Gold traders are again rejoicing after the Federal Reserve (Fed) confirmed expectations of a modest 25 basis points interest rate hike on Wednesday. The bright metal has re-gained the $1,970 mark, back on the uptrend after having retraced from year-to-date highs on Monday and Tuesday. Precious metals have all benefited from the super-important central banking decision, as Silver triggered a seven-week high just short of $23 to continue with its uptrend.
The fall of the US Treasury bond yields, with the benchmark 10-year bond netting below 3.5% after the Fed decision, is behind this move, as the US Dollar, the measure of all commodity markets, including Gold and Silver, is highly correlated to it.
Gold price still has some way to go before testing the levels above $2,000 seen on early Monday peak, a trend that is likely to continue according to market analysts.
Pablo Piovano, News Editor at FXStreet, deems another visit to the psychological round mark “on the cards”. Piovano analyzes open interest data from the CME Group in the Gold futures market to support that bullish thesis:
“The uptick in the precious metal was on the back of a small build in open interest, which remains supportive of the continuation of the upside momentum in the very near term.”
Anil Panchal, Technical Analyst at FXStreet, looks deep at the technicals of the XAU/USD price action, seeing room for a consistent rise, as Gold price remains out of overbought territory despite the uptrend seen in recent weeks:
“Gold price extends bounce off the 50-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA), backed by the looming bull cross on the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) indicator and upbeat Relative Strength Index (RSI) line, not overbought.”
Gold price technical analysis by Anil Panchal, News Editor at FXStreet
According to Panchal, the “two-month-old upward-sloping resistance line, near $2,015, acts as the last defense of the Gold bears”.
The price of Silver has made even more strides than its shinier counterpart, as XAG/USD triggered a seven-week high on the back of the Federal Reserve meeting, shortly reaching the $23 mark before retracing just below it. Silver price had not rallied as abruptly last week, but it is now making more gains than Gold.
The upside of the precious metal number two is a bit more capped than Gold’s, though, as the year-to-date highs set in January are still away and remain a thick resistance cluster. According to Anil Panchal, it will not be easy for the Silver metal to make new year-to-date highs:
“Multiple hurdles marked during early 2023 guard the XAG/USD’s immediate upside near $23.30, $24.00 round figure and the $24.30 levels before challenging the Year-To-Date (YTD) high surrounding $24.65.
“Meanwhile, the aforementioned horizontal resistance-turned-support appears a tough nut to crack for the Silver bears as it comprises multiple levels marked since June 2022, as well as the 50-DMA and 100-DMA, while challenging the bears near $22.25-55.”
Silver price technical analysis by Anil Panchal, News Editor at FXStreet