• USD/CHF continues rising and might have established a medium-term uptrend. 
• It is likely to continue higher although it is potentially overbought and a downside gap risks closing. 

USD/CHF is rising up and forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows which indicates it is probably in both a short and – now also – a medium term uptrend. Given it is a key tenet of technical analysis that “the trend is your friend” the odds favor more upside to come. 

USD/CHF 4-hour Chart 

USD/CHF could continue rising until it reaches the next target to the upside which was generated when it broke out of the range. This target lies at 0.8680, the 100% Fibonacci (Fib) extrapolation of the height of the range higher. It has already met the conservative target at 0.8627, the 61.8% Fib level.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in overbought territory and if it remains there on a closing basis it will advise traders not to add to their existing long positions. 

A chart gap opened on Monday morning and there is a risk the market could pull back to fill this gap at some point.