The yen
rose against the
dollar
after the publication of
the minutes of the Bank of Japan. It should be noted that the
members of the Board of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy saw
signs that the Japanese economy is finally beginning to move in the
direction of growth. On the issue of termination of deflation that
has plagued Japan for more than 15 years, some of the board members
have admitted that it may be difficult to reach a new target for
CPI at 2 percent.
The minutes also state that the Japanese economy began to recover. The volume of exports had ceased to decline, as foreign economies are trying to get out of the deceleration phase, which continues from last year, and gradually coming to an end.
Recall that at its last meeting, the Bank of Japan left unchanged the interest rate level - at the level of 0-0,10 percent. He also agreed to carry out operations in the money market, which will help expand the monetary base in annual terms by about 60 - 70 trillion yen. In addition, the Bank of Japan said it would continue to buy Japanese government bonds, so that the amount of debt will increase by an annual rate of up to 50 trillion. yen. that corresponds to the plan. Purchases of government bonds, are expected to put downward pressure on interest rates across the yield curve.
Meanwhile, it is worth noting that one of the members of the committee said the bank should limit its mitigation measures to two years in order to avoid financial imbalances that may arise as a result of stimulation. In addition, members of the committee warned, however, that remains considerable uncertainty and downside risks to the economy - in particular, from abroad.
Euro fluctuates against the dollar amid mixed U.S. data. Thus, the producer price index rose in May by 0.5% m / m increase in forecasts only 0.1% m / m after a contraction of 0.7% m / m the previous month. The volume of industrial production for May showed zero change, but is expected to increase by 0.3% after falling 0.5% the month before. Consumer confidence in the University of Michigan in June amounted, according to preliminary data, 82.7 points, with forecasts of its increase to 84.9 points from 84.5 points in May values.
Earlier, the euro fell against the dollar after data on inflation and employment in the euro area. According to the report, annualized inflation rate, which is calculated in accordance with the harmonized index of consumer prices rose in May by 1.4%, compared with 1.2% in April, which was in line with preliminary estimates and forecasts of experts. We also recall that in March inflation rate was 1.7%. The data showed that at the head of the inflation stood increase in the cost of fruit, vegetables and electricity. Meanwhile, we note that the largest contribution to the decrease was recorded by the price of fuel for transport, telecommunications and health care. On a monthly basis, the harmonized index of consumer prices rose 0.1% in May, which was also in line with the preliminary estimates and forecasts of experts.
At the same time, according to Eurostat, in the 1st quarter of the number of employed people in the 17 countries of the euro zone dropped by 0.5% compared to the last quarter of 2012, which was the strongest quarterly decline since the 2nd quarter of 2009 . As a result of the decline in the number of employed decreased to 145.1 million, the figure is the lowest level of employment during the 4th quarter of 2005.
EUR/USD $1.3200, $1.3250
USD/JPY Y95.80, Y96.00,Y95.00
GBP/USD $1.5615, $1.5640, $1.5975
EUR/CHF Chf1.2475
AUD/USD $0.9500, $0.9700
NSD/USD $0.7940
USD/SEK Sek6.6015
Data
09:00 Eurozone Employment Change Quarter I -0.3% -0.2% -0.5%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI May -0.1% +0.1% +0.1%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) May +1.4% +1.4% +1.4%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y May +1.2% +1.2% +1.2%
09:50 United Kingdom MPC Member McCafferty Speaks
Euro fell against the dollar, which in part helped by data evrozone.Soglasno report, annualized inflation rate, which is calculated in accordance with the harmonized index of consumer prices rose in May by 1.4%, compared with 1.2% in April, which was in line with preliminary estimates and forecasts of experts. We also recall that in March inflation rate was 1.7%.
The data showed that at the head of the inflation stood increase in the cost of fruit, vegetables and electricity. Meanwhile, we note that the largest contribution to the decrease was recorded by the price of fuel for transport, telecommunications and health care.
On a monthly basis, the harmonized index of consumer prices rose 0.1% in May, which was also in line with the preliminary estimates and forecasts of experts.
The statistical agency also reported that inflation in the European Union (EU) in May was 1.6% per annum, compared to 1.4% per annum, recorded in April. In monthly terms, inflation in these countries increased by 0.1%.
The lowest rates were observed in Greece, Latvia and Cyprus, while in Romania, Estonia and the Netherlands recorded the highest rate.
In addition, we note that core inflation in the currency bloc, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco rose in May to 1.2% from 1% in April. The result corresponded to preliminary estimates.
The cost of the U.S. dollar was higher against the pound, which was associated with the expectations of the output of U.S. CPI data. It should be noted that inflationary pressures have eased over the past year. The index of producer prices fell in April by 0.7%, resulting in an annual rate of wholesale inflation fell to 0.6%. At the head of this slowdown stood fall in energy prices, which fell in April by 2.1%. Excluding food and energy, prices rose only slightly in recent months and by 1.7 percent from April of last year. Add that energy prices have stabilized over the past month, and price pressures remain subdued. Recent data on the purchasing managers' index for May showed that the price components or weakened or remained almost unchanged. Meanwhile, it is worth noting that commodity prices have continued to decline in May.
The yen rose against the dollar after the publication of the minutes of the Bank of Japan. It should be noted that the members of the Board of the Bank of Japan monetary policy saw signs that the Japanese economy is finally beginning to move in the direction of growth. On the issue of termination of deflation that has plagued Japan for more than 15 years, some of the board members have admitted that it may be difficult to reach a new target for CPI at 2 percent.
The protocol also states that the Japanese economy began to recover. The volume of exports had ceased to decline, as foreign economies are trying to get out of the deceleration phase, which continues from last year, and gradually coming to an end.
Recall that at its last meeting, the Bank of Japan left unchanged the interest rate level - at the level of 0-0,10 percent. He also agreed to carry out operations in the money market, which will help expand the monetary base in annual terms by about 60 - 70 trillion yen. In addition, the Bank of Japan said it would continue to buy Japanese government bonds, so that the amount of debt will increase by an annual rate of up to 50 trillion. yen. that corresponds to the plan. Purchases of government bonds, are expected to put downward pressure on interest rates across the yield curve.
Meanwhile, it is worth noting that one of the members of the committee said the bank should limit its mitigation measures to two years in order to avoid financial imbalances that may arise as a result of stimulation. In addition, members of the committee warned, however, that remains considerable uncertainty and downside risks to the economy - in particular, from abroad.
EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3302
GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.5613
USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair is trading in the range of Y94.67-Y95.38
At 12:30 GMT Canada will announce the change in our manufacturing sales for April. Also this time, the U.S. producer price index will be released and the producer price index excluding prices for food and energy for May, as well as data on the balance of the current account of balance of payments for the 1st quarter. At 13:15 GMT the U.S. will release the capacity utilization rate in May, and will announce the change in the volume of industrial production in May. At 13:55 GMT the U.S. consumer sentiment index will be released from the University of Michigan in June.
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3450/60, $1.3430/35, $1.3420, $1.3400, $1.3390
Bids $1.3300, $1.3279, $1.3250, $1.3232
GBP/USD
Offers $1.5840/50, $1.5800/10, $1.5750/60, $1.5737, $1.5718
Bids $1.5616/00, $1.5585/80, $1.5570, $1.5550, $1.5530/20
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9720, $0.9700, $0.9680, $0.9650, $0.9621
Bids $0.9550, $0.9535, $0.9500, $0.9460/50
EUR/JPY
Offers Y128.45/50, Y128.00, Y127.50, Y127.20/30, Y126.95/00
Bids Y126.25/20, Y126.05/00, Y125.80, Y125.50, Y125.30, Y125.00
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8595/600, stg0.8575/80, stg0.8560/65, stg0.8551, stg0.8535
Bids stg0.8476, stg0.8465/60, stg0.8445/40, stg0.8420
USD/JPY
Offers Y96.90/00, Y96.50, Y96.20, Y95.95/00, Y95.40/50
Bids Y94.70/65, Y94.30/20, Y94.00, Y93.80/75
EUR/USD
$1.3200, $1.3275, $1.3300, $1.3370, $1.3400
USD/JPY Y93.50, Y94.50, Y95.00, Y95.50, Y96.00, Y96.40, Y97.00
EUR/JPY Y128.50
GBP/USD $1.5640 $1.5700
USD/CHF Chf0.9250, Chf0.9275, Chf0.9300
AUD/USD $0.94.50, $0.9465, $0.9500, $0.9600
USD/CАD C$1.0110, C$1.0150
---
The yen climbed as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's cabinet approved a growth plan announced this month. It's poised for a fourth-straight week of gains versus the dollar, the longest since July 2012. The Bank of Japan said higher bond yields were due to rising stocks and a falling yen, according to minutes of its May meeting released today.
Euro buying may be boosted before the ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim gives the latest reading of its index of investor and analyst expectations in Germany. The gauge rose to 37 from 36.4 in May, according to a Bloomberg News survey. The report, due next week, aims to predict economic developments six months in advance.
Industrial production in the U.S. probably rose 0.2 percent last month, a Fed report today is predicted to show, following a 0.5 percent decline the previous month.
U.S. equities rose yesterday on better-than-forecast economic figures. Data showed U.S. retail sales rose 0.6 percent in May, exceeding the median economist forecast in a Bloomberg survey. The increase was the biggest in three months and followed a 0.1 percent gain in April.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell below $ 1.3350
GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell below $ 1.5700
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to Y94.40
There is a full calendar
of economic data on both sides of the Atlantic Friday, but little
in the way of scheduled central bank appearances. Early data sees
the release of the May Bank of France retail survey. At 0730GMT,
the Spanish first quarter labour cost survey numbers are set for
release. There is little UK data scheduled, although the April
construction output numbers will cross the wires at 0830GMT.
Eurozone data fro release at 0900GMT includes the May final HICP
numbers and the first quarter employment numbers. Eurozone CPI is
seen up 0.1% on month, up 1.4% on year, with core CPI higher by
1.2%. At 0930GMT, the German government is schedule to give a
regular press briefing, while at 1230GMT, German Finance Minister
Wolfgang Schaeuble will attend a German-Franco-Italian finance and
labour ministers meeting.
09:00 Eurozone Employment Change Quarter I -0.3% -0.2%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI May -0.1% +0.1%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) May +1.4% +1.4%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y May +1.2% +1.2%
09:50 United Kingdom MPC Member McCafferty Speaks
12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) April -0.3% +0.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m May -0.7% +0.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y May +0.6% +1.4%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m May +0.1% +0.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y May +1.7% +1.7%
12:30 U.S. Current cccount, bln Quarter I -110.4 -111.0
13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) May -0.5% +0.3%
13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization May 77.8% 77.9%
13:55 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Preliminary) June 84.5 84.9