The Swiss
National Bank (SNB) decided
to leave its policy rate unchanged at -0.75 percent at its September meeting,
as widely expected.
In its monetary policy assessment, the SNB noted:
- In view of the
fact that the Swiss franc is still highly valued, it remains willing to intervene
more strongly in the foreign exchange market, while taking overall exchange rate
situation into consideration;
- It continues to
supply the banking system with generous amounts of liquidity via COVID-19
refinancing facility (CRF); it is also active on the repo market as needed;
- Expansionary
monetary policy is necessary to ensure appropriate monetary conditions in
Switzerland and to stabilize economic activity and price developments;
- Inflation
outlook is subject to unusually high uncertainty. Forecast for the current year
remains negative (-0.6%). The inflation rate is likely to edge back into
positive territory in 2021 (0.1%) and increase slightly further in 2022 (0.2%);
- Economic
activity in Switzerland has picked up significantly since May due to the
relaxation of health policy measures and to fiscal and monetary policy support.
This should be reflected in strong rise in GDP in Q3, and the positive
development is likely to continue in 2021;
- However, it is anticipated
that, as abroad, the recovery will only be partial for the time being;
- Switzerland's GDP is set to
shrink by around 5% in 2020, its strongest decline since the crisis in mid-1970s.