The Greenback is still significantly weaker than the levels traded at the start of last week. This raises the question as to whether the USD has further ground to give or whether USD buyers will be tempted to re-enter the fray. Today’s better tone suggests that the latter may be more likely.

The next technical resistance is at last week’s high in the 1.9070/1.0980 area ahead of the psychologically important 1.1000 level. 

The potential for similar policy responses between both the Fed and the ECB this year has the potential to limit volatility in EUR/USD in the months ahead. That said, as we move into H2, the market is likely to be increasingly focused on the US election and on the outlook for growth and interest rate differentials into 2025.