Notícias do Mercado

11 junho 2013
  • 19:25

    American focus: Yen showed a record growth

    The euro rose against the U.S. dollar at the time, as it is today began a two-day session of the Federal Constitutional Court of Germany, the highest judicial body of the country. As part of the hearing the judge will appreciate the legitimacy of government bond buyback program OMT, which is the head of the European Central Bank (ECB), Mario Draghi announced in September 2012. As stated by a member of the ECB Executive Board Jörg Asmussen, a potential solution to the German court against the ECB's program to buy back government bonds could mean new risks for the single currency. The court will also consider the question of the constitutionality of eurozone stabilization fund - the European Stability Mechanism. According Y.Asmussena, when the ECB announced a program to repurchase the bonds, "the euro area was close to the uncontrolled disintegration," but OMT "showed speculators that the euro will be protected, will fight for it." Meanwhile, the head of the Bundesbank, Weidmann opposed the OMT. He said that the priority duty of the ECB is to ensure price stability and, in this regard, some of the decisions of the Bank called "problem." He also warned of the need to observe the long-term effects of anti-crisis policies.

    The pound was up against the U.S. dollar against the publication of better-than-expected report on Britain. As shown by recent data that has been submitted by the Office for National Statistics, at the end the month of April, industrial production increased significantly with the slowing pace compared to the previous month. Economists note that growth was based increase in activity in the mining sector, mineral sector, the extraction of water and disposal of waste. According to the report, in April, the volume of industrial production increased by only 0.1%, compared with an increase of 0.7% in March and an increase of 0.9% in February. It is worth noting that according to the average forecasts of experts, industrial production was down by 0.4%. Also, the data showed that the manufacturing industries decreased April 0.2% 1.1% modifying growth that was observed in the last month. Economists had expected the figure to remain unchanged.

    The Japanese currency has increased significantly against the dollar, after the following meeting on June 10-11, the Bank of Japan kept its course of monetary policy unchanged, refraining from additional measures to support the economy, including the expected extension of credit operations, which it uses to reduce the volatility in the the debt market. Most experts expect that the Bank of Japan to adopt new credit operations of at least one year. Recall that in April of this year, the Japanese Central Bank increased its purchase of government bonds to 7 trillion yen per month. The Bank of Japan will now purchase government bonds with all maturities, including 40-year bonds, and the average maturity of government bonds to maturity on the balance sheet will be increased from 3 to 7 years. Since then, the yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds rose five basis points to 0.875%, which caused concern investors. We also add that after today's meeting of the Monetary Policy Central Bank head Kuroda have on improving the state of the Japanese economy, while recognizing the existence of a high degree of uncertainty. The Bank also provided comments on the topic of excess volatility JGB, highlighting the undesirability of this fact and the intention to make efforts to limit this volatility. "In the future we will consider the possibility of extending operations with a fixed rate, if the situation requires it," - said Kuroda. The head of the Central Bank said that the monetary authority is considering easing policy, but stressed at the same time, it is still too early to assess the full impact of these measures.

  • 16:43

    U.S. wholesale inventories rises in line with estimates in April

    Wholesale inventories in the U.S. rose in line with economist estimates in the month of April, according to a report released by the Commerce Department on Tuesday.

    The report said wholesale inventories edged up by 0.2 percent in April following a revised 0.3 percent increase in March. The modest growth matched economist estimates.

    Inventories of durable goods increased by 0.2 percent, with a 1.9 percent jump in inventories of motor vehicles and parts offsetting a 1.1 percent drop in inventories of metals and minerals, except petroleum.

    With inventories of beer, wine, and distilled alcoholic beverages surging up by 2.3 percent, inventories of non-durable goods inched up by 0.1 percent.

    The Commerce Department noted that total wholesale inventories in April were up by 4.1 percent compared to the same month a year ago.

    Additionally, the report said wholesale sales rose by 0.5 percent in April following a 1.4 percent decrease in the previous month.

    Sales of durable goods jumped by 1.6 percent, more than offsetting a 0.5 percent decrease in sales of non-durable goods.

    Compared to the same month a year ago, wholesale sales were up by 0.7 percent in April.

    With sales increasing at a slightly faster pace than inventories, the wholesale inventories/sales ratio edged down to 1.21 in April from 1.22 in March. The ratio came in at 1.17 in April of 2012.

  • 15:00
  • 15:00
  • 13:15

    European session: the euro exchange rate is traded upward

    Data

    00:00 China Bank holiday

    01:30 Australia Home Loans April +5.2% +2.1% +0.8%

    01:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence May -2 -1

    03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%

    03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement

    05:45 Switzerland SECO Economic Forecasts Quarter III

    07:15 Japan BOJ Press Conference

    08:00 Germany Constitutional Court Ruling

    08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) April +0.7% -0.4% +0.1%

    08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) April -1.4% -0.6% -0.6%

    08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) April +1.1% 0.0% -0.2%

    08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) April -1.4% -0.3% -0.5%


    The euro rose slightly against the U.S. dollar, due to the fact that today begins a two-day session of the Federal Constitutional Court of Germany, the highest judicial body of the country. As part of the hearing the judge will appreciate the legitimacy of government bond buyback program OMT, which is the head of the European Central Bank (ECB), Mario Draghi announced in September 2012. As stated by a member of the ECB Executive Board Jörg Asmussen, a potential solution to the German court against the ECB's program to buy back government bonds could mean new risks for the single currency. The court will also consider the question of the constitutionality of eurozone stabilization fund - the European Stability Mechanism. According Y.Asmussena, when the ECB announced a program to repurchase the bonds, "the euro area was close to the uncontrolled disintegration," but OMT "showed speculators that the euro will be protected, will fight for it."

    "The program was necessary from an economic point of view, acceptable from a legal point of view, and efficient from the point of view of efficiency, - says Y.Asmussen. - If it is canceled, we will face serious consequences." In this case, a board member of the ECB does not elaborate on what exactly the consequences involved. Critics of the program by the ECB in Germany, which, as the largest economy in the euro zone, the burden rests with the neighbors insist that the central bank has overstepped its authority by announcing unlimited redemption of government bonds if necessary. The condition of foreclosure was delivered recourse to the ESM.

    The pound fell slightly against the U.S. dollar, despite the publication of a better-than-expected report on Britain. As shown by recent data that has been submitted by the Office for National Statistics, at the end the month of April, industrial production increased significantly with the slowing pace compared to the previous month. Economists note that growth was based increase in activity in the mining sector, mineral sector, the extraction of water and disposal of waste.

    According to the report, in April, the volume of industrial production increased by only 0.1%, compared with an increase of 0.7% in March and an increase of 0.9% in February. It is worth noting that according to the average forecasts of experts, industrial production was down by 0.4%. Also, the data showed that the manufacturing industries decreased April 0.2% 1.1% modifying growth that was observed in the last month. Economists had expected the figure to remain unchanged.

    The Office for National Statistics also reported that on an annual basis, the decline in industrial production slowed to 0.6% from 1.4 per cent in March. In addition, it was reported that manufacturing output declined at a slower rate - by 0.5%, after falling 1.4% a month earlier.

    The Japanese currency has increased significantly against the dollar, after following the meeting on June 10-11, the Bank of Japan kept its course of monetary policy unchanged, refraining from additional measures to support the economy, including the expected extension of credit operations, which it uses to reduce the volatility in the markets debt securities. Most experts expect that the Bank of Japan to adopt new credit operations of at least one year. Recall that in April of this year, the Japanese Central Bank increased its purchase of government bonds to 7 trillion yen per month. The Bank of Japan will now purchase government bonds with all maturities, including 40-year bonds, and the average maturity of government bonds to maturity on the balance sheet will be increased from 3 to 7 years. Since then, the yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds rose five basis points to 0.875%, which caused concern investors. We also add that after today's meeting of the Monetary Policy Central Bank head Kuroda have on improving the state of the Japanese economy, while recognizing the existence of a high degree of uncertainty. The Bank also provided comments on the topic of excess volatility JGB, highlighting the undesirability of this fact and the intention to make efforts to limit this volatility. "In the future we will consider the possibility of extending operations with a fixed rate, if the situation requires it," - said Kuroda. The head of the Central Bank said that the monetary authority is considering easing policy, but stressed at the same time, it is still too early to assess the full impact of these measures.

    The Australian dollar fell against the U.S. dollar after the release of data on the level of business confidence in Australia. Last month the index remained weak, despite the unexpected decline in the basic interest rate of the central bank of the state. According to a survey conducted by the National Australia Bank, the confidence index investors, businessmen and analysts in May was minus one point, as in the previous month. The negative value of the indicator means that the number of pessimists outnumber optimists. The greatest pessimism marked among mining companies in Australia. Recall that in May, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut its benchmark interest rate to a record low of 2.75%, with the objective to reduce the economy's dependence on the mining and energy sectors and spur growth in segments such as housing and retail.



    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3300

    GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.5531

    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair fell to Y96.47


    At 14:00 GMT Britain will present data on changes in GDP from NIESR for May. At 23:50 GMT Japan will announce the change in the volume of orders for machinery and equipment in April.

  • 13:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Ордера на продажу $1.3400, $1.3370/80, $1.3340/50, $1.3330, $1.3300/10

    Ордера на покупку $1.3225/20, $1.3200-185, $1.3175/70, $1.3150/40, $1.3100/090


    GBP/USD

    Ордера на продажу $1.5700, $1.5640/50, $1.5620, $1.5610

    Ордера на покупку $1.5535/30, $1.5488, $1.5470/60, $1.5435/30


    AUD/USD

    Ордера на продажу $0.9500, $0.9470/75, $0.9440, $0.9420/25, $0.9395/00

    Ордера на покупку $0.9330/20, $0.9300, $0.9250, $0.9200


    EUR/JPY

    Ордера на продажу Y130.95/00, Y130.60/65, Y130.20/30, Y129.60/70, Y129.00/20

    Ордера на покупку Y128.00, Y127.80, Y127.50, Y127.00, Y126.50


    USD/JPY

    Ордера на продажу Y99.28/36, Y98.80, Y98.45/50, Y98.00, Y97.30/35

    Ордера на покупку Y96.20, Y96.00, Y95.50, Y95.20


    EUR/GBP

    Ордера на продажу stg0.8595/600, stg0.8575/80, stg0.8560/65, stg0.85515

    Ордера на покупку stg0.8475/70, stg0.8445/40, stg0.8420, stg0.8400

  • 10:21

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3040, $1.3150, $1.3190, $1.3200, $1.3250

    USD/JPY Y97.00, Y97.50, Y98.00, Y98.95, Y99.00, Y100.00

    GBP/USD $1.5500

    USD/CHF Chf0.9410

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2300

    AUD/USD $0.9450, $0.9500

  • 09:31
  • 09:31
  • 09:30
  • 09:30
  • 07:02

    Asian session: The Japanese currency snapped a two-day decline


    00:00 China Bank holiday

    01:30 Australia Home Loans April +5.2% +2.1% +0.8%

    01:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence May -2 -1

    03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%

    03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement


    The Japanese currency snapped a two-day decline against the dollar as the BOJ refrained from extending the maturity of loans to banks. The BOJ kept unchanged its plan for a 60 trillion yen ($611 billion) to 70 trillion yen annual increase in monetary base, the central bank said after a two-day meeting today. Twenty of 23 analysts in a Bloomberg News survey either forecast that the BOJ would approve two-year or longer loan operations at the policy meeting or said that such a move was possible. The yield on Japan's benchmark 10-year note rose five basis points to 0.875 percent. It has swung from an all-time low of 0.315 percent to as much as 1 percent since the BOJ announced in April a plan to double monthly bond purchases to more than 7 trillion yen.

    Australia's dollar slid for a third day as the nation's statistics bureau said April home-loan approvals rose 0.8 percent, versus the 2 percent advance estimated by economists and a revised 4.8 percent gain in March. "Housing is the one area most likely to make up for the mining investment downturn, and it's disappointed," said Joseph Capurso, a Sydney-based foreign-exchange strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. (CBA) "You've got to say that the Aussie's going to keep on falling."


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair rose to $ 1.3290

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair rose to $ 1.5600

    USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to Y97.75


    Tuesday's calendar gets underway in Tokyo, with a news conference from BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda in the wake of the BOJ decision to leave policy unchanged. The briefing should get underway at 0630GMT. At 0800GMT, ECB Governing Council member Erkki Liikanen will brief the press on the economy, in Helsinki. Also at 0800GMT, the German Constitutional Court begins hearing arguments over ESM/ECB, in Karlsruhe - no outcome is expected until the Autumn. At 1000GMT, the EU Commission will unveil proposals on extending the automatic exchange of tax information to all income sources. Also at 1000GMT, Slovenian President, Borut Pahor, will address the European Parliament, in Strasbourg, France. At 1315GMT, Eurogroup President Jeroen Dijsselbloem, Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte and EU Economics and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn are to meet in the Hague.

  • 06:20

    Currencies. Daily history for Jun 10'2013:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3256 +0,29%

    GBP/USD $1,5571 +0,10%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9338 -0,20%

    USD/JPY Y98,99 +1,44%

    EUR/JPY Y131,21 +1,73%

    GBP/JPY Y154,13 +1,56%

    AUD/USD $0,9459 -0,38%

    NZD/USD $0,7898 +0,18%

    USD/CAD C1,0193 -0,01%

  • 06:03

    Schedule for today, Tuesday, June 11’2013:

    00:00 China Bank holiday

    01:30 Australia Home Loans April +5.2% +2.1%

    01:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence May -2

    03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10%

    03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement

    05:45 Switzerland SECO Economic Forecasts Quarter III

    07:15 Japan BOJ Press Conference

    08:00 Germany Constitutional Court Ruling

    08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) April +0.7% -0.4%

    08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) April -1.4% -0.6%

    08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) April +1.1% 0.0%

    08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) April -1.4% -0.3%

    14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate May +0.8%

    14:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories April +0.4% +0.1%

    20:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories June -7.8

    23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders April +14.2% -8.3%

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