EUR/USD continues to edge higher toward the key parity level. A break above here could trigger a sharp short squeeze to 1.02, economists at ING report.
“It has been several weeks in the making, but it does now seem that EUR/USD is responding to the lower natural gas prices and the improvement in the terms of trade position. We should be a little careful here since EUR/USD is now threatening to break out of a bearish channel that has contained price action all year. That means a break of 1.00 could trigger quite a sharp short squeeze to 1.02 and at the very least slow the rate (5% per quarter) of this year's EUR/USD decline.”
“It is probably a question then of whether the 1.00 level can hold EUR/USD up to and including tomorrow's ECB meeting, before next week's Fed meeting could provide some more support to the dollar.”