The Bank of
Canada (BoC) maintained its benchmark interest rates unchanged at 0.25 percent
on Wednesday, as widely expected. It also left its quantitative easing (QE)
program at $5 billion per week.
In its policy
statement, the Canadian central bank noted:
- Both the global
and Canadian economies are evolving broadly in line with the scenario in July
Monetary Policy Report (MPR);
- Bank continues
to expect this strong reopening phase to be followed by protracted and uneven
recuperation phase, which will be heavily reliant on policy support; the pace
of the recovery remains highly dependent on path of COVID-19 pandemic and
evolution of social distancing measures;
- Canada's real
GDP fell by 11.5 percent (39 percent annualized) in Q2, resulting in decline of
just over 13 percent in H1, largely in line with Bank’s July MPR central
scenario;
- Bounce-back in
activity in Q3 looks to be faster than anticipated in July;
- The Bank
continues to expect recuperation phase to be slow and choppy as the economy
copes with ongoing uncertainty and structural challenges;
- CPI inflation
is close to zero, with downward pressure from energy prices and travel
services, and is expected to remain well below target in the near term
- As the economy
moves from reopening to recuperation, it will continue to require extraordinary
monetary policy support;
- Governing
Council will hold the policy interest rate at effective lower bound until
economic slack is absorbed so that 2-percent inflation target is sustainably
achieved;
- QE program will
continue until the recovery is well underway and will be calibrated to provide
the monetary policy stimulus needed to support the recovery and achieve the
inflation objective.