve as a warning about the strength of our economic recovery, we believe the UK will secure steady growth in the years to come," John Longworth, Director General of the British Chambers of Commerce, said.
Bundesbank upgraded its growth forecasts for 2015 and 2016 for Germany. The growth is expected to be 1.7% in 2015, up from the previous estimate of 1.0%, and 1.8% in 2016, up from the previous estimate of 1.6%.
German economy is expected to grow at 1.5% in 2017.
"The German economy has recovered from the lull in mid-2014 more quickly than expected and has returned to a path of growth that is supported by both internal and external demand," the Bundesbank said.
Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann said that a sharp increase in the exchange rate will be downside risks to the economy.
EUR/USD: $1.1000(E2.35bn), $1.1100(E678mn), $1.1200(E971mn), $1.1400(E520mn)
USD/JPY: Y122.85($1.2bn), Y123.00($820mn), Y123.50($452mn), Y123.75($250mn), Y125.00($655mn)
GBP/USD: $1.4900(Gbp452mn), $1.5000(Gbp303mn), $1.5500(Gbp840mn)
AUD/USD: $0.7600(A$662mn), $0.7650(A$662mn)
NZD/USD: $0.7120(NZ$230mn), $0.7165(NZ$227mn)
USD/CAD: C$1.2345($310mn), C$1.2450($559mn), C$1.2490-1.2500($650mn)
According to China Business News, China's central bank plans to remove the ceiling on bank deposit rates rather than raising the cap again.
"I believe removal of the ceiling on deposit rates is not far off," Sheng Songcheng, head of the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) statistics department, said.
U.S. stock-index futures declined, as employment data bolstered the case for raising interest rates this year.
Global markets:
Nikkei 20,460.9 -27.29 -0.13%
Hang Seng 27,260.16 -291.73 -1.06%
Shanghai Composite 5,023.1 +75.99 +1.54%
FTSE 6,799.17 -60.07 -0.88%
CAC 4,931.19 -55.94 -1.12%
DAX 11,238.6 -102.00 -0.90%
Crude oil $58.18 (+0.22%)
Gold $1167.50 (-0.67%)
The U.S. Labor Department released the labour market data on Friday. The U.S. economy added 280,000 jobs in May, exceeding expectations for a rise of 225,000 jobs, after a gain of 221,000 jobs in April. It was the largest increase since December.
April's figure was revised down from a rise of 223,000 jobs.
The strongest job gains showed professional and business services, leisure and hospitality and health care.
The U.S. unemployment rate rose to 5.5% in May from 5.4% in April. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 5.4%.
The increase was driven by people entering the labour force in search of work.
Average hourly earnings increased 0.3% in May, beating forecasts of a 0.2% gain, after a 0.1% rise in April.
The labour-force participation rate was up to 62.9% in May from 62.8% in April.
These figures are signs that the labour market in the U.S. continued to strengthen. But the Fed may delay to hike its interest rate due to the weak wage growth figures and low inflation and mixed U.S. economic data in the recent months.
The U.S. economy declined 0.7% in the first quarter.
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 49.90 | +0.04% | 3.2K |
Visa | V | 68.25 | +0.06% | 4.8K |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 51.75 | +0.06% | 1.6K |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 129.58 | +0.17% | 300.3K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 101.60 | +0.21% | 2.9K |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 36.80 | +0.25% | 63.2K |
Travelers Companies Inc | TRV | 100.57 | +0.36% | 2.5K |
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC. | HON | 104.28 | +0.54% | 11.0K |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 210.38 | +0.72% | 6.3K |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 55.76 | +0.78% | 36.9K |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 66.90 | +0.86% | 5.4K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 46.36 | 0.00% | 8.7K |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 12.50 | 0.00% | 0.1K |
Hewlett-Packard Co. | HPQ | 33.30 | 0.00% | 6.8K |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 536.50 | -0.04% | 0.2K |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 78.11 | -0.05% | 6.5K |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 74.11 | -0.05% | 1.0K |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 84.16 | -0.07% | 2.8K |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 15.04 | -0.07% | 0.6K |
American Express Co | AXP | 79.30 | -0.08% | 2.9K |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 168.25 | -0.08% | 0.8K |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 42.83 | -0.12% | 7.0K |
E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co | DD | 69.60 | -0.13% | 3.0K |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 110.16 | -0.13% | 10.4K |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 85.35 | -0.14% | 2.6K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 28.57 | -0.14% | 13.4K |
Intel Corp | INTC | 32.26 | -0.15% | 13.5K |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 99.08 | -0.15% | 6.1K |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 35.48 | -0.17% | 1.8K |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 430.00 | -0.18% | 2.0K |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 111.25 | -0.19% | 1.1K |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 34.17 | -0.20% | 5.3K |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 48.00 | -0.21% | 13.7K |
3M Co | MMM | 158.00 | -0.22% | 0.1K |
General Electric Co | GE | 27.20 | -0.22% | 6.6K |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 40.50 | -0.22% | 0.2K |
AT&T Inc | T | 35.19 | -0.23% | 5.9K |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 81.86 | -0.23% | 44.2K |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 59.33 | -0.24% | 0.2K |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 245.30 | -0.25% | 3.9K |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 19.47 | -0.26% | 13.6K |
Boeing Co | BA | 140.75 | -0.31% | 0.5K |
Nike | NKE | 101.61 | -0.33% | 0.6K |
United Technologies Corp | UTX | 116.75 | -0.33% | 0.6K |
UnitedHealth Group Inc | UNH | 116.16 | -0.42% | 0.9K |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 95.91 | -0.42% | 0.1K |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 11.58 | -0.94% | 3.4K |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 17.40 | -0.97% | 4.4K |
Statistics Canada released the labour market data on Friday. Canada's unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.8% in May, in line with expectations.
The number of employed people rose by 58,900 jobs in May, exceeding expectations for a gain of 10,000 jobs, after a 19,700 drop in April.
The increase was driven by a rise driven in the number of private sector employees. Private companies added 56,800 workers in May, while public- sector employment declined by 19,100.
Part-time employment in May rose by 27,900 jobs, while full-time work climbed by 30,900.
Employment in the service sector was up by 48,600 in May, while the manufacturing sector adds 21,500 positions.
The labour participation rate increased to 65.9% in May from 65.8 in April.
The Bank of Canada monitors closely the labour participation rate.
Spanish statistical office INE released its industrial production figures for Spain on Friday. Industrial production in Spain was up 0.1% in April, after a 1.2% gain in March.
On a yearly basis, industrial production in Spain climbed at adjusted 1.8% in April, after a revised 3.2% increase in March.
The increase was driven by a rise in all subindexes. Output of capital goods rose 1.2% in April, output of intermediate goods climbed 4.2%, while energy and consumer goods production was up 0.2% each.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index (Preliminary) April 106.0 107.2
05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Preliminary) April 109.2 111.1
06:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) April 1.1% Revised From 0.9% 0.5% 1.4%
06:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) April 2.0% Revised From 1.9% 0.4%
06:45 France Trade Balance, bln April -4.41 Revised From -4.58 -3.0
08:30 United Kingdom Consumer Inflation Expectations Quarter II 1.9% 2.2%
09:00 OPEC OPEC Meetings
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of U.S. labour market data. Analysts expect that U.S. unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 5.4% in May. The U.S. economy is expected to add 227,000 jobs in May, after adding 223,000 jobs in April.
The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar as the Greek debt crisis continues to weigh on the euro. According to the IMF and Greek officials, Athens plans to bundle its repayment of IMF loans. Greece have to repay of around $1.7 billion IMF loans. Greece had to repay its IMF loans on June 5, 12, 16 and 19.
Meanwhile, the economic data from the Eurozone was better than expected. German seasonal adjusted factory orders jumped 1.4% in April, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% increase, after a 1.1% rise in March. March's figure was revised up from a 0.9% gain.
The increase was driven by a rise in foreign orders. Foreign orders climbed by 5.5% in April, while domestic orders dropped by 3.8%.
New orders from the Eurozone rose 6.8% in April, while orders from other countries increased 4.7%.
The intermediate goods declined by 0.9% in April, capital goods orders were up 2.3%, while consumer goods orders increased 4.5%.
Bundesbank upgraded its growth forecasts for 2015 and 2016 for Germany. The growth is expected to be 1.7% in 2015, up from the previous estimate of 1.0%, and 1.8% in 2016, up from the previous estimate of 1.6%.
According to the French Customs, France's trade deficit narrowed to €3.0 billion in April from €4.41 billion in March. March's figure was revised down from a deficit of €4.58 billion.
The British pound traded slightly higher against the U.S. dollar after consumer inflation expectations from the U.K. The Bank of England (BoE) released its quarterly survey. Consumer inflation expectations for the coming year in the UK rose to 2.2% in May from 1.9% in February. February's reading was the lowest level since late 2001.
The Canadian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar ahead of Canadian labour market data. The unemployment rate in Canada is expected to remain unchanged at 6.8% in May.
Canada's economy is expected to add 10,000 jobs in May.
EUR/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.1216
GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.5356
USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y124.85
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 Canada Unemployment rate May 6.8% 6.8%
12:30 Canada Employment May -19.7 10
12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings May 0.1% 0.2%
12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls May 223 225
12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate May 5.4% 5.4%
16:30 U.S. FOMC Member Dudley Speak
19:00 U.S. Consumer Credit April 20.52 16.7
EUR/USD
Offers 1.1285 1.1300 1.1320 1.1350 1.1380 1.1400
Bids 1.1230 1.1200 1.1185 1.1150 1.1120 1.1100 1.1080 1.1050
GBP/USD
Offers 1.5350 1.5370 1.5385 1.5400 1.5420 1.5450 1.5480 1.5500
Bids 1.5300 1.5285 1.5265 1.5240 1.5225 1.5200 1.5185 1.5165 1.5150
EUR/GBP
Offers 0.7365 0.7380 0.7400 0.7425-30 0.7450
Bids 0.7330 0.7300 0.7285 0.7265 0.7240 0.7225 0.7200
EUR/JPY
Offers 140.80 141.00 141.30 141.50 142.00
Bids 140.00 139.80 139.60 139.30 139.00 138.60 138.20 138.00
USD/JPY
Offers 124.80 125.00 125.20 125.50 125.75 126.00
Bids 124.50 124.30 124.00 123.80 123.50 123.30 123.00 122.75-80 122.50
AUD/USD
Offers 0.7720 0.7745 0.7775 0.7800 0.7825 0.7850
Bids 0.7675 0.7650 0.7625-30 0.7600
Markit Economics and HSBC Bank released its index the emerging markets on Thursday. The Emerging Markets Index fell to 50.7 in May from 51.3 in March. It was the lowest level since May 2014.
A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the activity.
The fall was driven by a decline in services and manufacturing sectors.
"Growth of emerging markets ground almost to a halt in May, according to the latest PMI surveys, highlighting the deepening malaise facing many parts of the global economy," Markit's Chief Economist Chris Williamson noted.
Stock indices traded lower as German government bonds declined. Yields of German government bonds rose. Rising yields of government bonds indicate their sales, the cause of which may be the fears of a possible Greek default.
According to the IMF and Greek officials, Athens plans to bundle its repayment of IMF loans. Greece have to repay of around $1.7 billion IMF loans. Greece had to repay its IMF loans on June 5, 12, 16 and 19.
Meanwhile, the economic data from the Eurozone was better than expected. German seasonal adjusted factory orders jumped 1.4% in April, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% increase, after a 1.1% rise in March. March's figure was revised up from a 0.9% gain.
The increase was driven by a rise in foreign orders. Foreign orders climbed by 5.5% in April, while domestic orders dropped by 3.8%.
New orders from the Eurozone rose 6.8% in April, while orders from other countries increased 4.7%.
The intermediate goods declined by 0.9% in April, capital goods orders were up 2.3%, while consumer goods orders increased 4.5%.
Bundesbank upgraded its growth forecasts for 2015 and 2016 for Germany. The growth is expected to be 1.7% in 2015, up from the previous estimate of 1.0%, and 1.8% in 2016, up from the previous estimate of 1.6%.
According to the French Customs, France's trade deficit narrowed to €3.0 billion in April from €4.41 billion in March. March's figure was revised down from a deficit of €4.58 billion.
Exports rose 1.4% in April, imports declined 2.1%.
The Bank of England (BoE) released its quarterly survey. Consumer inflation expectations for the coming year in the UK rose to 2.2% in May from 1.9% in February. February's reading was the lowest level since late 2001.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,813.35 -45.89 -0.67 %
DAX 11,233.36 -107.24 -0.95 %
CAC 40 4,935.57 -51.56 -1.03 %
According to the French Customs, France's trade deficit narrowed to €3.0 billion in April from €4.41 billion in March. March's figure was revised down from a deficit of €4.58 billion.
Exports rose 1.4% in April, imports declined 2.1%.
On a yearly basis, exports increased 4.4% in April, while imports climbed by 2.1%.
Destatis released its factory orders data for Germany on Friday. German seasonal adjusted factory orders jumped 1.4% in April, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% increase, after a 1.1% rise in March. March's figure was revised up from a 0.9% gain.
The increase was driven by a rise in foreign orders. Foreign orders climbed by 5.5% in April, while domestic orders dropped by 3.8%.
New orders from the Eurozone rose 6.8% in April, while orders from other countries increased 4.7%.
The intermediate goods declined by 0.9% in April, capital goods orders were up 2.3%, while consumer goods orders increased 4.5%.
The Bank of England (BoE) released its quarterly survey. Consumer inflation expectations for the coming year in the UK rose to 2.2% in May from 1.9% in February. February's reading was the lowest level since late 2001.
Inflation expectations for coming two years in the U.K. climbed to 2.3% in May from 2.1% in February.
Consumer price inflation declined 0.1% in April.
EUR/USD: $1.1000(E2.35bn), $1.1100(E678mn), $1.1200(E971mn), $1.1400(E520mn)
USD/JPY: Y122.85($1.2bn), Y123.00($820mn), Y123.50($452mn), Y123.75($250mn), Y125.00($655mn)
GBP/USD: $1.4900(Gbp452mn), $1.5000(Gbp303mn), $1.5500(Gbp840mn)
AUD/USD: $0.7600(A$662mn), $0.7650(A$662mn)
NZD/USD: $0.7120(NZ$230mn), $0.7165(NZ$227mn)
USD/CAD: C$1.2345($310mn), C$1.2450($559mn), C$1.2490-1.2500($650mn)
Canada's seasonally adjusted Ivey purchasing managers' index rose to 62.3 in May from 58.2 in April. Analysts had expected the index to decline to 55.5.
A reading above 50 indicates a rise in the pace of activity, below 50 indicates a contraction in the pace of activity.
The increase was driven by a rise in employment and inventory levels. The employment index was up to 51.8 in May from 50.3 in April, while inventories index rose to 59.5 from 53.2.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its growth forecasts for the U.S. The IMF downgraded its growth forecast to 2.5% in 2015 from the previous forecast of 3.1%, and to 3.0% in 2016 from the previous forecast of 3.1%.
Inflation is expected to be 0.7% in 2015 and 1.5% in 2016, the unemployment is expected to be 5.3% in 2015 and 5.2% in 2016, while the budget deficit is expected to be 2.7% of the GDP in 2015 and 2.9% of the GDP in 2016.
The IMF noted that the slowdown in the U.S. economy was driven by harsh weather, a sharp contraction in oil sector investment, the West Coast port strike, and the stronger U.S. dollar. According to the IMF, these effects were temporary.
The IMF said that the Fed should delay its first interest rate hike until the first half of 2016.
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council Member and the President of the Bank of Finland Erkki Liikanen said on Thursday that the central bank will continue its asset buying programme until the annual rate of inflation close to but below 2%.
The ECB's asset buying programme is set to run until September 2016.
Liikanen noted that quantitative easing has already had a positive impact.
"This policy set-up that is giving strong support to the economy is bound to continue for an extended period of time," he said.
The Bank of France released its growth forecasts on Thursday. France's central bank expects the French economy to expand at an average 1.2% in 2015, 1.8% in 2016 and 1.9% in 2017.
Low oil prices, a weaker euro and quantitative easing by the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to support the economic growth.
The ILO employment rate is expected to increase to 10.3% in 2015 and to 10.1% in 2016.
The Bank of France forecasts the budget deficit to decline to 1.6% of GDP in 2015 and 2016 as a result of declining energy bill.
Increase in oil prices, a stronger euro and geopolitical tensions are downside risks to forecasts.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said in a BBC interview that she was confident conditions can be created to keep the U.K. in the EU.
"I'm optimistic that if we all want it, we'll find a good solution. It's not about losing sleep over this, but about doing our work and creating the necessary preconditions for Britain to remain in the EU," Merkel noted.
According to the IMF and Greek officials, Athens plans to bundle its repayment of IMF loans. Greece have to repay of around $1.7 billion IMF loans.
"The Greek authorities have informed the Fund today that they plan to bundle the country's four June payments into one, which is now due on June 30," IMF spokesman Gerry Rice said on Thursday.
Greece had to repay its IMF loans on June 5, 12, 16 and 19.
International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde said on Thursday that debt relief would be a necessary component of any new bailout package for Greece.
She pointed out that financing would be very important in case of any slippages from the last bailout program. Greece has failed to meet many of its bailout conditions.
"And financing is a factor of the level of the debt, which itself is a factor of the maturity and interest rates at which debt has been accumulated. Everything has to add up at the end of the day," Lagarde noted.
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
Euro fell as raw-material producers slid and Greece became the first country since the 1980s to defer a payment to the International Monetary Fund. While international officials have reported some progress in the talks in recent days, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said they were far from reaching a conclusion.
The IMF cut its U.S. growth forecast and said the Fed should hold off from raising interest rates until the first half of 2016. The government's monthly employment data are due today, and economists predict the economy added 225,000 jobs in May, compared with April's 223,000.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.1180
GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair was trading in the $ 1.5350-65
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range Y124.35-55
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1370 (3224)
$1.1335 (6108)
$1.1286 (5723)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1235
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1160 (6168)
$1.1125 (3827)
$1.1085 (6749)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 5 is 117652 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1300 (6108);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 5 is 135399 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0800 (8550);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.15 versus 1.13 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 4
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.5500 (2329)
$1.5401 (1276)
$1.5403 (2230)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.5351
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.5298 (2449)
$1.5200 (2104)
$1.5100 (1474)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 5 is 35982 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5700 (2606);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 5 is 52899 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5000 (3088);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.47 versus 1.45 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 4
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 58.00 -2.75%
Gold 1,176.40 +0.10%
(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1223 -0,39%
GBP/USD $1,5356 +0,16%
USD/CHF Chf0,9339 -0,01%
USD/JPY Y124,45 +0,15%
EUR/JPY Y139,67 -0,24%
GBP/JPY Y191,11 +0,31%
AUD/USD $0,7675 -1,34%
NZD/USD $0,7115 -0,51%
USD/CAD C$1,2404 -0,38%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 20,488.19 +14.68 +0.07%
Hang Seng 27,551.89 -105.58 -0.38%
S&P/ASX 200 5,504.3 -79.28 -1.42%
Shanghai Composite 4,947.1 +37.12 +0.76%
FTSE 100 6,859.24 -91.22 -1.31%
CAC 40 4,987.13 -47.04 -0.93%
Xetra DAX 11,340.6 -79.02 -0.69%
S&P 500 2,095.84 -18.23 -0.86%
NASDAQ Composite 5,059.13 -40.11 -0.79%
Dow Jones 17,905.58 -170.69 -0.94%