- China: Further rate cuts likely by the PBoC – UOB
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19 outubro 2023
China: Further rate cuts likely by the PBoC – UOB
In the opinion of Economist Lee Sue Ann at UOB Group, the PBoC is expected to cut both its 1-Year and 5-Year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at its event on Friday.
Key Quotes
The weak inflation and growth backdrop supports further monetary policy easing. We keep our call for a further 10 bps cut to the 1Y LPR and 20 bps cut to the 5Y LPR in 4Q23 to bring the rates to 3.35% and 4.00% respectively by yearend.
For now, we still expect interest rates to stay on hold in 2024 on the assumption of further economic stabilisation while PBOC wants to avoid encouraging a further build-up in leverage.
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