Markets remain calm ahead of Wednesday's US inflation data. A big downside surprise would be required to fuel a more meaningful reversal of US dollar strength, in the opinion of economists at MUFG Bank.
“The New York Fed’s Survey of Consumer Expectations revealed a drop in the 3-year measure from 3.6% to 3.2% while over a 1-year period, the measure dropped from 6.8% to 6.2%. The 3-year drop certainly looks more compelling at this stage.”
“Today could well be a day of consolidation ahead of the CPI data tomorrow.”
“Given the Fed comments over the weekend and the rally in equities and some tentative signs of commodities recovering, we feel a big downside surprise would be required tomorrow to fuel a more meaningful reversal of US dollar strength – something that seems very unlikely at this juncture.”