Notícias do Mercado

3 abril 2013
  • 19:20

    American focus: The dollar weakened against the euro

    The yen climbed versus all of its 16 most-traded peers amid speculation a decision tomorrow by the Bank of Japan will signal its monetary-easing efforts will fall short of its goals and fail to reignite inflation. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said yesterday the BOJ may fail to achieve its target of boosting inflation to 2 percent. The Bank of Japan will say tomorrow after a two-day meeting it will boost monthly bond purchases by about 50 percent to 5.2 trillion yen ($56 billion), according to the average forecast in a survey of economists.

    The BOJ’s new governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, has indicated that expanded purchases of government bonds will be the main tool for easing. He has said the bank will consider combining monthly purchases and an asset-purchase fund, as well as buying more debt with longer maturities. Kuroda, who has given himself two years to do “whatever it takes” to end deflation, is running his first policy meeting.

    The dollar weakened against the euro as a gauge of U.S. service industries dropped more than forecast. The greenback extended losses against the euro and yen after the Institute for Supply Management’s index of U.S. non- manufacturing businesses, which covers almost 90 percent of the economy, fell to 54.4 in March from 56 in the prior month. The median forecast of 73 economists was 55.5. Readings above 50 signal expansion.

    The European Central Bank’s Governing Council meets tomorrow to decide on interest rates. Of 56 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, 54 expect the ECB to keep its key rate at a record-low 0.75 percent, while two predict a cut.

    The pound gained from a two-week low on bets the Bank of England won’t extend monetary-stimulus tomorrow. The pound strengthened against the dollar amid speculation the Bank of England will refrain at its meeting tomorrow from extending stimulus measures that tend to devalue the currency. Central-bank policy makers will maintain their asset-purchase target at 375 billion pounds ($568 billion), according to economists surveyed.


  • 15:30

    U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, March +2.7

  • 15:00

    U.S.: ISM Non-Manufacturing, March 54.4 (forecast 55.9)

  • 14:45

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.2750, $1.2780, $1.2850, $1.2860, $1.2900, $1.2995

    USD/JPY Y93.00, Y93.50, Y93.70, Y94.00, Y95.00, Y96.00

    EUR/JPY Y120.70, Y121.00

    GBP/USD $1.5000

    AUD/USD $1.0450
  • 13:15

    U.S.: ADP Employment Report, March 158 (forecast 203)

  • 13:00

    European session: the euro is traded upward

    Data

    00:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m February +4.2% -5.3%

    00:30 Australia Trade Balance February -0.18 -1.00 -1.22

    01:00 China Non-Manufacturing PMI March 54.5 55.6

    01:45 China HSBC Services PMI March 52.1 54.3

    08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction March 46.8 47.7 47.2

    08:30 United Kingdom BOE Credit Conditions Survey Quarter I

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Preliminary) March +1.8% +1.6% +1.7%


    The euro rose against the dollar, recovering from the minimum value, and setting all the new session high, as many market participants are expecting that the European Central Bank at its meeting tomorrow may signal a readiness to take place in the near future economic stimulus program. Meanwhile, on the dynamics of trade affected the data showed that the level of consumer price inflation in the euro area slowed in March, which was the third consecutive monthly decline, but less than economists forecast, driven by slower growth in energy prices. According to the report, the harmonized index of consumer prices rose last month by 1.7% year on year in March, compared with an increase of 1.8% in February and forecast at around 1.6%. It is learned that the greatest contribution to the overall increase in prices brought food, alcohol and tobacco prices, which rose by 2.7% per year, which corresponds to an increase, which was recorded in the previous month. At the same time, the report showed that energy prices have also increased at a slower rate - by 1.7%, compared with an increase of 3.9% in February.

    The pound rose against the dollar after a report on the state of the UK loan market, which was introduced by the Bank of England showed that many lenders claim that the program loan financing (FLS) reduces the cost of borrowing for companies, households. Survey also indicates that small companies benefit from FLS less than medium and large companies. Meanwhile, lenders have reported a significant increase in demand for loans from small and large companies in the 2nd quarter, but did not see significant changes in the availability of credit to companies in the 2nd quarter.

    Yen range against the dollar, due to the fact that today began a two-day meeting of the Bank of Japan in the new composition. Most economists expect that the outcome of the April meeting of the Bank of Japan will increase the asset purchase program and go to purchase medium-and long-term government bonds. Kuroda has repeatedly reaffirmed the intention to do everything possible to end deflation in Japan, which has lasted for a decade and a half, and put the economy on consumer price growth of 2% in two years. The new head of the Japanese Central Bank plans to achieve the target by increasing the volume of asset purchase program, as well as by changing the structure of the program.

    The Australian dollar has increased significantly against most major currencies after the spacecraft data showed that Australia's trade balance for the last month has changed suddenly. In the report, the Australian Bureau of Statistics noted that the rate of the seasonally adjusted change in February to -0.18 from -1.22 billion billion Note that the figure for January was revised from -1.06 billion analysts had expected the trade deficit will rise to -1.00 billion


    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.2837

    GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.5128

    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair is in the range Y93.30-Y93.70


    At 12:15 GMT the U.S. will announce the change in the number of employees from ADP in March. At 14:00 GMT the U.S. will composite index ISM non-manufacturing areas in March. At 22:30 GMT Australia will present the index of activity in the service sector of the AiG in March.


  • 12:45

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.2920, $1.2900/10, $1.2880/90, $1.2845/50

    Bids $1.2780/70, $1.2755/50, $1.2735/30, $1.2720, $1.2705/690


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.5280, $1.5230/35, $1.5190/2.00, $1.5150, $1.5120

    Bids $1.5075, $1.5070, $1.5042, $1.5027


    AUD/USD

    Offers $1.0550, $1.0520, $1.0485/90

    Bids $1.0410/00, $1.0390/85, $1.0365/60, $1.0355/50


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y121.50, Y121.20/30, Y121.00, Y120.50

    Bids Y119.20, Y119.05/00, Y118.50


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y94.50, Y94.30, Y94.00, Y93.75/80

    Bids Y93.10/00, Y92.60/50, Y92.45/40


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8555/65, stg0.8510, stg0.8500

    Bids stg0.8465/60, stg0.8455/50, stg0.8410/00, stg0.8395/90, stg0.8365/60


  • 10:30

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.2750, $1.2780, $1.2850, $1.2860, $1.2900, $1.2995

    USD/JPY Y93.00, Y93.50, Y93.70, Y94.00, Y95.00, Y96.00

    EUR/JPY Y120.70, Y121.00

    GBP/USD $1.5000

    AUD/USD $1.0450


  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, Y/Y, March +1.7% (forecast +1.6%)

  • 09:30

    United Kingdom: PMI Construction, March 47.2 (forecast 47.7)

  • 07:03

    Asian session: The euro remained lower

    00:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m February +4.2% -5.3%

    00:30 Australia Trade Balance February -0.18 -1.00 -1.22

    01:00 China Non-Manufacturing PMI March 54.5 55.6

    01:45 China HSBC Services PMI March 52.1 54.3


    The euro remained lower following a drop yesterday amid speculation the European Central Bank will use its meeting tomorrow to signal future economic stimulus. Data yesterday showed the euro-area jobless rate rose to a record 12 percent in the first two months of this year, adding to signs that the currency bloc’s recession extended into the first quarter. The ECB, which has held its key rate at 0.75 percent since July, forecasts the economy will shrink 0.5 percent this year.

    The yen fell as the Bank of Japan starts a two-day gathering at which it’s expected to increase monthly bond purchases to combat deflation. The BOJ will probably decide at this week’s meeting to boost monthly bond purchases by about 50 percent to 5.2 trillion yen ($55.6 billion), according to the average forecast in a survey of economists by Bloomberg News.

    Australia’s dollar rose against most of its major counterparts after the nation posted a smaller-than-estimated trade deficit. The South Pacific nation’s imports outpaced exports by A$178 million ($186 million) in February, the Bureau of Statistics said today. Economists had estimated a shortfall of A$1 billion in a Bloomberg survey.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.2795.

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.5075.

    USD / JPY: yesterday the pair rose to Y93.70.


    Focus today will be on release of UK construction PMI data at 0830GMT, with forecasts suggesting an improvement toward 48.0 from 46.8 last. BOE Credit Conditions Survey follows at 0930GMT. EZ CPI due at 0900GMT in an otherwise data light Europe calendar with attention set on US ADP data at 1215GMT and US non-mfg ISM at 1400GMT.
  • 06:25

    Currencies. Daily history for Apr 2'2013:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,2822 -0,16%

    GBP/USD $1,5103 -0,81%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9485 +0,19%

    USD/JPY Y93,36 +0,18%

    EUR/JPY Y119,71 +0,03%

    GBP/JPY Y141,01 -0,62%

    AUD/USD $1,0453 +0,28%

    NZD/USD $0,8416 +0,45%

    USD/CAD C$1,0141 -0,27%
  • 06:01

    Schedule for today, Wednesday, Apr 3’2013:

    00:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m February +4.2% -5.3%

    00:30 Australia Trade Balance February -0.18 -1.00 -1.22

    01:00 China Non-Manufacturing PMI March 54.5 55.6

    01:45 China HSBC Services PMI March 52.1

    07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index March +0.5% +0.2%

    07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y March +1.9% +1.1%

    08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction March 46.8 47.7

    08:30 United Kingdom BOE Credit Conditions Survey Quarter I

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Preliminary) March +1.8% +1.6%

    12:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report March 198 203

    14:00 U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing March 56.0 55.9

    14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories March +3.3

    21:00 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks April

    22:30 Australia AIG Services Index March 48.5
3 abril 2013
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