(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3732-0,07%

GBP/USD $1,6720 +0,34%

USD/CHF Chf0,8869 -0,02%

USD/JPY Y102,29+0,05%

EUR/JPY Y140,47+0,03%

GBP/JPY Y171,01+0,44%

AUD/USD $0,8983+0,39%

NZD/USD $0,8414+0,33%

USD/CAD C$1,1027 -0,56%

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:00 U.S. FOMC Member Richard Fisher Speaks                 

00:30 Australia Retail sales (MoM) January +0.5% +0.5%     

00:30 Australia Retail Sales Y/Y January +5.7%         

00:30 Australia Trade Balance January 0.47 0.11     

01:15 Canada Gov Council Member Macklem Speaks                 

08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index February +1.1% +0.6%     

08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y February +7.3%         

11:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) January -0.5% +1.1%     

11:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) January +6.0% +8.1%     

12:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision     0.50% 0.50%     

12:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility 375 375     

12:00 United Kingdom MPC Rate Statement                 

12:45 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision 0.25%     0.25%     

13:15 U.S. FOMC Member Dudley Speak                 

13:30 Eurozone ECB Press Conference                 

13:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) January -4.1% +1.9%     

13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims February 348 336     

13:30 U.S. Nonfarm Productivity, q/q (Finally) Quarter IV +3.2% +2.6%     

15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index February 56.8 56.7     

15:00 U.S. Factory Orders January -1.5% -0.4%     

16:30 Canada Gov Council Member Murray Speaks                 

18:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Plosser Speaks                 

22:30 Australia AiG Performance of Construction Index February 48.2         

22:30 Australia RBA's Governor Glenn Stevens Speech

The dollar fell against other major currencies , aided published in U.S. statistics. As shown by recent data that were presented Automatic Data Processing (ADP), in February, employment in the private sector increased markedly , although not enough to confirm the evaluation of many economists. According to a report last month, the number of employees increased by 139 thousand people, compared with a revised downward indicator for the previous month at 127 million ( initially reported growth of 175 thousand jobs ) . Add that, according to the average forecast of this indicator would grow by 159 thousand

In turn, in February, the index of business activity in the U.S. service sector (ISM Non-Manufacturing) fell to 51.6 points , the minimum for the last four years , with 54 points in January , according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). According to experts , the value of this indicator was reduced to 53.8 . Exceeding the index level of 50 points indicates growth of business activity in the service sector , while the index value below 50 indicates its decline. All major sub- indices , except one, were in February in the territory of the expansion (more than 50 ) , and some even showed an increase .

The euro is traded slightly higher against the U.S. dollar. Impact on the dynamics of the reported data for the euro area , namely on business activity and GDP . Note that the eurozone economy expanded at a faster pace in the fourth quarter , and confirmed the initial assessment and expert forecasts , helped by an increase in investment and exports. The report showed that gross domestic product grew by 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter, which was in accordance with the assessment , published on February 14. Recall that in the third quarter the economy expanded by 0.1 percent . In annual terms, gross domestic product grew by 0.5 percent after a 0.3 percent drop in the third quarter . Annual rate was also consistent with the preliminary assessment and expert forecasts .

Another report showed that the private sector of the eurozone economy expanded in February , registering with the highest growth in the past two and a half years in February. Last growth was also higher than previously assumed, and the current sequence of growth increased to eight consecutive months. According to the report , the composite activity index from Markit, which evaluates the effectiveness of the manufacturing sector and the service sector , rose to 53.3 in February from 52.9 in January , marking the most significant improvement in business activity in June 2011 . The revised estimate was higher than previously thought - at the level of 52.7 . The index currently remains above the neutral mark of 50 for the eighth month in a row. The rise in the total private sector activity was associated with an increase in the manufacturing sector . Meanwhile, it was reported that the seasonally adjusted purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the services sector rose to 52.6 in February from 51.6 in the year. Originally reported value of this index at 51.7 . Economists were expecting the index to be 51.7 points .

Pound has risen considerably against the U.S. dollar , which helped the submitted data and expectations of tomorrow's meeting of the Bank of England. As it became known , the UK services sector continued to show a steady expansion in February , but a little slow pace compared to the previous month. Support the sector continued to provide a significant increase in new orders. Data showed that the PMI for the services sector by Markit Economics fell to 58.2 in February from 58.3 in January. The latter value was the lowest since June last year , but continue to show a sharp increase in activity on a monthly basis . Economists were expecting the index to fall to 58.0 . We add that the growth recorded for 14 consecutive months. Recent increase in activity was supported by new orders . Since the number of orders continued to grow rapidly , the company decided to raise the number of staff in accordance with the current volume and future activities .

USD/JPY Y101.55-60, Y102.00, Y102.20, Y102.50, Y103.00

EUR/JPY Y141.00

EUR/USD $1.3645/50, $1.3670-75, $1.3700, $1.3725, $1.3800

GBP/USD $1.6500, $1.6525, $1.6640-45, $1.6700, $1.6715, $1.6800

EUR/GBP stg0.8290

GBP/JPY Y174.50

AUD/USD $0.8800, $0.8880, $0.8900, $0.8960, $0.8970, $0.9000, $0.9035, $0.9100

USD/CAD C$1.1000-05, C$1.1085, C$1.1240, C$1.1250, C$1.1285

Data

00:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) February +0.6% +0.7% +0.8%

00:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (YoY) February +2.3% +2.5% +2.8%

01:45 China HSBC Services PMI February 50.7 51.0

08:48 France Services PMI (Finally) February 46.9 46.9 47.2

08:53 Germany Services PMI (Finally) February 55.4 55.4 55.9

08:58 Eurozone Services PMI (Finally) February 51.7 51.7 52.6

09:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services February 58.3 58.0 58.2

10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) January -1.6% +0.9% +1.6%

10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) January -1.0% -0.3% +1.3%

10:00 Eurozone Household Consumption (QoQ) Quarter IV +0.1% +0.1%

10:00 Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (Revised) Quarter IV +0.3% +0.3% +0.3%

10:00 Eurozone GDP (YoY) (Revised) Quarter IV +0.5% +0.5% +0.5%

The euro exchange rate against the dollar rebounded , but still continues to trade slightly lower . Impact on the dynamics of the reported data for the euro area , namely on business activity and GDP . Note that the eurozone economy expanded at a faster pace in the fourth quarter , and confirmed the initial assessment and expert forecasts , helped by an increase in the volume of investment and exports. The report showed that gross domestic product grew by 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter, which was in accordance with the assessment , published on February 14. Recall that in the third quarter the economy expanded by 0.1 percent . In annual terms, gross domestic product grew by 0.5 percent after a 0.3 percent drop in the third quarter . Annual rate was also consistent with the preliminary assessment and expert forecasts .

I also add that many market participants expect the U.S. data , which will be presented later. Analysts believe that they will point to the continuing rise of the U.S. economy. According to the median forecast, the number of employees , estimated ADP Research Institute in February , will rise to 159 thousand Recall , March 7 will be released official data from the Ministry of Labour . It is expected that the unemployment rate will be 6.6 %, which is the lowest level since October 2008 . Also today, will be submitted to the index of business activity in the U.S. service . It is expected that in January drop to 53.8 , compared with 54 in the previous month .

Pound has risen considerably against the U.S. dollar , which helped the submitted data and expectations of tomorrow's meeting of the Bank of England. As it became known , the UK services sector continued to show a steady expansion in February , but a little slow pace compared to the previous month. Support the sector continued to provide a significant increase in new orders. Data showed that the PMI for the services sector by Markit Economics fell to 58.2 in February from 58.3 in January. The latter value was the lowest since June last year , but continue to show a sharp increase in activity on a monthly basis . Economists were expecting the index to fall to 58.0 . We add that the growth recorded for 14 consecutive months. Recent increase in activity was supported by new orders . Since the number of orders continued to grow rapidly , the company decided to raise the number of staff in accordance with the current volume and future activities .

The Japanese yen continued its decline against the U.S. yesterday opponent. Tensions over Russia and Ukraine continues to fall , which provides additional support for risky assets and activates selling yen. Given the lack of significant reports from Japan , the U.S. statistics in the face of employment data from ADP, ISM in services and report the Fed "Beige Book" will attract attention and serve as a catalyst for further dynamics of the pair . In the short term USD / JPY could be supported in view of improving investor sentiment , however, growth is unlikely to be developed against a background of no obvious reasons for the strengthening of the U.S. dollar .

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3705 , then recovered slightly

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6725

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y102.48

At 13:15 GMT the United States to declare changes ADP Employment for February. At 15:00 GMT we will know the decision of the Bank of Canada's main interest rate , as well as the accompanying statement will the Bank of Canada . At 15:00 GMT the United States will present a composite index of ISM non-manufacturing areas in February. At 19:00 GMT the United States will take the Fed's economic survey article by region " Beige Book ."

EUR/USD

Ордера на продажу $1.3894, $1.3850/60, $1.3832, $1.3825, $1.3790/800, $1.3745/50

Ордера на покупку $1.3694, $1.3659-57, $1.3643, $1.3640

GBP/USD

Ордера на продажу $1.6823, $1.6795/800, $1.6770/80, $1.6760, $1.6720

Ордера на покупку $1.6640, $1.6617, $1.6605/00, $1.6585/80

AUD/USD

Ордера на продажу $0.9045/50, $0.9000, $0.8985/90

Ордера на покупку $0.8930/35, $0.8880, $0.8850, $0.8800

EUR/GBP

Ордера на продажу stg0.8333, stg0.8300/05, stg0.8267, stg0.8259

Ордера на покупку stg0.8190-80, stg0.8157, stg0.8150

EUR/JPY

Ордера на продажу Y141.50, Y141.29, Y141.00, Y140.80

Ордера на покупку Y140.00/10, Y139.60/50, Y139.28, Y139.20, Y139.00, Y138.50

USD/JPY

Ордера на продажу Y102.90/00, Y102.65/70, Y102.45/50

Ордера на покупку Y102.00/10, Y101.20, Y101.00, Y100.75/61, Y100.50, Y100.00

USD/JPY Y101.55-60, Y102.00, Y102.20, Y102.50, Y103.00

EUR/JPY Y141.00

EUR/USD $1.3645/50, $1.3670-75, $1.3700, $1.3725, $1.3800

GBP/USD $1.6500, $1.6525, $1.6640-45, $1.6700, $1.6715, $1.6800

EUR/GBP stg0.8290

GBP/JPY Y174.50

AUD/USD $0.8800, $0.8880, $0.8900, $0.8960, $0.8970, $0.9000, $0.9035, $0.9100

USD/CAD C$1.1000-05, C$1.1085, C$1.1240, C$1.1250, C$1.1285

00:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) February +0.6% +0.7% +0.8%

00:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (YoY) February +2.3% +2.5% +2.8%

01:45 China HSBC Services PMI February 50.7 51.0

The yen held its biggest decline in seven weeks versus the dollar after Russian President Vladimir Putin said he sees no immediate need to invade eastern Ukraine, tempering demand for safer assets. Putin said he’d only send soldiers to Ukraine in “an extreme case.”

The dollar may extend gains versus the yen before reports on U.S. jobs and services industries that will probably signal a continued expansion in the world’s largest economy. In the U.S., a report from ADP Research Institute in Roseland, New Jersey, is forecast to show companies added 155,000 workers to payrolls in February after hiring 175,000 the previous month, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Labor Department figures on March 7 will show payrolls rose 150,000 last month, economists forecast. The unemployment rate is projected to remain at 6.6 percent, the lowest level since October 2008.

The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing index probably slipped to 53.5 last month from 54 in January, a separate poll predicted before today’s release. Readings greater than 50 signal expansion.

Australia’s dollar held a two-day advance after data showed economic growth last quarter beat economists’ estimates. Gross domestic product expanded 0.8 percent in the three months ended December from the previous quarter, according to a Bureau of Statistics report released in Sydney today. That exceeded the 0.7 percent growth estimated by economists.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.3725

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $1.6635-75

USD / JPY: on Asian session the pair traded in the range of Y102.10-30

The European calendar gets underway at 0813GMT, with the release of the Spanish February services PMI data. That will be followed at 0843GMT by the Italian data, at 0848GMT by the French numbers, by the German data at 0853GMT and the consolidated Euro area data at 0858GMT. Overall, services PMI are seen flat on the previous month, with the overall EZ data seen unchanged at 51.7. Composite PMI numbers will also be released and are also seen unchanged at 52.7. Further Euro area data set for release at 1000GMT includes the 2nd estimate of the fourth quarter GDP and the January retail sales data. Retail sales are seen 0.8% higher on month, down 0.2% y/y. GDP is expected to be unrevised at 0.3% q/q. EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn presents a report on EU macroeconomic imbalances, in Brussels at 1030GMT. The UK services PMI data will be released at 0928GMT. The US calendar gets underway from 1200GMT, when the February MBA Mortgage Index for the Feb 28 week will be published. At 1315GMT, the February ADP National Employment Report will cross the wires. Economists are looking for a reading of 155,000 - down from the previous month's 175,000 as the weather impacts. There is a string of US data expected at 1500GMT, with The February final Markit Services PMI, February ISM Non-manufacturing index and the February Help-wanted online data. The ISM non-manufacturing index is expected to decline in February to 53.5 after rising to 54.0 in January. The Markit Services Index already released posted a decline in the flash estimate for the month. Also due at 1500GMT is the Bank of Canada's latest policy announcement. Analysts are near unanimous the BOC will leave rates unchanged at 1%. At 1530GMT, the EIA Crude Oil Stocks data for the Feb 28 week will cross the wires. At the same time, Treasury Secretary Jack Lew testifies before the Senate Finance Committee on the FY2015 budget.