Notícias do Mercado

3 maio 2013
  • 19:20

    American focus: the European currency managed to recover almost all lost ground

    The euro exchange rate rose sharply against the dollar, what happened after the fall of the same material. Note that the initial depreciation of the euro contributed to a report from the U.S. Department of Labor, which showed that by the end of last month the number of people employed in non-agricultural sectors of the economy increased markedly, and the unemployment rate fell again, that more and more points to sustained economic growth. According to the report, in April, employers added 165,000 jobs, compared with the figure for the previous month on the level of 138 thousand note that according to the average forecast of experts, the number of jobs was up by 140 thousand Meanwhile, it was revealed that the level of unemployment rate fell by 0.1% to 7.5% as more people find jobs. That was the lowest unemployment rate since December 2008. Note that this figure is forecast was to remain unchanged. The good news is that the figures for the previous two months were revised to a significant increase - in general, to 114,000 (138,000 jobs in March, compared with the 88 000 initially and 332 000 jobs in February, compared to 268,000 as previously reported). Revised data for February are the highest since May 2010.

    But in spite of these positive findings, and later the euro still unable to recover their position than helped report from the U.S. Commerce Department, which showed that demand for manufactured goods in the U.S. fell in March, adding to evidence that the manufacturing sector has begun to slow within a month. According to the report, the seasonally adjusted volume of orders for manufactured goods fell in March by 4.0% to $ 467.29 billion, completely blocking a February growth of 1.9%, which was revised down from 3.0 % gain. Note that according to the average forecasts of experts, the volume of orders was down only 0.2%. As it became known, at the head of such a significant downturn faced declining demand for durable goods, including aircraft, defense products and metals. It should be noted that the demand for civilian aircraft and parts fell in March by 48.3%, orders for metals decreased by 3.2%, while demand for cars slipped by 0.8%. Meanwhile, we note that orders for non-durable goods fell 2.4%, while the oil sector fell by 7.3% in March, partly reflecting a decline in prices. Orders in the food processing sector, clothing and chemical products also fell during the month. Economists note that the weak overall demand for industrial products is consistent with other measures, which shows a slowdown in the manufacturing sector.

    The pound showed the same trend as the currency pair EUR / USD, which was a reaction to the U.S. employment data. We add that the original factor that contributed to the increase in the value of British currency was a report that showed that the business activity index for the service sector of the UK in April rose to 52.9 against expectations rising to 52.5 points from 52.4 points the value of the March . Today's data confirmed the trend of improvement, which earlier this week showed the indicator for the industrial sector and the construction sector. Note that among the UK PMI index only the index for the services sector indicates expansion of the sector (the figure for the sector is held above the level of 50 points, while the corresponding figures for the construction sector is 49.4 and Industrial 49.8 points ).

  • 15:11

    ISM componets

    New Orders: 52.3 vs 51.4 in March

    Production: 53.5 vs 52.2 in March

    Employment: 50.2 vs 54.2 in March

    Supplier Deliveries: 50.9 vs 49.4 in March

    Inventories: 46.5 vs 49.5 in March

    Customers' Inventories: 44.5 vs 47.5 in March

    Prices: 50.0 vs 54.5 in March

    Backlog of Orders: 53.0 vs 51.0 in March

    Exports: 54.0 vs 56.0 in March

    Imports: 55.0 vs 54.0 in March
  • 15:00
  • 15:00
  • 14:45

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.2830, $1.2900, $1.2950, $1.2965, $1.3000, $1.3040, $1.3065, $1.3100, $1.3150, $1.3200

    USD/JPY Y96.60, Y97.00, Y97.50, Y97.60, Y98.00, Y98.50, Y99.00, Y100.00

    GBP/USD $1.5250, $1.5550

    USD/CHF Chf0.9500

    AUD/USD $1.0195, $1.0250

  • 13:30
  • 13:30
  • 12:31

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3240/60, $1.3190/200, $1.3165/75, $1.3140-50

    Bids $1.3075/70


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.5670/75, $1.5650, $1.5630, $1.5590/610, $1.5570, $1.5555

    Bids $1.5475/65, $1.5450, $1.5430/20


    AUD/USD

    Offers $1.0390/00, $1.0380, $1.0345/50, $1.0330, $1.0300

    Bids $1.0220, $1.0200, $1.0185/80, $1.0155/50, $1.0120/15, $1.0100


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y99.00, Y98.80, Y98.60, Y98.45/50, Y98.35/40

    Bids Y97.80/60, Y97.50, Y97.25/20, Y97.00


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y130.50, Y130.00, Y129.50, Y129.20/25, Y129.00

    Bids Y128.35/30, Y128.10/00, Y127.55/50, Y127.10/00, Y126.80


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8580/85, stg0.8545/50, stg0.8530/35, stg0.8500/10, stg0.8480/85

  • 10:23

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.2830, $1.2900, $1.2950, $1.2965, $1.3000, $1.3040, $1.3065, $1.3100, $1.3150, $1.3200

    USD/JPY Y96.60, Y97.00, Y97.50, Y97.60, Y98.00, Y98.50, Y99.00, Y100.00

    GBP/USD $1.5250, $1.5550

    USD/CHF Chf0.9500

    AUD/USD $1.0195, $1.0250
  • 10:01
  • 09:28
  • 07:02

    Asian session: The dollar rose

    00:00 Japan Bank holiday

    01:00 China Non-Manufacturing PMI April 55.6 54.5

    01:30 Australia Producer price index, q / q Quarter I +0.2% +0.3% +0.3%

    01:30 Australia Producer price index, y/y Quarter I +1.0% +1.6% +1.6%


    The dollar snapped its biggest advance against the euro in two weeks before the U.S. releases April jobs data after the previous report disappointed with employers adding the fewest positions in nine months. Payrolls increased by 140,000 workers after an 88,000 gain in March, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News before a Labor Department report. The unemployment rate may have stayed at 7.6 percent, matching March's reading as the lowest since December 2008.

    The euro yesterday dropped versus 15 of its 16 major peers after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said policy makers may take the unprecedented step of charging banks to hold excess reserves. The ECB, meeting in Bratislava, Slovakia, cut its benchmark rate by a quarter-percentage point to 0.5 percent yesterday. It reduced its marginal lending rate, which banks use for overnight credit, to 1 percent, from 1.5 percent, and kept its deposit rate at zero.

    Australia's dollar was set for its longest weekly losing streak versus the New Zealand currency in 12 years as traders raised bets the bigger nation's Reserve Bank will cut borrowing costs next week. The Australian dollar was poised to decline this week against 14 of its 16 most-traded peers as swaps traders see a 57 percent chance the nation's central bank will lower its benchmark rate from 3 percent on May 7, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The RBA will cut rates by 59 basis points over 12 months, according to a Credit Suisse Group AG index.

    Japanese markets are closed today and on May 6 for holidays.


    EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3060-75

    GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $ 1.5520-40

    USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair around Y98.00


    With the ECB rate decision out of the way, the main release for traders to focus on Friday will be the US jobs data at 1230GMT. Ahead of the US numbers, there is a fairly light calendar across Europe, starting at 0600GMT, with the release of the German April car registrations data. At 0800GMT, the German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble is slated to deliver a speech at the University of Ulm, Germany. Back on the continent, eurozone March PPI numbers are expected at 0900GMT, with the European Commission Spring economic forecasts expected at 1100GMT.
  • 06:26

    Currencies. Daily history for May 2'2013:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3061 -0,93%

    GBP/USD $1,5531 -0,15%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9351 +0,86%

    USD/JPY Y97,92 +0,65%

    EUR/JPY Y127,90 -0,51%

    GBP/JPY Y152,06 +0,49%

    AUD/USD $1,0247 -0,30%

    NZD/USD $0,8494 -0,11%

    USD/CAD C$1,0105 +0,23%
  • 06:05

    Schedule for today, Friday, May 3’2013:

    00:00 Japan Bank holiday

    01:00 China Non-Manufacturing PMI April 55.6

    01:30 Australia Producer price index, q / q Quarter I +0.2% +0.3%

    01:30 Australia Producer price index, y/y Quarter I +1.0% +1.6%

    08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services April 52.4 52.5

    09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM March +0.2% -0.1%

    09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) March +1.3% +0.6%

    09:00 Eurozone Economic Growth Forecasts from European Commission

    10:00 Eurozone ECB Announces 3-Year LTRO Repayment

    12:30 U.S. Average workweek April 34.6 34.6

    12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings April 0.0% +0.2%

    12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate April 7.6% 7.6%

    12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls April 88 155

    14:00 U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing April 54.4 54.1

    14:00 U.S. Factory Orders March +3.0% -2.0%

    17:05 Canada BOC Gov Carney Speaks
3 maio 2013
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