The Euro faces multiple headwinds. Economists at Citi expect the EUR/USD pair to stay in a 1.09-1.14 average range.
“The single currency zone faces an unfavorable mix of lower growth, high inflation and rising rates in the months ahead.”
“The ECB is expected to hike rates to 2.5% amid fears of a severe winter’s effect on energy consumption, China’s delayed recovery and likely recession in Europe. These forces suggest the Euro staying weaker for longer in a 1.09-1.14 average range.”
“The caveat is the timing of a turn in the US Dollar. Should the Fed turn more dovish in its monetary policy, the USD could weaken across the board. The timing of such a move remains difficult to forecast, however.”