The U.S.
dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. The U.S. dollar was
still supported by Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report. The U.S. economy added
217,000 in May, missing expectations for a 218,000 rise, after a 282,000 gain
in April. April’s figure was revised down from a 288,000 increase.
The U.S.
Labor Department released the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey or JOLTS today.
Job openings in the U.S. climbed by 289,000 to 4.46 million in April. That was
the highest figure since September 2007. Analysts had expected an increase to 4.04
million. The pace of firing also rose.
The euro slid
to 4-month lows against the U.S. dollar despite the strong industrial
production in France. Industrial production in France rose 0.3% in April,
meeting expectations, after a 0.4% decline in March. March’s figure was revised
up from a 0.7% decrease.
On a yearly
basis, industrial production in France was flat in April, after a 0.8% fall in
March.
The euro
suffers due to bond yield gap between some euro area government bonds and U.S.
Treasuries. While the currency in the Eurozone is to remain permanently cheap,
the first interest rate hike by the Fed in the United States and by the Bank of
England in the U.K. is more likely.
The
European Central Bank cut its interest rate to 0.15% from 0.25% last Thursday.
The ECB also cut its marginal lending to 0.40% from 0.75% and reduced its
deposit rate to -0.10% from 0.0%. The European Central Bank is the world’s
first major central bank to use a negative rate. The deposit rate of -0.10%
means that commercial bank will be charged for holding their reserves. This
measure should spur commercial banks to ramp up lending.
The British
pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar. Manufacturing output in the U.K.
increased 0.4% in April, meeting expectations, after 0.5% gain in March. On a
yearly basis, manufacturing production in the U.K. rose 4.4% in April,
exceeding expectations for a 4% increase, after a 3.3% increase in March.
Industrial
production in the U.K. climbed 0.4% in April, in line with forecasts, after a
0.1% decline in March. On a year-over-year basis, industrial production in the
U.K. rose 3.0% in April, after a 2.3% increase in March. That was the biggest
annual increase since 2011. Economists had expected a 2.7% gain.
The
National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) released their
monthly U.K. GDP estimates. They forecasted that GDP increased by 0.9% in the
three months ending in May after rise of 1.1% in the three months ending in
April 2014.
The Swiss
franc declined against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland’s unemployment rate
remained unchanged at 3.2% in May, as expected.
Retail
sales in Switzerland increased 0.4% in April, missing expectations for a 3.5%
gain, after a 3.4% rise in March. March’s figure was revised up from a 3.0%
increase.
The New
Zealand dollar traded higher against the U.S dollar in the absence of any major
economic reports. The kiwi was supported by expectations the Reserve Bank of
New Zealand will raise interest rates again this Wednesday.
The
increasing consumer price inflation in China supported the New Zealand and
Australian dollar. The Chinese consumer price index increased 2.5% in May,
after a 1.8% gain in April. Analysts had expected a 2.4% rise.
The Chinese
producer price index declined 1.4% in May, after a 2.0% decrease in April.
Analysts had expected a 1.5% fall.
The
Australian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar due to the
better-than-expected Australian business confidence data and the Chinese
consumer price inflation. The National Australia Bank released its business
confidence index for Australia. The index climbed to 7 in May, from 6 in April.
Job
advertisements in Australia fell 5.6% in May, after a 1.9% increase in April.
April’s figure was revised down from a 2.2% gain.
Home loans
in Australia were flat in April, after a 0.8% fall in March. March’s figure was
revised up from a 0.9% decline. Analysts had expected a 0.3% gain.
The
Japanese yen traded higher against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Bank of Japan
(BoJ) meeting this Friday. Investors speculate that the BoJ’s monetary policy
will support the Japanese currency.
Japan’s
preliminary machine tool orders decreased to 24.1% in May from 48.7% in April.
April’s figure was revised down from 48.8%.
Japanese
tertiary industry activity index dropped to -5.4% in April from 2.4% in March.
Analysts had expected the index to fall -3.3%.
EUR/USD $1.3500, $1.3550, $1.3600, $1.3635, $1.3650, $1.3700
USD/JPY Y101.75, Y102.50, Y103.10
USD/CAD Cad1.0920, Cad1.0935
AUD/USD $0.9250, $0.9300, $0.9330
EUR/CHF Chf1.2185
EUR/GBP stg0.8125
Economic
calendar (GMT0):
01:30 Australia National Australia Bank's
Business Confidence May 6 7
01:30 Australia ANZ Job Advertisements
(MoM) May +2.2% -5.6%
01:30 Australia Home Loans
April -0.8% +0.3%
0%
01:30 China PPI y/y
May -2.0% -1.5%
-1.4%
01:30 China CPI y/y
May +1.8%
+2.4% +2.5%
05:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate May 3.2%
3.2% 3.2%
06:00 Japan Prelim Machine Tool Orders,
y/y May 48.7%
24.1%
06:45 France Industrial Production,
m/m
April -0.4% +0.3%
+0.3%
06:45 France Industrial Production,
y/y
April -0.8% 0.0%
07:15 Switzerland Retail Sales Y/Y
April +3.4% +3.5%
+0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) April -0.1%
+0.4% +0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) April +2.3%
+2.7% +3.0%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) April +0.5%
+0.4% +0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) April +3.3%
+4.0% +4.4%
The U.S.
dollar traded higher against the most major currencies. The U.S. dollar was
still supported by Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report. The U.S. economy added
217,000 in May, missing expectations for a 218,000 rise, after a 282,000 gain
in April. April’s figure was revised down from a 288,000 increase.
The euro dropped
against the U.S. dollar despite the strong industrial production in France. Industrial
production in France rose 0.3% in April, meeting expectations, after a 0.4%
decline in March. March’s figure was revised up from a 0.7% decrease.
On a yearly
basis, industrial production in France was flat in April, after a 0.8% fall in
March.
The
European Central Bank’s interest rate decision weighed on the euro. The
European Central Bank cut its interest rate to 0.15% from 0.25% last Thursday.
The ECB also cut its marginal lending to 0.40% from 0.75% and reduced its
deposit rate to -0.10% from 0.0%. The European Central Bank is the world’s
first major central bank to use a negative rate. The deposit rate of -0.10%
means that commercial bank will be charged for holding their reserves. This
measure should spur commercial banks to ramp up lending.
The British
pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar. Manufacturing output in the U.K.
increased 0.4% in April, meeting expectations, after 0.5% gain in March. On a
yearly basis, manufacturing production in the U.K. rose 4.4% in April,
exceeding expectations for a 4% increase, after a 3.3% increase in March.
Industrial
production in the U.K. climbed 0.4% in April, in line with forecasts, after a
0.1% decline in March. On a year-over-year basis, industrial production in the
U.K. rose 3.0% in April, after a 2.3% increase in March. That was the biggest annual
increase since 2011. Economists had expected a 2.7% gain.
The Swiss
franc declined against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland’s unemployment rate
remained unchanged at 3.2% in May, as expected.
Retail
sales in Switzerland increased 0.4% in April, missing expectations for a 3.5%
gain, after a 3.4% rise in March. March’s figure was revised up from a 3.0%
increase.
EUR/USD:
the currency pair declined to $1.3532
GBP/USD:
the currency pair decreased to $1.6764
USD/JPY:
the currency pair traded mixed
The most
important news that are expected (GMT0):
14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate May +1.0%
14:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings April 4014 4040
23:50 Japan BSI Manufacturing Index
Quarter II 12.5 14.1
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3775, $1.3735, $1.3695/700, $1.3675, $1.3620
Bids $1.3550, $1.3500, $1.3480
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6920, $1.6900, $1.6880, $1.6845
Bids $1.6760, $1.6700, $1.6690
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9450, $0.9420, $0.9400
Bids $0.9335, $0.9300, $0.9255/50, $0.9235/30
EUR/JPY
Offers Y140.80, Y140.50, Y140.00, Y139.40
Bids Y138.65, Y138.00,
USD/JPY
Offers Y103.50, Y103.00, Y102.75/80
Bids Y102.00, Y101.60, Y101.50
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8160/65, stg0.8150, stg0.8100
Bids stg0.8050, stg0.8035/30, stg0.8005/000
The European
Central Bank’s interest rate decision weighed on the euro. The European Central
Bank cut its interest rate to 0.15% from 0.25% last Thursday. The ECB also cut
its marginal lending to 0.40% from 0.75% and reduced its deposit rate to -0.10%
from 0.0%. The European Central Bank is the world’s first major central bank to
use a negative rate. The deposit rate of -0.10% means that commercial bank will
be charged for holding their reserves. This measure should spur commercial
banks to ramp up lending.
EUR/USD $1.3500, $1.3550, $1.3600, $1.3635, $1.3650, $1.3700
USD/JPY Y101.75, Y102.50, Y103.10
USD/CAD Cad1.0920, Cad1.0935
AUD/USD $0.9250, $0.9300, $0.9330
EUR/CHF Chf1.2185
EUR/GBP stg0.8125
Economic
calendar (GMT0):
01:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence May 6 7
01:30 Australia ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) May +2.2% -5.6%
01:30 Australia Home Loans April -0.8% +0.3% 0%
01:30 China PPI y/y May -2.0% -1.5% -1.4%
01:30 China CPI y/y May +1.8% +2.4% +2.5%
05:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate May 3.2% 3.2% 3.2%
06:00 Japan Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y May 48.7% 24.1%
06:45 France Industrial Production, m/m April -0.4% +0.3% +0.3%
06:45 France Industrial Production, y/y April -0.8% 0.0%
07:15 Switzerland Retail Sales Y/Y April +3.4% +3.5% +0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) April -0.1% +0.4% +0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) April +2.3% +2.7% +3.0%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) April +0.5% +0.4% +0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) April +3.3% +4.0% +4.4%
The U.S.
dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. The U.S. dollar was still
supported by Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report. The U.S. economy added 217,000
in May, missing expectations for a 218,000 rise, after a 282,000 gain in April.
April’s figure was revised down from a 288,000 increase.
The New
Zealand dollar rose against the U.S dollar in the absence of any major economic
reports. The kiwi was supported by expectations the Reserve Bank of New Zealand
will raise interest rates again this Wednesday.
The
increasing consumer price inflation in China supported the New Zealand and
Australian dollar. The Chinese consumer price index increased 2.5% in May,
after a 1.8% gain in April. Analysts had expected a 2.4% rise.
The Chinese
producer price index declined 1.4% in May, after a 2.0% decrease in April.
Analysts had expected a 1.5% fall.
The
Australian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar due to the
better-than-expected Australian business confidence data and the Chinese
consumer price inflation. The National Australia Bank released its business
confidence index for Australia. The index climbed to 7 in May, from 6 in April.
Job
advertisements in Australia fell 5.6% in May, after a 1.9% increase in April.
April’s figure was revised down from a 2.2% gain.
Home loans
in Australia were flat in April, after a 0.8% fall in March. March’s figure was
revised up from a 0.9% decline. Analysts had expected a 0.3% gain.
The
Japanese yen increased against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Bank of Japan (BoJ)
meeting this Friday. Investors speculate that the BoJ’s monetary policy will
support the Japanese currency.
Japan’s
preliminary machine tool orders decreased to 24.1% in May from 48.7% in April.
April’s figure was revised down from 48.8%.
Japanese
tertiary industry activity index dropped to -5.4% in April from 2.4% in March. Analysts
had expected the index to fall -3.3%.
EUR/USD:
the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD:
the currency pair climbed to $1.6815
USD/JPY:
the currency pair declined to Y102.35
The most
important news that are expected (GMT0):
14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate May +1.0%
14:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings April 4014 4040
23:50 Japan BSI Manufacturing Index Quarter II 12.5 14.1
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3698 (1450)
$1.3670 (2727)
$1.3631 (152)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3586
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3558 (1642)
$1.3519 (3848)
$1.3491 (4215)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date July, 3 is 24396 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3600 (2727);
- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date July, 3 is 38921 contracts, with the maximum number of contractswith strike price $1,3500 (5302);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.60 versus 1.62 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 9.
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.7101 (1281)
$1.7002 (899)
$1.6904 (1240)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.6806
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.6695 (842)
$1.6598 (1893)
$1.6499 (1584)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date July, 3 is 13271 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,7100 (1281);
- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date July, 3 is 15259 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6600 (1893);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.15 versus 1.08 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 9.
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
EUR/USD $1,3590 -0,38%
GBP/USD $1,6801 +0,01%
USD/CHF Chf0,8969 +0,38%
USD/JPY Y102,54 +0,05%
EUR/JPY Y139,38 -0,29%
GBP/JPY Y172,28 +0,08%
AUD/USD $0,9349 +0,18%
NZD/USD $0,8492 -0,07%
USD/CAD C$1,0901 -0,27%
01:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence May 6
01:30 Australia ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) May +2.2%
01:30 Australia Home Loans April -0.9% +0.3%
01:30 China PPI y/y May -2.0% -1.5%
01:30 China CPI y/y May +1.8% +2.4%
05:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate May 3.2% 3.2%
06:00 Japan Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y May 48.7% [Revised From 48.8%]
06:45 France Industrial Production, m/m April -0.7% +0.3%
06:45 France Industrial Production, y/y April -0.8%
07:15 Switzerland Retail Sales Y/Y April +3.0% +3.5%
08:00 China New Loans May 775 750
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) April -0.1% +0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) April +2.3% +2.7%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) April +0.5% +0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) April +3.3% +4.0%
14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate May +1.0%
14:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories April +1.1% +0.6%
14:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings April 4014 4040
20:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories June -1.4
23:50 Japan BSI Manufacturing Index Quarter II 12.5 14.1