EUR/USD treads water around 1.0660-70 during Thursday’s sluggish Asian session, after posting the biggest daily jump in a month. In doing so, the major currency pair seesaws around the 50-Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
That said, an impending bull cross on the MACD joins the Euro pair’s successful rebound from the convergence of a 200-EMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s run-up from November 2022 to February 2023 keeps the EUR/USD buyers hopeful.
It’s worth noting that a sustained break of the 50-EMA level surrounding 1.0665 could trigger the pair’s jump towards a 1.5-month-old horizontal resistance area near 1.0810.
Following that, the January 2023 peak of around 1.0930 could act as an extra filter towards the north before directing the EUR/USD bulls to the previous monthly top of 1.1033.
On the flip side, a daily closing beneath the 1.0535-30 support confluence, including the 200-EMA and aforementioned Fibonacci retracement level, appears a tough nut to crack for the EUR/USD bears.
Even if the EUR/USD price breaks the 1.0530 support, lows marked during January 2023 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, respectively around 1.0480 and 1.0380, could try defending the pair buyers before welcoming the bears.
Overall, EUR/USD remains on the bull’s radar despite the latest inaction. However, the upside room appears limited.
Trend: Limited upside expected