The USD/JPY pair extends its upside for the fourth consecutive day, heading into an early European session on Thursday. The major pair currently trades around 143.95, gaining 0.15% for the day. Market participants await the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July for fresh impetus. The US inflation figure is expected to rise from 3% to 3.3%, and the core figure is expected to remain unchanged at 4.8%.
According to the four-hour chart, the USD/JPY pair stands above the 50- and 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) with an upward slope, which means the path of least resistance is to the upside for the major pair.
Any meaningful follow-through buying beyond 144.25 (the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band) could pave the way to the next hurdle at 144.65 (High July 6). The 144.90–145.00 zone will be a tough nut to crack for the USD/JPY pair. The mentioned level is the confluence of a high of June 30 and a psychological round mark.
On the downside, the immediate support level for USD/JPY is located at 143.10, representing the midline of the Bollinger Band en route to 142.65 (50-hour EMA). The additional downside filter is seen at 142.00 (100-hour EMA and the lower limit of the Bollinger Band), and finally at 141.50 (Low of August 7).
It’s worth noting that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands around 70 and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) stays in bullish territory, which indicates that the upside momentum has been activated for the time being.