Economists at TD Securities discuss IDR outlook ahead of the Bank of Indonesia Policy Decision.
BI may extend its pause since Feb as headline inflation eased back to its 2-4% target while core CPI decelerated further. However, we think rate cuts are unlikely in the near-term as narrowing of rate differential could erode support for IDR.
USD/IDR is approaching a key psychological level of 15,000 which BI could be closely watching and a dovish stance won't be helpful for IDR.