The Bank of
England (BoE) announced its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 9-0 to
maintain Bank Rate at 0.1 percent at its December meeting, as widely expected.
The MPC also
voted unanimously to continue with its existing programmes of UK government
bond and sterling non-financial investment-grade corporate bond purchases,
maintaining the target for the total stock of these purchases at £895 billion.
In its
statement, the BoE notes:
- MPC judged that
existing stance of monetary policy remains appropriate;
- MPC will
continue to monitor the situation closely; if outlook for inflation weakens, Committee
stands ready to take whatever additional action is necessary to achieve its
remit;
- MPC does not
intend to tighten monetary policy at least until there is clear evidence that
significant progress is being made in eliminating spare capacity and achieving 2%-inflation
target sustainably;
- Outlook for the
economy remains unusually uncertain; it depends on evolution of the pandemic
and measures taken to protect public health, as well as nature of, and
transition to, new trading arrangements between EU and UK, and the responses of
households, businesses and financial markets to these developments;
- Covid-19 vaccine
rollout is likely to reduce the downside risks to the economic outlook;
- Recent global
activity has been affected by increase in Covid cases and associated re-imposition
of restrictions;
- UK-weighted
global GDP growth in 2020 Q4 is likely to be little weaker than expected in
November;
- Restrictions are
expected to weigh more on activity in 2021 Q1;
- Successful
rollout of vaccines should support gradual removal of restrictions and rebound
in activity that was assumed in November;
- Additional
fiscal measures in Spending Review 2020 are likely to boost GDP by estimated
peak of over 1% during 2021-22
- Extension of
the government’s employment support schemes is likely to limit significantly near-term
rise in unemployment, although substantial further increase is still likely
over next few quarters;
- CPI inflation
is expected to rise quite sharply towards target in spring, as VAT cut comes to
end and large fall in energy prices earlier this year drops out of annual
comparison.