8 outubro 2020
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts: PEPP envelope would likely have to be used in full to provide necessary accommodation
The ECB
released account of its September 9-10 monetary policy meeting. It noted that:
- Recovery was
asymmetric, being further advanced in manufacturing sector than in services
sector;
- On the basis of
the current information, PEPP envelope would likely have to be used in full to
provide necessary accommodation to offset downward impact of pandemic on path
of inflation;
- Point was made
that pace of monthly purchases could be reduced as tensions in financial
markets subsided;
- Further cuts in
policy rates and changes to conditions of TLTROs are also part of the toolkit
for providing additional monetary policy accommodation, if necessary;
- Recent
appreciation of euro exchange rate had had a material impact on the inflation
outlook in the September ECB staff projections;
- There was broad
agreement among members that there was no room for complacency;
- There had been
a marked appreciation of the euro exchange rate since July; while the
appreciation to some extent reflected improvements in global risk sentiment, as
well as euro area factors such as NGEU recovery plan, it also reflected
developments in monetary conditions in euro area relative to the rest of the
world;
- Market
positioning remained tilted towards further euro appreciation, with net
speculative US dollar positions against advanced economy currencies, including
the euro, remaining sizeable;
- Inflation was
expected to remain persistently low over the medium term, notwithstanding
gradual pick-up over projection horizon;
- Underlying
dynamics of the pandemic, developments in negotiations on post-transition
Brexit arrangement, outcome of US presidential election and decisions on fiscal
plans at individual country level as well as at euro area level had to be
closely monitored.