Gold's price performance was exceptionally strong, with scarce historical analogies available for such a strong performance outside of a USD bear market and with a concurrently strong year in equity markets, TDS’ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.

Gold's price performance is exceptionally strong in 2024

“Gold's performance stemmed from a wild swing in investor positioning - morphing from underinvested at the start of the year to an extreme position size by US election night; alongside extreme physical market buying activity in the first half of the year, underscored by strong central bank increases.”

“Today, tailwinds from many of these underlying drivers have subsided. Following brief but significant liquidations, macro funds have reacquired a significant portion of their extreme position size, leading to renewed positioning vulnerabilities. And, this time around, a continued downtape.”