The moves in the USD over the past week or so have been rather limited but they may be significant – particularly the USD’s failure to capitalize on the DXY’s push through the 103.50 area on Tuesday. 

Short-termism may be a factor for investors who are unwilling to stick with positioning for too long amid an uncertain backdrop. But the window for improvement in the USD may be closing a little. 

Seasonally, Q1 is usually USD-positive but typically, the best of that comes in January history shows us.

DXY weakness below 102.90 may spell a bit more softness in the big Dollar in the short run at least.