• What can we expect from the ECB on Thursday? - MUFG

Notícias do Mercado

8 dezembro 2020

What can we expect from the ECB on Thursday? - MUFG

eFXdata reports that MUFG Research discusses its expectations for this week's ECB policy meeting.

"The ECB is set to “recalibrate its instruments” this week and while we would argue the forecasts to be published won’t change dramatically, we are likely to see a EUR 500bn increase in PEPP, which will be utilised to extend the degree of monetary stimulus through to the end of 2021. However, with the EUR 120bn addition to the APP ending this month, the overall PEPP size increase could be EUR 600bn in order to ensure the current QE pace can be maintained. TLTROs will also be added to the 2021 calendar, likely on the same terms as now (potential for rate of -1.0%). We expect the deposit rate to remain at -0.50%," MUFG notes. 

"We do not expect any major surprises this week and hence EUR is set to remain well supported within what looks like a new trading range of 1.2000-1.2500," MUFG adds. 

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