• A ‘blue wave’ in U.S. elections could bring forward Fed rate hikes - Morgan Stanley

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21 outubro 2020

A ‘blue wave’ in U.S. elections could bring forward Fed rate hikes - Morgan Stanley

CNBC reports that according to Morgan Stanley portfolio manager a Democratic sweep in the coming U.S. elections will likely unleash more fiscal stimulus, but it could also cause the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates earlier than expected.

The first rate hike by the Fed could be brought forward from around 2024-2025 to 2023-2024 — depending on how other policies, such as taxation, turn out in the event of a “blue wave,” said Jim Caron, a senior member of Morgan Stanley Investment Management’s global fixed income team.

Caron said that the U.S. economy, under pressure from the coronavirus pandemic this year, was already expected to rebound in 2021. Additional stimulus that’s likely to come with a “blue wave” would boost that growth potential further, he added.

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