The euro fell against the dollar to its lowest level since April 4, after the data provided by Thomson-Reuters and the Michigan Institute showed that in May, U.S. consumers are feeling much more optimistic about the economy than last month. According to provisional data, in May consumer sentiment index rose to 83.7, compared with a reading at 76.4 the previous month. Note that according to the average estimates of experts, the index had to rise to the level of 77.9. In addition, it was reported that the current conditions index rose to 97.5 from 89.9 reported last month, and the expectations index advanced to 74.8 from 67.8. It should be noted that inflation expectations one year ahead remained unchanged in the month of May - at 3.1%, while inflation expectations for the next 5-10 years declined to 2.8% from 2.9%.
Previously, the pressure on the European single currency was evidence that in March the eurozone construction output continued to decline, registering with the fifth consecutive monthly decline. According to the report, a monthly basis, the volume of construction in April fell 1.7 percent, which followed a decline of 0.3 percent in February, while the year-on-year decline was 7.9%, compared with growth of 1.7% in March. Construction of buildings and civil engineering fell by 1.4% and 2.4%, respectively. We also add that in the first quarter as a whole, construction output fell by 3.0%, which was significantly greater than the decline of 1.8% recorded in the last three months of last year. At the same time, the data showed that the annualized volumes declined in ten Member States and improved in four. The largest annual decline was registered in Slovenia, the Czech Republic and Poland. Meanwhile, Spain and Hungary reported the highest growth rates. Statistical Office reported that the decline in construction was distributed across the euro zone (the volume of construction in the EU-27 decreased by 1.1% on a monthly basis, and fell by 7.2% per annum), and even in Germany (by 3.1% ), which narrowly avoided slipping into recession in the first quarter. In monthly terms, the largest decline in construction was recorded in Portugal (10.7%), which reflects the current austerity as to how the country is struggling to reduce the budget deficit.
The Canadian dollar fell to a two-month low against the U.S. dollar after the annual inflation rate in April fell to its lowest level in more than three years, reinforcing expectations of lower interest rates. The Canadian dollar fell against all of its 16 most-traded currencies after the consumer price index rose 0.4% in April, in annual terms, and compared with 1% growth in the previous month. This is the slowest growth since October 2009.
EUR/USD $1.2825, $1.2865, $1.2900, $1.2940, $1.2950, $1.3000
USD/JPY Y101.50, Y101.60, Y102.00, Y102.50, Y103.00. Exotic Y103.00
GBP/USD $1.5200
EUR/GBP stg0.8400
USD/CHF Chf0.9675
USD/CAD C$1.0230, C$1.0300
Data
02:00 China Leading Index April 0.0% +1.5%
09:00 Eurozone Construction Output, m/m March -0.3% -1.7%
09:00 Eurozone Construction Output, y/y March +1.7% +7.9%
09:30 United Kingdom MPC Member Weale Speaks
The pound fell against the dollar, approaching its second weekly decline, due to speculation that the Fed may resort to stop stimulation, which increased the demand for the U.S. currency.
The dynamics are also influenced by the statement of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, who said that "we are ready to reduce the program of bond purchases in the coming months if the economy continues to grow. It is clear that the labor market situation has improved since September. " Moreover, he added that it would take a further improvement of the situation in order to convince me that "significant improvement" corresponds to the situation, "but if things go as expected," we could reduce some of the pace of our purchases of securities, perhaps as early as this summer. If all goes as hoped, we might end up buying program somewhere at the end of this year. "He added, however, that uncertainty surrounds the outlook, and if he is wrong about the economy," we will adjust our purchases accordingly in Depending on how the economy running. Note that during the meeting of officials offered differing opinions about the prospects for continued efforts the Fed to buy about $ 85 billion a month in Treasury and mortgage debt.
Value of the dollar rose slightly against the euro, after the latest data, which were published today by Statistics agency Eurostat showed that in March the eurozone construction output continued to decline, registering with the fifth consecutive monthly decline. According to the report, a monthly basis, the volume of construction in April fell 1.7 percent, which followed a decline of 0.3 percent in February, while the year-on-year decline was 7.9%, compared with growth of 1.7% in March. Construction of buildings and civil engineering fell by 1.4% and 2.4%, respectively. We also add that in the first quarter as a whole, construction output fell by 3.0%, which was significantly greater than the decline of 1.8% recorded in the last three months of last year. At the same time, the data showed that the annualized volumes declined in ten Member States and improved in four. The largest annual decline was registered in Slovenia, the Czech Republic and Poland. Meanwhile, Spain and Hungary reported the highest growth rates. Statistical Office reported that the decline in construction was distributed across the euro zone (the volume of construction in the EU-27 decreased by 1.1% on a monthly basis, and fell by 7.2% per annum), and even in Germany (by 3.1% ), which narrowly avoided slipping into recession in the first quarter. In monthly terms, the largest decline in construction was recorded in Portugal (10.7%), which reflects the current austerity as to how the country is struggling to reduce the budget deficit.
EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair is hovering around $ 1.2850-$ 1.2890
GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair dropped to $ 1.5221
USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y102.63, then dropped to Y102.26
At 12:30 GMT Canada released the consumer price index and core consumer price index from the Bank of Canada in April, as well as become aware of a change in the volume of wholesale trade for March. At 13:55 GMT the United States will publish the consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan in May.
EUR/USD
Offers $1.2950, $1.2930/40, $1.2890/900, $1.2880/85
Bids $1.2850/40, $1.2825/20, $1.2800/790, $1.2775/70
GBP/USD
Offers $1.5380/85, $1.5350, $1.5295/300, $1.5282, $1.5250
Bids $1.5195, $1.5175/70, $1.5160/50, $1.5130/20
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9900, $0.9880, $0.9845/50, $0.9830/35, $0.9800/10
Bids $0.9720/10, $0.9700, $0.9650, $0.9600
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8545/50, stg0.8530/35, stg0.8490-500, stg0.8460/65
Bids stg0.8421, stg0.8400, stg0.8398, stg0.8395/90
EUR/JPY
Offers Y133.50, Y133.00, Y132.75/80, Y132.40/50, Y132.20
Bids Y131.40, Y131.30/20, Y131.10/00, Y130.80
USD/JPY
Offers Y103.50, Y103.05/10, Y103.00, Y102.90/95, Y102.75/80
Bids Y102.00, Y101.85/80, Y101.50, Y101.00
EUR/USD
$1.2825, $1.2865, $1.2900, $1.2940, $1.2950,
$1.3000
USD/JPY Y101.50, Y101.60, Y102.00, Y102.50, Y103.00. Exotic Y103.00
GBP/USD $1.5200
EUR/GBP stg0.8400
USD/CHF Chf0.9675
USD/CAD C$1.0230, C$1.0300
02:00 China Leading Index April 0.0%
+1.5%
The dollar maintained this week's gains versus all 16 major peers before data forecast to show improvement in the U.S. economy. The Conference Board's index of U.S. leading indicators probably rose 0.2 percent last month, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News before the data today. The gauge of the outlook for the next three to six months fell 0.1 percent in March.
The greenback rose toward a six-week high against the euro before the Federal Reserve releases on May 22 minutes of its last meeting, when policy makers said they may alter the pace of monthly bond purchases. Fed Bank of San Francisco President John Williams said yesterday the central bank may begin to taper off buying as early as this summer.
Economists in a separate Bloomberg poll expect a preliminary reading on the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment today will rise to 77.9 this month from 76.4 in April.
The yen headed for a third weekly loss before the Bank of Japan meets next week. Industrial production increased 14.2 percent in March from the previous month, when it grew a revised 4.2 percent, the Cabinet Office said today. Economists in a Bloomberg survey expected a 3.5 percent expansion.
The Australian dollar dropped to its lowest level in more than 11 months before the nation's central bank releases minutes of its last policy meeting on May 21. Reserve Bank Governor Glenn Stevens lowered borrowing costs to a record 2.75 percent this month and cut the inflation outlook, while reiterating a forecast for below-trend growth.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair fell to $ 1.2850
GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair fell to $ 1.5235
USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of Y102.05-35
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change,
%)
EUR/USD $1,2883 +0,02%
GBP/USD $1,5273 +0,33%
USD/CHF Chf0,9643 -0,17%
USD/JPY Y102,21 -0,06%
EUR/JPY Y131,69 -0,03%
GBP/JPY Y156,11 +0,29%
AUD/USD $0,9842 -0,46%
NZD/USD $0,8169 -0,77%
USD/CAD C$1,0184 +0,21%
02:00 China Leading Index April 0.0%
09:00 Eurozone Construction Output, m/m March -0.8%
09:00 Eurozone Construction Output, y/y March +0.8%
09:30 United Kingdom MPC Member Weale Speaks
12:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m March 0.0% +0.4%
12:30 Canada Consumer Price Index m / m April +0.2% +0.1%
12:30 Canada Consumer price index, y/y April +1.0% +0.9%
12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, m/m April +0.2% +0.2%
12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y April +1.4% +1.2%
13:55 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Preliminary) March 76.4 77.9