Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) appointee Megan Greene said on Tuesday, “it is important not to allow inflation expectations to become de-anchored.”
My current out-of-consensus call is on China's recovery, not the UK.
Expect Chinese recovery to be consumption-led, not investment-led, will exceed 5% growth target.
Chinese recovery to be driven by domestic services, not importing goods.
Judgement more important for boe forecasting, relative to models, during current uncertain environment.
If you engage in stop-start monetary policy, can end up with worse outcome.
Important not to allow inflation expectations to become de-anchored.