After attempting to clear 0.9300, the USD/CHF resumed its downtrend due to the release of a softer inflation report in the United States (US), which spurred a repricing for a less aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed); consequently, the US Dollar weakened. Therefore, the USD/CHF erased its earlier gains and dived beneath 0.9280 as the Asian session began. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is almost unchanged, around 0.9270.
Following the release of the US CPI, the USD/CHF seesawed in the 0.9265/0.9360 range before stabilizing around 0.9270, 30 pips below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.9294. Oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pointing downwards and the Rate of Change (RoC) almost flat suggests sellers are gathering momentum. However, to further extend its downtrend, USD/CHF bears need to decisively break below 0.9265 to aim towards the 0.9200 mark and wall of support.
On the other hand, if USD/CHF buyers reclaim the 20-day EMA, that will immediately expose 0.9300, followed by the current week’s high of 0.9360, on its way north to 0.9400.