On Friday, AUD/USD dove back below the 0.700 level. Economists at Rabobank continue to see scope for AUD/USD to strengthen to 0.72 towards the back half of this year.
“An as expected 25 bps rate hike from the RBA this week, should not in itself create much of a reaction from the AUD. However, any rhetoric which pushes back against the risk of a forthcoming policy pause should lend support.”
We expect AUD/USD to trade mostly in the 0.69-0.70 area on a three-month view as the market assesses the policy outlook of both the Fed and the RBA.”
“We look for a move to AUD/USD 0.72 in the latter half of the year assuming China’s economic recovery remains on track.”
See – RBA Preview: Forecasts from 10 major banks, looking for any clues that the Bank is considering pausing