The Rand has recovered well after USD/ZAR nearly hit 20.00 in early June. Economists at ING discuss ZAR outlook.
Geopolitics may discourage investors chasing Rand gains. In August, South Africa hosts a summit of BRICS leaders. Expect to hear more on the story of possible South African arms sales to Russia – and US Congress questioning trade ties.
Weak growth (0.5-1.0% over coming years) and a current account deficit in the 2-3% of GDP area will hold ZAR back.
USD/ZAR – 1M 19.50 3M 19.00 6M 18.50 12M 18.00