EUR/USD has drifted back through to the upper 1.09s again. Economists at Scotiabank analyze the pair’s outlook.
Market positioning and uncertainty over the ECB policy outlook suggest the EUR may retain a soft undertone in the short run but bargain hunters may start to show renewed interest in the EUR on dips to the low/mid 1.09 area from here.
Spot trends are soft but EUR losses have slowed as the market nears support defined by the 100-DMA and trend line support off the late 2022 lows at 1.0925. EUR losses through here will point to a more sustained drop in all likelihood.
Resistance is 1.1025 while a rebound through 1.1045/50 is required to give the EUR a more sustainable technical bid.