Market news

10 October 2016
  • 23:50

    Japan: Current Account, bln, August 2001 (forecast 1539)

  • 22:28

    Currencies. Daily history for Oct 10’2016:

    (pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,1137 -0,57%

    GBP/USD $1,2363 -0,57%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9826 +0,53%

    USD/JPY Y103,93 +0,98%

    EUR/JPY Y115,42 +0,16%

    GBP/JPY Y128,11 +0,15%

    AUD/USD $0,7605 +0,28%

    NZD/USD $0,7139 -0,38%

    USD/CAD C$1,3163 -0,97%

  • 22:00

    Schedule for today, Tuesday, Oct 11’2016

    00:30 Australia Home Loans August -4.2%

    00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence September 6

    05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current September 45.6

    05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook September 47.4

    09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment October 5.4

    09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment October 0.5 4

    12:15 Canada Housing Starts September 182.7

    14:00 U.S. Labor Market Conditions Index September -0.7

    23:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence October 0.3%

    23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders August 4.9% -5.5%

    23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders, y/y August 5.2% 6.5%

  • 15:02
  • 14:34

    Shares of Twitter (TWTR) have fallen by 13.6% on reports that potential buyers have lost interest

    On Saturday, Twitter's board of directors should hold a meeting with the independent consultants to discuss the sale, but the event was canceled. Potential buyers - Google (Alphabet Inc .; GOOG), Salesforce.com Inc. and Walt Disney (DIS)

    According to informed sources, Twitter is considering other options, including the separation of assets that are not of importance to the company's core business.

    TWTR shares fell in premarket trading to $ 17.15 (-13.60%).

  • 14:28

    US Conference Bd: Sep Employment Trends Index +1.1% To 128.51

  • 13:50

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EUR/USD: 1.1100 (EUR 776m) 1.1117-20 (766m) 1.1180 (346m) 1.1200-05 (472m) 1.1225 (686m) 1.1220 (304m) 1.1285-90 (336m) 1.1310 (238m) 1.1350 (489m)

    USD/JPY: 101.50 (USD 402m) 101.95-00 (475m) 102.50 (1.15bln) 103.00-10 (486m) 103.50 (500m)

    GBP/USD: 1.2000 (GBP 475m) 1.2400 (604m) 1.2500 (770m) 1.2600 (270m) 1.2700 (757m)

    USD/CHF 0.9640-50 (USD 775m) )

    AUD/USD: 0.7450 (AUD 300m) 0.7550 (351m) 0.7600 (1.14bln) 0.7825 (256m)

  • 13:16

    EUR: Taper Rumors Underpin EUR; Staying Bullish On Crosses - Credit Agricole

    "Market concerns that ECB may be closer to tapering QE than anticipated have been supporting the single currency on the crosses. Although the central bank's press agency denied such an idea, we do believe that it will become a bigger topic by the middle of next year.

    Nonetheless, it must still be noted that the ECB is unlikely to consider a change to interest rates anytime soon and such prospects are likely to ensure that the EUR does not face sustainable upside for now.

    From a broader basis we remain of the view that a gradual uptrend will continue unabated.

    In terms of data the focus will be on the final September CPI and the German ZEW economic sentiment survey. While final inflation data is unlikely to provide any surprises the ZEW faces some upside risks given its closer correlation with German stocks.

    We keep our long EUR/CAD position".

    Copyright © 2016 Credit Agricole CIB, eFXnews™

  • 12:44

    Putin: Russia ready to join oil output limit decision - Bloomberg. USD/CAD moves lower

  • 12:43

    Deutsche Bank (DB) and the US Department of Justice failed to reach an agreement

    This was reported by the German newspaper Bild. The bank's chief executive officer met with senior officials in the US Department of Justice on Friday to discuss a huge fine, which the bank has to pay for toxic trade of mortgage-backed securities in the global financial crisis period. The talks ended without an agreement.

    Bild also reported that Deutsche Bank is considering the possibility of filing claims for damages to the former managers of the bank, including former CEO of Deutsche Bank Josef Ackermann.

    DB's shares rose in premarket trading to $ 13.76 (+ 0.88%).

  • 11:55

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers : 1.1200 1.1220 1.1235 1.1250 1.1280 1.1300

    Bids : 1.1165 1.1150 1.1130 1.1100 1.1080-85 1.1050


    GBP/USD

    Offers : 1.2430 1.2445-50 1.2480 1.2500 1.2550 1.2600 1.2630 1.2650 1.2700

    Bids : 1.2345-50 1.2300 1.2250 1.2285 1.2200 1.2160 1.2100


    EUR/GBP

    Offers :0.9050-55 0.9085 0.9100 0.9155 0.9200

    Bids : 0.9000-10 0.8985 0.8960-65 0.8900 0.8850-55 0.8835 0.8800


    EUR/JPY

    Offers : 115.60 115.80 116.25-30 116.50 117.00 117.30 117.50

    Bids : 115.20 115.00 114.80 114.50 114.20 114.00


    USD/JPY

    Offers : 103.35-40 103.55-60 103.80 104.00-05 104.20 104.30 104.50

    Bids : 102.80-85 102.70 102.50 102.25-30 102.00 101.85 101.50


    AUD/USD

    Offers : 0.7600-10 0.7630 0.7650 0.7685 0.7700 0.7720

    Bids : 0.7575-80 0.7550 0.7530 0.7500 0.7485 0.7450

  • 11:51

    Sterling Ranks 142 of 148 Currencies This Year

  • 11:08

    Romania's Trade Deficit Rises

    Romania's trade balance showed a deficit of 6.13 billion euros ($6.86 billion) in the period from January to August, EUR1.3 billion higher than a year earlier, the country's statistics board said Monday, news agency Mediafax reports.

    Imports grew 6.8% in the first eight months, to EUR43.57 billion, while exports grew at a lower rate of 4%, totaling EUR37.43 billion.

    Vehicles and other transport equipment made up 47.2% of Romania's exports and 37.5% of its imports in the first eight months, while other manufactured goods accounted for 32.8% of exports and 31.2% of imports.

    The European Union remained Romania's main trading partner, being the source of 77.1% of the country's imports and receiving 75% of its exports.

  • 11:02

    Major stock indices in Europe trading in the green zone

    European stocks rose after a decline earlier in the session. Investors remain cautious after Friday's weak data on the number of jobs created in the US, while oil prices are falling.

    US Labor Department reported that 156,000 jobs were created, while the analysts expected 175,000 and unemployment rate rose to 5.0% last month from 4.9%.

    Nevertheless, it is expected that the weak performance does not hinder the interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve this year.

    The composite index of the largest companies in the region Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0,1% - to 339.91 points.

    The cost of Deutsche Bank shares fell by 3.2%. The German Bank continues to negotiate with the US Department of Justice for settlement in the case of irregularities in the sale of mortgage-backed securities during the period from 2005 to 2007 - Bloomberg citing informed sources.

    On Sunday, the German newspaper Bild reported that the CEO of Deutsche Bank, John Cryan was unable to reach an agreement with the Ministry of Justice to reduce the amount of the fine.

    On Friday, the international rating agency S & P Global Ratings confirmed the ratings of Deutsche Bank AG, noting that the amount of fines is likely to be lower than originally announced - $ 14 billion.

    Shares of BNP Paribas fell to 1,5%, Credit Suisse - 0.8%.

    EasyJet shares, previously warned about the negative impact of the weak pound to its figures, fell by 2.8%, as thousands of passengers were left stranded abroad over the weekend after the airline canceled all its flights to Greece and from Greece caused by a planned four-day strike by air traffic control.

    Shares of Air France-KLM fell 1.3%, despite the fact that the French airline announced an increase in the volume of passengers in September by 2.8% - to 8.5 million.

    Mining stocks rise in price in the course of trading: the price of Fresnillo rose to 1,6% Antofagasta +0,6%, Anglo American +0.9%.

    Shares of Randgold Resources rose 1.8%. Previously, the company announced that was forced to close its office in Mali because of a tax dispute with the authorities.

    At the moment:

    FTSE 7056.53 12.14 0.17%

    DAX 10543.68 52.82 0.50%

    CAC 4463.32 13.41 0.30%

  • 09:52

    Rusian Energy Minister, Novak: hoping for clarification on OPEC's oil stabilisation steps

    • Planning to meet OPEC sec gen Wednesday

    • Expects clarification from OPEC on its further steps in stabilising the oil market

    • Is discussing possible output freeze with Russian oil companies

    • Possible decision on Russian output freeze to depend on OPEC decisions

    • If OPEC proposes for Russia to cut output, Moscow would consider

    • Russia prefers a freeze rather than a cut

    *forexlive

  • 09:04

    Saudi Arabia's energy minister optimistic about the prospects of a deal to reduce oil production at the OPEC meeting in November

    • the balance of forces in the oil market has changed dramatically since 2014

    • countries outside OPEC should be involved in the market balancing

    • I do not rule out a rise in prices for oil in the area of ​​$ 60 / barrel by the end of this year

    • responsible manufacturers should try to balance supply and demand on the market

    • OPEC should be cautious, do not overly restrict the supply and shock market

  • 08:36

    Oil is trading lower

    This morning, New York futures for Brent have fallen 0.70% to $ 49.46 and WTI down 0.62% to $ 51.61 per barrel. Thus, the black gold is traded in the red zone because of doubts that OPEC's plan to limit the production can take control of a global glut that persists in the markets for more than two years. OPEC members to agree on plans to limit production at 32,50-33,0 million barrels per day in late November. At the moment, it produced a record 33.6 million barrels per day.

    To achieve consensus among OPEC members, some of whom, such as Saudi Arabia and Iran, are political opponents, the representatives of the organization will hold a series of meetings over the next six weeks, the first meeting will be held in Istanbul this week. Although analysts believe that the agreement will lead to an increase in raw material prices, some are skeptical of its implementation.

    Another reason for the pressure on oil was the growth in the number of US rigs, indicating a possible increase in production by US producers at prices near $ 50 a barrel.

  • 08:33

    Important shift in indices data - Sentix

    The October 2016 survey marks an important shift in the sentix indices data. In general, the moderate recovery path of the global economy continues. The economic momentum for the German, Chinese and the Latin American economy certainly marks a bright spot on the global landscape. Although the economic momentum is less dynamic for the euro area, investors remain confident. Besides short-term changes, the sentix Investment Theme Indices reveal significant developments in investors' long-term perceptions on the global economy.

    • Economic indices for the euro zone continue to rise in October. The overall index for the euro zone climbs to +8.5 points. Expectations have hit the highest value since December 2015.

    • Investors have strongly increased their economic expectations on a selective basis. Especially the sentix indices for Germany and Asia ex. Japan show a significant increase in expectations!

    • Latin America's turnaround continues to solidify. Economic Expectations improve to +10.75 points - highest value since January 2014!

  • 08:10

    Major stock exchanges in Europe trading mixed: FTSE 100 7,044.47 +0.08 0.00%, DAX 10,468.60 -22.26 -0.21%

  • 08:09

    Italian industrial production up 1.7% in August

    In August 2016 the seasonally adjusted industrial production index increased by 1.7% compared with the previous month. The percentage change of the average of the last three months with respect to the previous three months was +0.4

    The calendar adjusted industrial production index increased by 4.1% compared with August 2015 (calendar working days being 22 versus 21 days in August 2015); in the period January- August 2016 the percentage change was +1.0 compared with the same period of 2015.

    The unadjusted industrial production index increased by 7.4% compared with August 2015.

  • 07:44

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EUR/USD: 1.1100 (EUR 776m) 1.1117-20 (766m) 1.1180 (346m) 1.1200-05 (472m) 1.1225 (686m) 1.1220 (304m) 1.1285-90 (336m) 1.1310 (238m) 1.1350 (489m)

    USD/JPY: 101.50 (USD 402m) 101.95-00 (475m) 102.50 (1.15bln) 103.00-10 (486m) 103.50 (500m)

    GBP/USD: 1.2000 (GBP 475m) 1.2400 (604m) 1.2500 (770m) 1.2600 (270m) 1.2700 (757m)

    USD/CHF 0.9640-50 (USD 775m) )

    AUD/USD: 0.7450 (AUD 300m) 0.7550 (351m) 0.7600 (1.14bln) 0.7825 (256m)

  • 07:11

    Today’s events

    • Britain will hold an auction of 10-year government bonds

    • Japan celebrates Day of Health and Sports

    • Eurogroup meeting day 1

    • Canada celebrates Thanksgiving

  • 06:44

    ECB's Lane Sees Volatile Markets, Economy Amid Brexit Talks

  • 06:44

    Fed's Fischer: Labor Market 'Solid, Showing Continued Improvement'

  • 06:44

    Kuroda: Central Banks Need to Broaden Focus to Whole Yield Curve

  • 06:40

    Positive start of trading expected on the major stock exchanges in Europe: DAX futures + 0.1%, CAC40 + 0.2%, FTSE + 0.2%

  • 06:33

    CAD: Look For USD/CAD To Hit 1.35 Before 2016 Comes To A Close - CIBC

    "The recent uptick in Canada's international goods trade balance has helped paint a brighter picture of third quarter growth. But, much of that recovery is coming from a resumption of oil exports after the Alberta wildfires. Even after stripping out the effects of both the fires and weak oil prices, Canada's current account deficit as a percentage of GDP remains wide. It appears that the world is not enough for Canadian trade as weak global demand post-crisis continues to restrain non-energy exports.

    Looking ahead, with the Fed aiming to hike rates before year-end, demand for the portfolio flows financing Canada's current account deficit could wane, showing up in the form of a weaker loonie.

    Look for CAD to hit 1.35 before 2016 comes to a close".

    Copyright © 2016 CIBC, eFXnews™

  • 06:28

    EU policymakers stand ready to deploy all measures at their disposal to defend growth

    According to Rttnews, stimulus measures adopted thus far has worked and the monetary policy transmission across the euro area has improved, yet policymakers stand ready to deploy all measures at their disposal to defend growth and bring inflation back to the 2 percent target, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said Friday.

    "Our very accommodative monetary policy stance provides the impetus that is necessary for the euro area recovery to strengthen and for inflation to gradually return to levels that we consider consistent with our objective," Draghi said in his statement presented at the International Monetary and Financial Committee meeting being held in Washington.

    "Looking forward, we will preserve the very substantial amount of monetary support that is necessary to secure a return of inflation rates towards levels that are below, but close to, 2% without undue delay. If warranted, we will act by using all the instruments available within our mandate."

    Despite the resilient Eurozone recovery, the prospects for euro area growth remain moderate mainly due to subdued foreign demand, the political and economic uncertainties and the sluggish implementation of structural reforms, he said.

  • 06:22

    Swiss unemployment rate stable at 3.2% in September

    According to surveys conducted by the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) in late September 2016 were 142'675 unemployed at the regional employment centers (RAV), 183 less than in the previous month. The unemployment rate remained at 3.2% in June. Compared to the previous month, unemployment increased by 4'449 persons (+ 3.2%). Youth unemployment in September 2016 Youth unemployment (15 to 24 years) decreased by 613 persons (-3.0%) to 20'027. Compared with the previous month, this represents a decrease of 591 persons (-2.9%).

  • 06:20

    Major improvement for German exports and imports in August

    Germany exported goods to the value of 96.5 billion euros and imported goods to the value of 76.5 billion euros in August 2016. Based on provisional data, the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) also reports that German exports increased by 9.8% and imports by 5.3% in August 2016 year on year. Compared with July 2016, exports were up by 5.4% and imports by 3.0% in calendar and seasonally adjusted terms.

    The foreign trade balance showed a surplus of 20.0 billion euros in August 2016. In August 2015, the surplus amounted to +15.2 billion euros. In calendar and seasonally adjusted terms, the foreign trade balance recorded a surplus of 22.2 billion euros in August 2016.

    According to provisional results of the Deutsche Bundesbank, the current account of the balance of payments showed a surplus of 17.9 billion euros in August 2016, which takes into account the balances of trade in goods including supplementary trade items (+22.2 billion euros), services (-5.6 billion euros), primary income (+5.8 billion euros) and secondary income (-4.5 billion euros). In August 2015, the German current account showed a surplus of 14.4 billion euros.

  • 06:16

    Germany: Current Account , August 17.9

  • 06:00

    Germany: Trade Balance (non s.a.), bln, August 20.0 (forecast 20)

  • 05:46

    Switzerland: Unemployment Rate (non s.a.), September 3.2% (forecast 3.2%)

  • 05:05

    Options levels on monday, October 10, 2016:

    EUR/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.1352 (3558)

    $1.1322 (2104)

    $1.1277 (2093)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.1191

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.1138 (1604)

    $1.1084 (3060)

    $1.1050 (3818)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 4 is 31724 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1400 (3576);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 4 is 35999 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0950 (3913);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.13 versus 1.07 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 7

    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.2707 (1244)

    $1.2610 (965)

    $1.2514 (476)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.2404

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.2385 (1344)

    $1.2289 (499)

    $1.2192 (494)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 4 is 22245 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2800 (2191);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 4 is 22844 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2600 (1484);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.03 versus 0.66 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 7

    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

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