There is room for the Euro (EUR) to test the 1.1080 level; the next support at 1.1050 is unlikely to come under threat. In the longer run, EUR is likely to edge lower, but any decline is expected to face strong support at 1.1050, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

EUR must remain below 1.1175 to remain bearish

24-HOUR VIEW: “Our view of range trading yesterday was incorrect, as EUR tumbled, closing lower by 0.45% (1.1112). The sharp drop appears to be a tad overdone, but barring a breach of 1.1150 (minor resistance is at 1.1135), there is room for EUR to test the 1.1080 level. The next support at 1.1050 is unlikely to come under threat.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “In our most recent narrative from last Friday (20 Sep, spot at 1.1160), we indicated that ‘the likelihood of EUR breaking above the year-todate high of 1.1200 has increased.’ Yesterday, EUR fell and broke below our ‘strong support’ level of 1.1100, reaching a low of 1.1082. Not only has upward momentum faded, but downward momentum is beginning to build. From here, we expect EUR to edge lower, but any decline is expected to face strong support at 1.1050. To maintain the momentum buildup, EUR must remain below 1.1175.”