The Euro (EUR) is expected to trade in a range, likely between 1.0875 and 1.0915. Upward momentum is slowing; it remains to be seen if EUR can rise further to 1.0940, UOB Group FX strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
24-HOUR VIEW: “Yesterday, we expected EUR to trade in a range between 1.0855 and 1.0905. Our expectations were incorrect, as it rose to 1.0922 before pulling back to close at 1.0894 (-0.11%). The advance did not result in any clear increase in momentum. Today, we continue to expect EUR to trade in a range, probably between 1.0875 and 1.0915.”
1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We highlighted last Friday (12 Jul, spot at 1.0865) that EUR ‘is expected to continue to rise.’ We also highlighted that ‘severely overbought conditions suggest it might take a couple of days before 1.0915 comes into view.’ Yesterday, EUR broke above 1.0915, reaching a high of 1.0922. EUR pulled back from the high, closing at 1.0894 (-0.11%). While there is still scope for EUR to rise further, upward momentum is slowing, and it remains to be seen if any further advance can reach 1.0940. On the downside, a breach of 1.0850 (‘strong support’ level previously at 1.0825) would mean that the EUR strength from early this month has run its course.”