• BoE’s MPC member Saunders: Elevated unemployment would be sign that UK has too much spare capacity, would push inflation below target

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18 fevereiro 2021

BoE’s MPC member Saunders: Elevated unemployment would be sign that UK has too much spare capacity, would push inflation below target

  • UK economy has significant spare capacity
  • Jobless rate in the UK has risen markedly
  • Unemployment to rise when furlough ends
  • 5 million jobs are estimated to be furloughed
  • Furlough has helped to limit unemployment level
  • I see factors that could cause slow, incomplete recovery
  • Risks include household caution over spending, fears of unemployment
  • Even when UK economy regains pre-crisis size, it may still have spare capacity
  • Cutting interest rates below zero would be the most effective way to lower yield curve in financial markets, which drives borrowing costs
  • But BoE do not need to decide yet on negative rates
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