EUR/USD briefly printed above 1.10 on Monday on the back of the huge Fed easing repricing. As mentioned above, the dollar may recover a bit more ground today, ING’s FX strategist Francesco Pesole notes.

EUR/USD to trade above 1.10 in short term

“EUR/USD briefly printed above 1.10 yesterday on the back of the huge Fed easing repricing. As mentioned above, the dollar may recover a bit more ground today, and we could see EUR/USD slip back to the 1.090 mark.”

“The 2-year EUR:USD swap rate differential is now -100bp after having touched -71bp yesterday. This is huge volatility, but also follows a tightening trend in the spread that started in April (when it was at -160bp). Our short-term models indicate EUR/USD should be trading above 1.10 even if that spread rewidens by another 20bp in favour of the dollar.”

“In the rest of Europe, NOK should lead the pack in an equity rebound after taking the hit yesterday due to its low liquidity character. We would expect SEK to lag NOK due to lower beta-to-risk sentiment and speculation on a 50bp cut by the Riksbank on 20 August.”