Notícias do Mercado

25 setembro 2013
  • 19:22

    American focus : the British pound has appreciated sharply against the dollar significantly

    The dollar declined significantly against the euro, which was associated with the release of data on Germany and the United States. It should be noted that consumer confidence in Germany rose to the highest post-crisis levels in October. German consumers have joined the companies and investors who have previously demonstrated a growing optimism about the prospects for the euro zone 's largest economy .

    According to the report, the GfK consumer climate index rose to 7.1 in October , while the index for September was also revised up by 0.1 points to 7.0. October value was the highest level since June 2007 . The result was in line with analysts' forecasts .

    As for the U.S. data , they showed that orders for manufactured durable goods showed a slight increase in August as demand for aircraft and military equipment declined. At the same time, the data show that U.S. companies make investments in new capacity . Total orders for durable goods , which include items such as furniture and washing machines, which use the term more than three years , rose in August by 0.1 % to a seasonally adjusted $ 224.92 billion, the Commerce Department said . Economists forecast that orders will remain unchanged from the previous month.

    Meanwhile, another report showed that sales of new U.S. homes rose in August by 7.9 % to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 421,000 , recovering from a big drop in July. The increase was due to increased sales of new buildings in three of the four regions , according to official data released on Wednesday . Sales rose at the fastest pace of growth since January. Economists had expected sales to rise to 422,000 , compared with the initial estimate of sales in July of $ 394,000 . On Wednesday, the U.S. Commerce Department revised the July sales down to 390,000 .

    The pound rose significantly against the dollar, which has helped to publish an optimistic report on Britain. It is learned that retail sales in September rose at the fastest pace in 15 months - a sign of continuing to strengthen consumer confidence and good prospects for the retail sector , said the Confederation of British Industry (CBI). Core retail sales in September reached 34 , the highest level since June 2012 against 27 in August. The index measures the difference between the number of retailers who reported an increase in sales , and companies which have notified their sales decline compared to the same period last year. Note that the report on retail sales growth came after a series of positive data that confirm the acceleration of recovery of the UK economy in Q3 .

    Yen demonstrates mixed against the dollar, which related to the expectations of difficult negotiations between the White House and Republican opposition on the issue of raising the debt ceiling . If it does not improve , then at the end of October in the U.S. may default on debt . In addition, the Congress will adopt a budget for the new fiscal year, which begins in the U.S. on October 1 . The U.S. Senate on Monday began its consideration of the bill , which provides funding for state institutions since the beginning of the new fiscal year (October 1) until December 15 , but providing for the refusal to finance health care reform - one of the major initiatives of President Barack Obama. The bill was approved on Friday the House of Representatives, controlled by Republicans .

  • 15:30

    U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, September +2.6

  • 15:00

    U.S.: New Home Sales, August 421 (forecast 422)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Durable Goods Orders , August +0.1% (forecast 0.0%)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation , August -0.1% (forecast +1.1%)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Durable goods orders ex defense, August +0.5% (forecast -0.4%)

  • 13:15

    European session: the euro rose

    06:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey October 7.0 Revised From 6.9 7.1 7.1

    06:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator August 1.41 1.32

    10:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance September 27 24 34


    The euro rose against the dollar after data on consumer confidence in Germany. Consumer confidence in Germany rose to the highest post-crisis levels in October , said Wednesday the research group GfK. German consumers have joined the companies and investors who have previously demonstrated a growing optimism about the prospects for the euro zone 's largest economy .

    GfK consumer climate index rose to 7.1 in October , while the index for September was also revised up by 0.1 points to 7.0. October value was the highest level since June 2007 . The result was in line with analysts' forecasts . The component " willingness to buy " added 0.6 points to 45.0 points in September , and remains at the highest level since December 2006 . The economic expectations component rose by 8.9 points to 10.7 . On the other hand , expectations of household income fell a second month in a row after four consecutive periods of growth , a decline of 3.5 points to 33.7 - although this result is still very high by historical standards .

    The yen continued to rise against most major currencies after the decline of stock markets in Asia and the United States associated with the expectations of difficult negotiations between the White House and Republican opposition on the issue of raising the debt ceiling . If it does not improve , then the end of October in the U.S. may default on debt . In addition, the Congress will adopt a budget for the new fiscal year, which begins in the U.S. on October 1 . The U.S. Senate on Monday began its consideration of the bill , which provides funding for state institutions since the beginning of the new fiscal year (October 1) until December 15 , but providing for the refusal to finance health care reform - one of the major initiatives of President Barack Obama. The bill was approved on Friday the House of Representatives, controlled by Republicans.

    The British pound rose against the dollar after data on retail sales in the UK. According to the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), retail sales in September rose at the highest rate in 15 months. This indicates that consumer confidence continues to strengthen and are promising sector, which is an important part of the economy. The volume index of retail sales in September reached 34 , the highest level since June 2012 , when he was 42. In August, the index was equal to 27 . The index measures the difference between the percentage of retailers reporting a rise in sales and the share of companies that reported a decline in sales compared with the same period last year.


    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3519


    GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6057

    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair fell to Y98.37

    In the U.S., at 12:30 GMT will change in orders for durable goods , a change in orders for durable goods excluding transportation equipment in August , a 14:00 GMT - sales in the primary market in August , in the 14:30 GMT - data on stocks of crude oil from the Ministry of Energy .


  • 13:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3620, $1.3600, $1.3575/80, $1.3545/50, $1.3515/20

    Bids $1.3455/50, $1.3420/10, $1.3400, $1.3380


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.6145/50, $1.6090/100, $1.6075/80, $1.6045/50

    Bids $1.5985/80, $1.5960/50, $1.5920, $1.5900


    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.9500, $0.9480, $0.9450, $0.9420, $0.9395/00, $0.9380/85

    Bids $0.9320, $0.9300, $0.9280, $0.9250


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8520, stg0.8500, stg0.8480, stg0.8460/65, stg0.8450

    Bids stg0.8400, stg0.8355/50, stg0.8320, stg0.8300, stg0.8280


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y134.20, Y134.00, Y133.80, Y133.45/50

    Bids Y132.60/50, Y132.20, Y132.00, Y133.85/80, Y133.65/60


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y99.60, Y99.50, Y99.15/20, Y99.00, Y98.80

    Bids Y98.25/20, Y98.00, Y97.80


  • 11:00

    United Kingdom: CBI retail sales volume balance, September 34 (forecast 24)

  • 10:24

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3350, $1.3400, $1.3450, $1.3500, $1.3570

    GBP/USD $1.5950, $1.6080

    USD/JPY Y97.50, Y97.70, Y98.00, Y98.50, Y98.80, Y98.85, Y99.00, Y99.25, Y100.00, Y101.00

    AUD/USD $0.9345, $0.9350, $0.9360, $0.9400, $0.9460

    USD/CAD C$1.0300, C$1.0375

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2270

    USD/CHF Chf0.9100

    EUR/JPY Y133.60, Y134.00, Y134.20

  • 07:20

    Asian session: The yen and dollar held gains

    01:30 Australia RBA Financial Stability Review September

    05:00 Japan Small Business Confidence September 49.7 49.8


    The yen and dollar held gains versus most major peers as stocks in Asia and the U.S. dropped amid concern over budget talks that risk a federal government shutdown, sparking demand for haven currencies. The U.S. Senate is set to hold a test vote today on legislation passed by the House of Representatives to cover federal spending through Dec. 15, and choke off funds for President Barack Obama’s health-care law. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has said the Senate will pass a spending measure without defunding the health law, raising the prospect of the debate extending past a Sept. 30 deadline. The next fiscal year begins Oct. 1.

    The greenback remained stronger before data forecast to show new home sales rebounded in August, a sign the housing market is beginning to adjust to a jump in financing costs. Purchases of new houses in the U.S. climbed 6.6 percent to a 420,000 annual rate in August after plunging in July by the most in three years, according to economists in a Bloomberg News survey before the Commerce Department data today. Even with the gain, the purchase pace would fall short of the average 448,000 rate in the first six months of the year.

    Excluding the volatile transportation category, orders for durable goods in the U.S. rose 1 percent in August after falling 0.8 percent the prior month, according to a separate survey before today’s report.

    The New Zealand dollar fell versus its 16 major peers after official data showed the nation’s trade deficit widened to NZ$1.2 billion ($989 million) in August, the biggest shortfall in five years.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3460-80

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair fell to $ 1.5975

    USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of Y98.55-80


    Wednesday is another busy day on both sides of the calendar, with a full session of calendar releases. The European calendar gets underway at 0600GMT, with the release oF the German October GfK consumer confidence data. There is a raft of French data at 0645GMT, including the release of the September business climate index, along with the September services and manufacturing sentiment indices. Spanish August PPI numbers are set for release at 0700GMT, to be followed by the Italian September ISTAT consumer confidence data at 0800GMT. At 1200GMT, ECB Executive Board member Joerg Asmussen will give a speech on "Finance crisis - no end?" in Frankfurt. At 1300GMT, ECB Governing Council member Patrick Honohan appears before the Irish parliament, in Dublin. There are further European speakers from 1500GMT, when ECB Governing Council member Jens Weidmann speaks at a Bundesbank regional office, in Duesseldorf. At 1645GMT, European Commission Vice President Joaquin Almunia will deliver a speech on EU bank resolution in Washington.

  • 07:00

    Germany: Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey, October 7.1 (forecast 7.1)

  • 07:00

    Switzerland: UBS Consumption Indicator, August 1.32

  • 06:20

    Currencies. Daily history for Sep 24'2013:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3470 -0,17%

    GBP/USD $1,6002 -0,25%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9131 +0,24%

    USD/JPY Y98,74 -0,07%

    EUR/JPY Y132,98 -0,54%

    GBP/JPY Y157,97 -0,32%

    AUD/USD $0,9384 -0,43%

    NZD/USD $0,8276 -1,14%

    USD/CAD C$1,0303 +0,20%

  • 06:01

    Schedule for today, Wednesday, Sep 25’2013:

    01:30 Australia RBA Financial Stability Review September

    05:00 Japan Small Business Confidence September 49.7

    06:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey October 6.9 7.1

    06:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator August 1.41

    10:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance September 27 24

    12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders August -7.3% 0.0%

    12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation August -0.6% +1.1%

    12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense August -6.7% -0.4%

    14:00 U.S. New Home Sales August 394 422

    14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories September -4.4

    15:00 Eurozone ECB's Jens Weidmann Speaks


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