Notícias do Mercado

17 março 2014
  • 23:19

    Currencies. Daily history for March 17'2014:

    (pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3947 +0,25%

    GBP/USD $1,6632 -0,09%

    USD/CHF Chf0,8733+0,13%

    USD/JPY Y101,79 +0,43%

    EUR/JPY Y141,71 +0,49%

    GBP/JPY Y169,30 +0,36%

    AUD/USD $0,9085 +0,61%

    NZD/USD $0,8565 +0,39%

    USD/CAD C$1,1058 -0,42%

  • 22:59

    Schedule for today, Tuesday, March 18’2014:

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    00:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes                 

    01:30 China Property Prices, y/y February +9.6%         

    06:45 Switzerland SECO Economic Forecasts Quarter II             

    10:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment March 68.5 67.3     

    10:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. January 13.7 13.9     

    10:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment March 55.7 52.8     

    12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) January -0.9% +1.1%     

    12:30 U.S. Building Permits, mln February 937 960     

    12:30 U.S. Housing Starts, mln February 880 910     

    12:30 U.S. CPI, m/m February +0.1% +0.1%     

    12:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y February +1.6% +1.2%     

    12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m February +0.1% +0.1%     

    12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y February +1.6% +1.6%     

    15:55 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks                 

    17:45 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks                 

    20:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories March +2.6         

    21:45 New Zealand Current Account Quarter IV -4.78 -1.44     

    23:30 Australia Leading Index February -0.2%         

    23:50 Japan Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance, bln February -1818.8 -893.6

  • 18:20

    American focus : the euro rose

    The euro edged higher against the U.S. dollar on a background of mixed American makrostatistiki . The survey revealed that the Fed - New York manufacturing index in the region rose slightly in March compared to the previous month . According to the data , the production index in March rose to 5.6 against 4.48 in February. Note that January's value has not been revised . Economists expected the index to rise to the level of 6.6 points.

    U.S. industrial production volume increased markedly in February , exceeding forecasts with experts and fully compensate for the decline recorded in the previous month . This was reported by the Federal Reserve in its latest report . According to the data , seasonally adjusted industrial production increased by 0.6 % in February compared with the decline of 0.2% in the previous month ( revised from -0.3 %). Capacity utilization rate , meanwhile, rose by 0.3 percentage points - to 78.8% . Economists forecast that industrial production increased by 0.2%, while capacity utilization was 78.7 %.

    The data , which were presented by the National Association of Home Builders showed that in the current month, U.S. builders continued to exercise caution in relation to the housing market , suggesting that problems with the restoration were associated not only with severe weather conditions . According to the report , the seasonally adjusted March housing market index rose by only 1 point , reaching 47 points . Values ​​below 50 indicates that more builders assessed conditions as poor than good . Slight increase occurred after the fall of 10 points in February - the largest monthly decline in the history of this research . Many economists predicted that in March the index to rise to 50 points. Builders reported that the complexity of the work have been associated not only with the bad weather and problems and to give labor and land .

    Earlier pressure on the euro had data that showed that inflation slowed in February to 0.7 % per annum after an increase of 0.8 % in January. This was stated in the final data of the Statistical Office . Analysts do not expect the revision of growth from previously reported 0.8%. Prices excluding the cost of fuel and food in the euro zone rose in February compared to February 2013 to 1 %, as predicted by experts . We also add that on a monthly basis , consumer prices in February rose 0.3 %, compared with a decline of 1.1% a month earlier. Inflation in the 28 countries of the EU in annual terms slowed to 0.8% after 0.9 % in January.

    The yen has fallen markedly against the U.S. dollar , which was associated with Kuroda statement on the possible extension of the leniency program . According to him, the Bank of Japan should be prepared to apply the barter easing monetary policy in case of any hint of problems in achieving the inflation target due to the economic downturn. He also noted that consideration of further measures will be made at an early stage - depending on how the economy will react by increasing the tax rate on consumption.

    CB Head Kuroda said with confidence : increased sales tax in April will not have a significant negative impact on the economy. He explained : record level measures easing monetary policy , begun in April 2013 , has been applied with the assumption that the consumption tax rate should eventually reach 10% . Kuroda said hardly consumption will be significantly reduced .

  • 14:00

    U.S.: NAHB Housing Market Index, March 47 (forecast 50)

  • 13:46

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    USD/JPY Y101.30, Y101.40, Y102.35, Y102.50, Y102.95, Y103.05, Y104.40

    EUR/USD $1.3780, $1.3975, $1.4000

    AUD/USD $0.8910, $0.9000, $0.9035/40, $0.9125, $0.9170, $0.9180, $0.9190

    EUR/GBP stg0.8315, stg0.8400

    USD/CAD Cad1.1000, Cad1.1080, Cad1.1100, Cad1.1175

    GBP/USD $1.1.6700

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2050, Chf1.2150, Chf1.2215, Chf1.2350

    NZD/USD NZ$0.8500

  • 13:15

    U.S.: Capacity Utilization, February 78.8% (forecast 78.7%)

  • 13:15

    U.S.: Industrial Production (MoM), February +0.6% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 13:00

    European session: The yen declined significantly against the U.S. dollar

    Data

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) March +3.3% +1.6%

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) March +6.9% +6.8%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) February -3.5% +0.1%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) February -3.0% -3.5%

    09:30 United Kingdom BOE Deputy Governor for Financial Stability Jon Cunliffe speaks

    10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI February -1.1% +0.4% +0.3%

    10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) February +0.8% +0.8% +0.7%

    10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y February +0.8% +1.0%

    11:00 Germany Bundesbank Monthly Report March


    Euro traded with little change against the dollar, which was associated with the release of weak data for the euro area and the United States . Traders ignored until the outcome of yesterday's referendum in the Crimea , as they were predictable . Now market participants' attention focused on the U.S. data , namely industrial production , which will soon be presented .

    As for the report on the euro area , it showed that the growth of inflation in February slowed to 0.7% per annum after an increase of 0.8 % in January. This was stated in the final data of the Statistical Office . Analysts do not expect the revision of growth from previously reported 0.8%. Prices excluding the cost of fuel and food in the euro zone rose in February compared to February 2013 to 1 %, as predicted by experts . We also add that on a monthly basis , consumer prices in February rose 0.3 %, compared with a decline of 1.1% a month earlier.

    Inflation in the 28 countries of the EU in annual terms slowed to 0.8% after 0.9 % in January. From the previous month , consumer prices rose by 0.3%. In February annualized deflation observed in Bulgaria ( -2.1 % ), Cyprus (-1.3 %) , Greece (-0.9 % ), Croatia ( -0.2 %) , Portugal and Slovakia ( -0.1 %). The highest growth rate of consumer prices recorded in Malta and Finland ( 1.6% ) and Austria ( 1.5%). Recall . that the ECB's target level is less than 2 %. In early November last year at a similar level, the ECB cut its inflation rate to a record low of 0.25 % to 0.5%.

    Meanwhile, U.S. data showed that the index of activity in the manufacturing sector of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York rose to 5.6 to 4.48 , which was below the forecast of 6.6.

    The yen has fallen markedly against the U.S. dollar , which was associated with Kuroda statement on the possible extension of the leniency program . According to him, the Bank of Japan should be prepared to apply the barter easing monetary policy in case of any hint of problems in achieving the inflation target due to the economic downturn. He also noted that consideration of further measures will be made at an early stage - depending on how the economy will react by increasing the tax rate on consumption.

    CB Head Kuroda said with confidence : increased sales tax in April will not have a significant negative impact on the economy. He explained : record level measures easing monetary policy , begun in April 2013 , has been applied with the assumption that the consumption tax rate should eventually reach 10% . Kuroda said hardly consumption will be significantly reduced .

    Australian dollar strengthened against the U.S. currency , despite the increased geopolitical risks associated with the Crimea , who last weekend called for the annexation to Russia . More than 95 % of Crimeans voted to become part of the Russian Federation , according to preliminary results of the referendum , which raises the likelihood of acute confrontation between East and West.

    U.S. and European Union quickly denounced the referendum , calling it illegal. U.S. President Barack Obama , in a telephone conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin , said the vote was held " under duress and threat of Russian military intervention " and will not be acknowledged . The focus will now be on the sanctions against Russia from the West, and how Russia it responds to .

    Traders said the strong Australian currency exchange rate was partly the result of rising expectations that the central bank will raise interest rates at its next meeting .


    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3877 , but then recovered to $ 1.3910

    GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.6603

    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y101.83


    At 13:15 GMT the U.S. will release capacity utilization for February and announce the change of volume of industrial production for February. At 14:00 GMT the United States will present housing market index from the NAHB for March.

  • 12:44

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.4000, $1.3967/75, $1.3920/25

    Bids $1.3820-30, $1.3770/60, $1.3710/00


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.6720/25, $1.6665/70, $1.6640/50

    Bids $1.6595/90, $1.6555/50, $1.6510/00


    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.9150, $0.9130, $0.9100

    Bids $0.9000/10, $0.8950, $0.8910/00


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y142.90/00, Y142.50, Y141.90/00

    Bids Y140.55/50, Y140.00, Y139.50


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y103.00, Y102.50/55, Y102.00

    Bids Y101.50, Y101.20, Y101.00, Y100.50


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8415/20, stg0.8390/405, stg0.8380

    Bids stg0.8330/35, stg0.8320/15, stg0.8280/75


  • 12:30

    U.S.: NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index , March 5.6 (forecast 6.6)

  • 12:30

    Canada: Foreign Securities Purchases, January 1.09 (forecast 3.24)

  • 10:10

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    USD/JPY Y101.30, Y101.40, Y102.35, Y102.50, Y102.95, Y103.05, Y104.40

    EUR/USD $1.3780, $1.3975, $1.4000

    AUD/USD $0.8910, $0.9000, $0.9035/40, $0.9125, $0.9170, $0.9180, $0.9190

    EUR/GBP stg0.8315, stg0.8400

    USD/CAD Cad1.1000, Cad1.1080, Cad1.1100, Cad1.1175

    GBP/USD $1.1.6700

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2050, Chf1.2150, Chf1.2215, Chf1.2350

    NZD/USD NZ$0.8500

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, February +0.3% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, Y/Y, February +0.7% (forecast +0.8%)

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y, February +1.0%

  • 06:22

    Asian session: The Swiss Franc traded near the strongest since October 2011

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) March +3.3% +1.6%

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) March +6.9% +6.8%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) February -3.5% +0.1%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) February -3.0% -3.5%


    The Swiss Franc traded near the strongest since October 2011 as the West prepares to impose sanctions against Russia after a referendum in Crimea, supporting demand for safer assets. European Union foreign ministers will meet in Brussels today to discuss travel bans and asset freezes on some Russian officials as Vladimir Putin’s government prepares to annex the region in Ukraine’s south.

    The yen retreated following last week’s steepest advance since January as Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc said the Bank of Japan may be starting to embark on dovish rhetoric, helping to cap its gains.

    The yuan will be able to trade today as much as 2 percent on either side of a daily central bank reference rate, from 1 percent previously, the People’s Bank of China said in a statement on its website on March 15. The move underscores pledges from China’s leaders to make the exchange rate more market based and promote freer movement of capital for investment purposes.Demand for the Aussie increased after Bill Evans, the chief economist Westpac Banking Corp., wrote in research that he no longer expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut rates this year, following signs of improvement in employment, consumption and business confidence.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3900-15

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6625-45

    USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y101.60


    It was a relatively dull session for the euro amid ongoing worries about tension in Ukraine.

  • 00:32

    Australia: New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) , February +3.4%

  • 00:32

    Australia: New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) , February -3.5%

  • 00:31

    Australia: New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) , February +0.1%

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