Preliminary
data released by IHS Markit on Thursday pointed to a slightly slower rate of contraction of
the U.S. business activity in May, as the economy began to reopen.
According to
the report, the Markit flash manufacturing purchasing manager's index (PMI)
came in at 39.8 in May, up from 36.1 in April, but nonetheless pointing to a
further substantial deterioration in operating conditions midway through the
second quarter. Economists had expected the reading to increase to 38. A
reading above 50 signals an expansion in activity, while a reading below this
level signals a contraction. According to the report, significant contractions
in production and new orders drove the deterioration, as businesses slowly
returned to work amid challenging domestic and foreign demand conditions. The
rates of reduction were among the most marked since the depths of the financial
crisis.
Meanwhile, the
Markit flash services purchasing manager's index (PMI) rose to 36.9 in May from
the record low of 26.7 in the prior month but nonetheless signaling one of the
most severe contractions in service sector activity on record. Economists had
expected the reading to rise to 30.0. According to the report, the contraction
in the headline index was driven by further weakness in domestic and foreign client
demand.
Overall, IHS
Markit Flash U.S. Composite PMI Output Index came in at 36.4 in May, up from 27.0
in April, but nonetheless indicating the second-sharpest decline in business activity
since the series began in late-2009.
Commenting on
the flash PMI data, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at HIS Markit,
noted: “Encouragement comes from the survey indicating that the rate of
economic collapse seems to have peaked in April. In the absence of a second
wave of COVID-19 infections, the decline should moderate further in coming
months as measures taken to contain the coronavirus are steadily lifted.”