Strategists at TD Securities discuss Gold (XAU/USD) outlook.
“Money managers liquidated some Gold length and added shorts as debt ceiling optimism and resilient data aided the apparent formation of a triple top. Still, our positioning analytics argue that selling exhaustion is imminent.”
“We estimate a high bar for subsequent CTA trend follower liquidations, whereas discretionary traders remain underinvested and Shanghai traders have begun adding to their positions once more.”
“As expectations for a deeper Fed cutting cycle rise, discretionary traders should increasingly deploy their hoard of capital in the yellow metal, supporting new cycle highs before year-end.”