Russia is maintaining a very high level of revenue for its oil, natural gas and coal exports. But this does not protect Russia’s economy for four reasons, analysts at Natixis report.

Russia is suffering heavily from international sanctions

“As a result of the embargo on Western products, Russian imports have fallen markedly: Russia’s foreign currency revenues cannot be used to buy goods and services.”

“The departure of Western companies and the embargo on technology imports have led to a sharp decline in the production of certain goods and services; the effects of the embargo will worsen over time.”

“Inflation is high and household consumption is declining sharply.”

“The cap that Western countries will put on the price of Russian oil will reduce the price of oil in markets where countries still buy it.”