Notícias do Mercado

3 setembro 2013
  • 19:21

    American focus: the dollar strengthened after data on manufacturing activity

    The dollar rose against the euro, though it has lost some of the previously -earned positions. Note that a positive impact on the U.S. currency had reports of the United States. It is learned that manufacturing activity in the U.S. in August grew. This is according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). According to the report , Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for the manufacturing sector in the U.S. August rose to 55.7 against 55.4 in July. Values ​​above 50 indicate an increase in activity in the sector . Economists had expected the August PMI to fall to 54.2 .

    Earlier Tuesday, the company Markit said its own final PMI to the U.S. in August almost unchanged at 53.1 against the July final value of 53.7 . The report Markit said that its index of " corresponds to a moderate improvement of overall business conditions in the manufacturing sector ." As the data ISM, Markit index value above 50 indicates an increase in activity.

    Meanwhile, we add that little support Eurocurrency had a report on the euro area, which showed that the producer price index for the industrial sector , with the exception of construction, rose in July by 0.2 percent year on year, which followed a 0.3 percent increase in June. Note that many economists forecast growth of 0.1 percent.

    The pound rose earlier against the dollar after the data on the index of business activity in the construction sector. As the results of studies that have been conducted Chartered Institute of Purchasing and supply , as well as Markit Economics, business activity in the construction sector rose unexpectedly in August, which was supported by the improvement in output and new orders. According to reports, the purchasing managers' index for the construction sector rose last month to the level of 59.1 from 57 in July , while the projected slight decline , namely to 58.4 .

    The Australian dollar rose against the U.S. dollar after the rate decision and the statement by the RBA . As it became known , the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its benchmark interest rate at a record low - 2.5 %% , as weak retail sales data were reminded that the country is going through a difficult end of a long boom in the mining industry. According to the bank , to boost the economy of the country will require longer maintain the low rate, as slowing growth in China have a negative impact on the value of commodities and does not stimulate the flow of investment in the mining industry .

    Since November 2011 the central bank eight times to cut interest rates , trying to smooth the transition to an economy less dependent on the mining sector, and to prevent excessive growth of unemployment.

    "Over the past year, Australia's economy grew slightly slower trend - the manager said RBA Governor Glenn Stevens , commenting on the decision of the bank. - In the short term, this will continue until the economy will adapt to the smaller volume of investments in the mining industry ."

  • 17:40

    U.S. construction spending rises 0.6% in July, more than expected

    Construction spending in the U.S. rose by more than expected in the month of July, according to a report released by the Commerce Department on Tuesday, with an increase in spending on private construction more than offsetting a drop in spending on public construction.

    The report said construction spending rose 0.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $900.8 billion in July. Economists had been expecting spending to increase by about 0.3 percent.

    Revised data showed that construction spending was roughly unchanged in June following a 2 percent increase in May. Spending was originally said to have fallen by 0.6 percent in June.

    The increase in construction spending in July came as spending on private construction rose by 0.9 percent to an annual rate of $631.4 billion.

    Spending on residential construction increased by 0.6 percent to an annual rate of $334.6 billion, while spending on non-residential construction surged up by 1.3 percent to an annual rate of $296.8 billion.

    Meanwhile, the report said spending on public construction dropped by 0.3 percent to an annual rate of $269.4 billion in July.

    The Commerce Department said spending on state and local construction dipped 0.4 percent to an annual rate of $245.4 billion, while spending on federal construction rose 1.1 percent to $24.0 billion.

  • 17:20

    Germany car sales decline in August

    Germany's car registrations were down 5 percent in August from a year ago, data released by the German Association of the Automotive Industry (VDA) showed Tuesday.

    New car registrations totaled 214,100 units in August. The report showed that this August had fewer working-day than in the previous year.

    Sales for the year-to-date period decreased by 7 percent to 1.97 million.

    VDA President Matthias Wissmann emphasized that domestic orders continued its uptrend despite an overall decrease in registrations. Demand from domestic markets gained 2 percent in August.

  • 15:00

    U.S.: ISM Manufacturing, August 55.7 (forecast 54.2)

  • 14:45

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3100, $1.3150, $1.3190, $1.3200, $1.3320, $1.3350, $1.3370

    USD/JPY Y98.50, Y99.15, Y99.20, Y99.75

    EUR/JPY Y129.05

    GBP/USD $1.5400, $1.5500, $1.5550

    EUR/GBP stg0.8460

    USD/CHF Chf0.9350, Chf0.9500

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2335, Chf1.2400

    AUD/USD $0.8930, $0.8940, $0.8950, $0.8975, $0.9000

    NZD/USD $0.7770

    USD/CAD C$1.0475, C$1.0575


  • 14:00

    U.S.: Manufacturing PMI, August 53.1 (forecast 53.9)

  • 13:15

    European session: the dollar rose against the euro

    Data

    01:00 China Non-Manufacturing PMI August 54.1 53.9

    01:30 Australia Retail sales (MoM) July 0.0% +0.4% +0.1%

    01:30 Australia Retail Sales Y/Y July +1.1% +1.9%

    01:30 Australia Current Account, bln Quarter II -8.5 -8.3 -9.4

    01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY July +0.1% +0.8% +0.4%

    04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%

    04:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement

    05:45 Switzerland Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) Quarter II +0.6% +0.3% +0.5%

    05:45 Switzerland Gross Domestic Product (YoY) Quarter II +1.1% +1.7% +2.5%

    08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction August 57.0 58.4 59.1

    09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM July 0.0% +0.2% +0.3%

    09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) July +0.3% +0.1% +0.2%


    The dollar rose sharply against the euro , reaching maximum values ​​at the same session , despite attempts to reduce the rate of market participants . Note that the expectation of currency appreciation is due out U.S. data on the production index

    Meanwhile, we add that little support Eurocurrency had a report on the euro area, which showed that the producer price index for the industrial sector , with the exception of construction, rose in July by 0.2 percent year on year, which followed a 0.3 percent increase in June. Note that many economists forecast growth of 0.1 percent.

    In addition, it was reported that the producer price index for intermediate goods fell in July by 0.5 percent in annual terms . In the energy sector , prices were down 0.6 percent. The cost of the capital goods industry , meanwhile, increased by 0.5 percent. We also add that the prices of durable consumer goods rose by 0.6 percent, while the value of non-durable goods industries rose by 2.2 percent compared with a year earlier. On a monthly basis , the overall producer price index rose 0.3 percent after remained unchanged in June. It is estimated that growth would be 0.1 percent.

    The pound fell against the dollar, losing all previously earned positions on expectations of the publication of data on the U.S.. Add that earlier in the trading data on the index of business activity in the construction sector had a significant support British currency .

    As the results of studies that have been conducted Chartered Institute of Purchasing and supply , as well as Markit Economics, business activity in the construction sector rose unexpectedly in August, which was supported by the improvement in output and new orders.

    According to reports, the purchasing managers' index for the construction sector rose last month to the level of 59.1 from 57 in July , while the projected slight decline , namely to 58.4 .

    In addition, it was reported that among the three areas of activity in the sector , housing shows the best results - construction output grew at the fastest pace since June 2010 . The data also indicated a sharp increase in civil engineering activities and an increase in commercial construction the highest rate since May 2012 . The volume of new orders , meanwhile, rose at the fastest pace since March 2012 . A higher level of new orders helped construction companies remain confident in the future of business in their units for the year ahead .

    The Australian dollar rose against the U.S. dollar after the rate decision and the statement by the RBA . As it became known , the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its benchmark interest rate at a record low - 2.5 %% , as weak retail sales data were reminded that the country is going through a difficult end of a long boom in the mining industry. According to the bank , to boost the economy of the country will require longer maintain the low rate, as slowing growth in China have a negative impact on the value of commodities and does not stimulate the flow of investment in the mining industry .

    Since November 2011 the central bank eight times to cut interest rates , trying to smooth the transition to an economy less dependent on the mining sector, and to prevent excessive growth of unemployment.

    "Over the past year, Australia's economy grew slightly slower trend - the manager said RBA Governor Glenn Stevens , commenting on the decision of the bank. - In the short term, this will continue until the economy will adapt to the smaller volume of investments in the mining industry ."


    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3160

    GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.5602 , but then fell to $ 1.5540

    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair fell to Y99.15, but then rose to Y99.55


    At 14:00 GMT the U.S. ISM manufacturing index will be released in August. At 23:30 GMT Australia will present the index of activity in the service sector of the AiG in August.

  • 13:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3340/50, $1.3290/300, $1.3250/60, $1.3225, $1.3200

    Bids $1.3150/45, $1.3135/30, $1.3120/10, $1.3100, $1.3090


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.5780/85, $1.5750/55, $1.5720/25, $1.5680/85, $1.5640/50, $1.5605/15

    Bids $1.5567, $1.5537, $1.5510/00, $1.5460/50


    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.9180, $0.9150, $0.9100, $0.9080, $0.9050

    Bids 0.8975/70, $0.8950, $0.8910/00, $0.8890, $0.8880/75


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8620, stg0.8590/600, stg0.8570, stg0.8550/55, stg0.8520

    Bids stg0.8445/40, stg0.8425/20, stg0.8400


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y132.31/43, Y131.95/00, Y131.80, Y131.50

    Bids Y130.50, Y130.25/20, Y130.00, Y129.50


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y100.45, Y100.15/20, Y100.00, Y99.80

    Bids Y99.00, Y98.78/76, Y98.55/50, Y98.28/26


  • 10:25

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3100, $1.3150, $1.3190, $1.3200, $1.3320, $1.3350, $1.3370

    USD/JPY Y98.50, Y99.15, Y99.20, Y99.75

    UER/JPY Y129.05

    GBP/USD $1.5400, $1.5500, $1.5550

    EUR/GBP stg0.8460

    USD/CHF Chf0.9350, Chf0.9500

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2335, Chf1.2400

    AUD/USD $0.8930, $0.8940, $0.8950, $0.8975, $0.9000

    NZD/USD $0.7770

    USD/CAD C$1.0475, C$1.0575

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Producer Price Index, MoM , July +0.3% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Producer Price Index (YoY) , July +0.2% (forecast +0.1%)

  • 09:31

    United Kingdom: PMI Construction, August 59.1 (forecast 58.4)

  • 07:01

    Asian session: Japan’s currency slid

    01:00 China Non-Manufacturing PMI August 54.1 53.9

    01:30 Australia Retail sales (MoM) July 0.0% +0.4% +0.1%

    01:30 Australia Retail Sales Y/Y July +1.1% +1.9%

    01:30 Australia Current Account, bln Quarter II -8.5 -8.3 -9.4

    01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY July +0.1% +0.8% +0.4%

    04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%

    04:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement


    Japan’s currency slid versus all its 16 major peers after data showed the nation’s monetary base expanded in August by the most in 40 years as Bank of Japan policy makers prepare to meet this week. The BOJ said today the nation’s monetary base expanded 42 percent in August from a year earlier, the biggest gain since 1973, to 177 trillion yen ($1.78 trillion). The central bank buys more than 7 trillion yen of Japanese government bonds every month to increase the gauge of the supply of money to 270 trillion yen by the end of 2014 and stoke 2 percent inflation.

    The dollar touched a six-week high against a basket of its main counterparts ahead of a U.S. report that may signal growth in factory output, fanning speculation the Federal Reserve will start to taper its quantitative-easing program as early as this month. The Institute for Supply Management’s U.S. factory index is estimated at 54 in August, compared with a two-year high of 55.4 in July, economists forecast before the release of the data today.

    The European Union’s statistics office will probably confirm tomorrow that gross domestic product in the 17-nation currency bloc expanded 0.3 percent in the April-June period, ending the longest recession on record, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.3180

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.5560

    USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y99.70


    There is only limited UK data set for release, with the August  CIPS/Markit Construction PMI numbers due to be published at 0830 GMT.  Economists are looking for a monthly print of 56.9, down modestly from July's 57.0. After the excitement of Monday's manufacturing PMI data, the European calendar slows somewhat Tuesday. However, US markets return from the  Labor Day holiday, with their PMI data due later in the day. The Euro area calendar gets underway from 0700GMT, with the release of the Spanish August unemployment numbers due. Analysts are looking for a modest uptick of 7,500 in the overall unemployment numbers. French August car registration data is expected at 0700GMT. German car registrations are also expected at some time in the morning session. Switzerland's second quarter GDP data will be released at 0745GMT. Expectations are for an increase of 0.3% q/q, with an annualised increase of 1.7%. At 0900GMT, EMU July PPI numbers will cross the wires. Expectations are for an increase of 0.1% quarterly and annually.


  • 06:46

    Switzerland: Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) , Quarter II +0.5% (forecast +0.3%)

  • 06:45

    Switzerland: Gross Domestic Product (YoY), Quarter II +2.5% (forecast +1.7%)

  • 06:21

    Currencies. Daily history for Sep 2'2013:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3195 -0,32%

    GBP/USD $1,5546 +0,28%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9340 +0,31%

    USD/JPY Y99,36 +1,04%

    EUR/JPY Y131,12 +0,73%

    GBP/JPY Y154,46 +1,32%

    AUD/USD $0,8993 +0,80%

    NZD/USD $0,7831 +0,96%

    USD/CAD C$1,0547 +0,09%


  • 06:00

    Schedule for today, Tuesday, Sep 3’2013:

    01:00 China Non-Manufacturing PMI August 54.1 53.9

    01:30 Australia Retail sales (MoM) July 0.0% +0.4% +0.1%

    01:30 Australia Retail Sales Y/Y July +1.1%

    01:30 Australia Current Account, bln Quarter II -8.5 -8.3 -9.4

    01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY July +0.1% +0.8% +0.4%

    04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate 2.50% 2.50%

    04:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement

    05:45 Switzerland Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) Quarter II +0.6% +0.3%

    05:45 Switzerland Gross Domestic Product (YoY) Quarter II +1.1% +1.7%

    08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction August 57.0 58.4

    09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM July 0.0% +0.2%

    09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) July +0.3% +0.1%

    13:00 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Finally) August 53.9 53.9

    14:00 U.S. ISM Manufacturing August 55.4 54.2

    23:30 Australia AIG Services Index August 39.4


  • 05:30

    Australia: Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate, 2.50% (forecast 2.50%)

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