US voters will go to the polls for the midterm election on 8 November. Markets tend to react positively to the checks and balances associated with a Congress that is not completely aligned with the president, economists at ANZ Bank note.
“The USD and equity markets tend to finish the month higher after midterms.”
“Markets appear to like the checks and balances that are associated with a split between Congress and the president. This would be pertinent this time, given concerns of more policy-induced inflation pressures that would come from a D-controlled Congress.”
“The bond market would welcome a divided Congress owing to concerns over further policy-induced inflation pressures that would come from a Democrat-controlled Congress.”