The main highlight today is the US Nonfarm Payrolls report for September. Economists at Danske analyze how the EUR/USD pair could react to lower-than-expected employment data.
We look for Nonfarm Payrolls at 140K today, which is 30K lower than the consensus. Additionally, we expect average hourly earnings at 0.2% MoM, slightly below consensus of 0.3% MoM.
If we are right, EUR/USD will most likely move higher on the release, in line with our tactical case based on US data starting to disappoint.
See – NFP Preview: Forecasts from seven major banks, losing momentum