A move above 0.6950 should allow AUD/USD to have another chance to revisit the 0.7000 mark in the near term, suggest Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group.
24-hour view: “Yesterday, we highlighted that AUD ‘is unlikely to advance much further’ and we expected it to ‘trade between 0.6870 and 0.6950’. While AUD did not advance further, it traded within a range of 0.6860/0.6930. The price actions are likely part of a consolidation phase and AUD is likely to trade between 0.6855 and 0.6925 today.”
Next 1-3 weeks: “Yesterday (10 Jan, spot at 0.6910), we indicated that while momentum continues to point to a higher AUD, it must break and stay above 0.6950 before a move to 0.7000 is likely. We continue to hold the same view. Overall, only a breach of 0.6825 (no change in ‘strong support’ level from yesterday) would indicate the current upward pressure has eased.”